Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday’s morning showers brought between a quarter and half an inch for most of us on Roatan. This morning at 6:50 there is one stray shower that might bring a little rain to Guanaja and a few clouds to Roatan. As is usually the case this time of year, a popup shower is not impossible, but today we can say it is unlikely. Winds will start picking up from the east, 5-10 mph in the morning and 10-15 mph in the afternoon, with seas 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter).

Tonight and early tomorrow morning there is about a 50 percent chance of a shower. Tomorrow should be partly cloudy and mostly dry. This cycle should continue into the early part of next week, with chances of rain about 50 percent at night and only about 20 percent during the day, with east winds 15-20 mph and and seas picking up to 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Have a great Friday!

Nov. 24, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Morning rains yesterday brought .75 of an inch to Utila, while totals from a tenth to half an inch were common on Roatan.

This morning we have showers and thunderstorms around and it looks like we will have a good chance of seeing some rain through the morning. I can’t rule out a shower this afternoon, but they should be less than this morning under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be fairly calm except in squalls and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters).

The big change in our weather is that after a long period of fairly calm winds, our easterly winds will pick up, 10-15 mph tomorrow and 15-20 mph Saturday through Wednesday before calming again Thursday. Seas will be 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) for the period Saturday through Wednesday. Tomorrow the rain chance looks very low, and over the weekend the rain chances will be mostly at night. Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 23, 2022: Good morning Roatan. A shower that brought the east side of the island between a quarter and half an inch of rain at 4:30 a.m. moved to the west side by 5:30, but generally brought less rain, but still enough to wet the ground again after a dry day yesterday.

At 7 a.m. the radar shows showers mostly to the west of Roatan around Utila and indeed Utila is picking up a shower at this hour. After these morning showers go away, skies should be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with northwest winds 5-10 mph switching to the east this evening and seas around 2 feet. There is a good chance of picking up a shower overnight tonight into tomorrow morning, but after that things should clear up and we should have a nice Thursday. The chance of rain is even lower on Friday. Next good chance of rain during the day is Sunday, and after that it looks like the easterly winds will pick up for the beginning of next week. Have a great Wednesday!

Nov. 22, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Everybody got wet yesterday. West Bay, West End and Sandy Bay all got a little over an inch of rain. Mid-island Coral View and French Harbor got around 2 inches. But here on the east side, we really got poured on. I had 2.7 inches here on Jonesville Point and Politilly got 3.62 inches.

This morning there are still some clouds and showers around so it is possible someone might see a shower this morning, but there is less activity off to our east, so today begins four days where rain chances and rain totals will be much lower. Skies will be mostly sunny and winds and seas will be fairly calm.

This morning the European and US models are starting to agree that the norther won’t make it all the way down here, but it will get close enough to give us increased rain showers this weekend, just not the heavy winds and seas, so that’s good news. Have a great Tuesday!

Nov. 21, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Most of us got around an inch of rain yesterday, though Sandy Bay and West Bay got less (around a quarter inch) and Coral View got much more (about 2 inches).

This morning’s 7 a.m. satellite shown here hows more rain moving toward the island. Today should be mostly cloudy with a good chance of rain and perhaps a thunderstorm throughout the day. Winds will continue fairly calm except in squalls. Seas will be around 2 feet (.6 meters).

Tomorrow through Thursday there will be around a 40 percent chance of showers each morning, but the rest of the day should be mostly sunny and mostly calm, with light winds and seas 1-2 feet .3 to .6 meters).

This is the European modal for Friday through next Tuesday. You will notice that it shows a norther bringing wind and rain to the island on Saturday. The US model does not agree that the cold front will make it this far south. We will keep an eye on it and see which forecast wins out. If the European is right we will have gusty winds and heavy rains this coming weekend.

Nov. 20, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! A light, steady rain yesterday morning gave most of us between a quarter and half an inch of rain.

We awake to mostly clear skies. We should stay that way through the morning, but we will have increasing clouds this afternoon and an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. A good chance of showers continues through the day Monday with light winds except in squalls and seas around 2 feet.

Starting Tuesday, our weather looks much better, with partly cloudy skies and only small chances of rain each day.

The models aren’t agreeing right now about that norther we’re looking for, perhaps next Sunday or Monday, so we’ll keep an eye on it.

Nov. 19, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday the west side got a lot of rain, generally between 2.5 and 3 inches, but most of it came before 8 a.m. Here on the east side we got much less, from a quarter and half an inch, but it came pretty steady throughout the day yesterday.

This morning we have thunderstorms east of the island moving our way, so some of us should get some rain through the morning. But once we get these morning showers out of the way, we expect less rain and more sun through the midday and afternoon. Winds will be light and variable and seas around 2 feet.

In the satellite image you will see an area of storms off the Mosquito Coast of Nicaragua that is forecast to move northwest and bring us a better chance of rain and storms tomorrow afternoon into Monday. Sunday and Monday winds will continue to be mild, except in squalls, and seas around 2 feet.

The middle of next week looks a little less rainy, with chances about 40 percent each day starting Tuesday. There is good agreement that we should get a norther next weekend, which will bring rain and perhaps some strong northerly winds and high seas. We will keep an eye on it. Have a great weekend!

Nov. 18, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! This morning has definitely started off wet. The west side (West End, West Bay, Sandy Bay) got 1.5 to 2 inches of rain by 7 a.m. Midisland (French Harbor and Coral View) got about half an inch and the east side (Jonesville Point, Politilly, Punta Blanca) got between none and .03, but as you can see on the satellite image, there are showers and thunderstorms on the way.

Today we will have light winds except in squalls, periods of heavy rain and mostly cloudy skies. Seas will be 2-3 feet.

Tomorrow will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with less rain than today, mostly in the morning hours. Winds will continue light, but seas will remain around 3 feet.

Sunday and Monday the chances of rain go up again. Easterly winds should pick up a little on Monday and Tuesday to 10-15 mph. Have a great Friday and take an umbrella!

Nov. 17, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! I’m just back from a trip to the States, rushing through airports and rental cars and Airbnbs no doubt contributed to my confusion yesterday. Today is Thursday, not yesterday.

But yesterday we did get quite a storm around midday. Rain totals were mostly between an inch and an inch and a half. We got a gust of 33 mph on Jonesville Point. Some of us got a little right after midnight. Utila missed the big storm yesterday, but has picked up a third of an inch this morning.

On radar and satellite this morning, we see scattered showers around the island. We will continue to have partly cloudy skies and northeast winds 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter). We will have a good chance of seeing a shower today, but we will also get a lot of sun. Tomorrow I think will have higher rain totals than today. The weather pattern looks mostly the same (mild winds, scattered rain showers, partly cloudy skies) for the next week. Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 16, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday was fairly dry, but a few of us have picked up a shower this morning. Today we will have a good chance of rain and that chance last right through the weekend. Most of the time we can say most of our rain is at night. but we will have showers passing through daytime and nighttime during this period. Winds will be fairly calm at 5-10 mph and seas will mostly be 2 feet (.6 meters), though Friday night and Saturday they may pick up to 3 feet (1 meter). Have a great Thursday!