Oct. 27, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Winds are nice and calm and skies are clear and it should continue that way, probably through Monday. Saturday night into Sunday there is about a 40 percent chance of rain and that is the only decent chance for the next five days. Then we watch the tropics. More on that in the tropical update. Have a great Thursday.

On our satellite this morning, we can see tropical moisture in a familiar place, off the coast of northern South America, very similar to where Hurricane Ian and so many other hurricanes we have to worry about come from. This time there is a front drawn in yellow that these storms are going to merge with. Most computers show this storm gathering strength and moving west along the northern coast of South America. By Monday it should be entering the eastern Caribbean. By then we will have a better idea as to how strong and where this storm is heading. If it effects us, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week are the days to worry about. Again, nothing is certain, but there is a growing belief that some sort of tropical storm or hurricane will be entering the Caribbean by the end of this weekend. The US GFS that yesterday said it would turn north, now has it heading generally toward Nicaragua and Honduras. As always we need to remain watchful.

ood morning, Roatan! We wake up with winds 10-15 mph and seas at 3 feet on the south side. Winds will be around 10 mph today and seas at 2 feet under clear skies. Winds and seas should be even calmer tomorrow, around 5 mph and 1 foot. Those conditions continue at least through the weekend. Our next decent chance of rain is around 30 percent on Sunday morning and perhaps 50 percent on Monday. After that we look toward to the Caribbean to see what happens with our tropical wave coming from South America. More on that in the tropical update. Have a great Wednesday!

The National Hurricane Center has marked out an area where tropical development is possible off the north coast of Venezuela, shown by the green arrow. There is a lot of disagreement among the computers as to what will happen with this system, or if anything at all will happen. The US GFS shows rapid development, but also a strong turn to the north, shown by the red arrow. The European and Canadian models show movement more to the west, shown by the pink arrow, but the Euro doesn’t show it developing much, and only bringing us showers the middle of next week, while the Canadian shows it forming into a storm through the Caribbean. If we get any effects from this, it will be about a week from now, and nothing is certain. We will keep an eye on it.

Oct. 24, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday, mostly in the morning, we got .15 of an inch at Jonesville Point, and Coral View got a similar amount. Sandy Bay picked up .75 of an inch, West End 1.6 inches and West Bay nearly an inch.

This morning we awake to clear skies and calm winds and seas. Winds today will be southeasterly at 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Tonight winds will be 10-15 mph. The pattern looks the same the rest of the week. Any rain chance is extremely small and mostly at night. It will be a beautiful time to be on the sea. Have a great week!

Good morning, Roatan! Overnight West Bay and West End each picked up half an inch of rain, Sandy Bay got a little rain, and places to the east of that stayed mostly dry, though here on Jonesville Point we got .02 of an inch. Based on the satellite images, I would guess Guanaja got some rain too.

Today will be partly cloudy with northeast winds 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet on the north side. We will have about a 40 percent chance of seeing a shower today. Starting tomorrow the winds get very calm and switch to the east. Seas will be 1-2 feet (some days flat calm) most of the week and we will stay dry. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday afternoon we got a rainy, cool, island autumn day! We were in the mid-70s and we got rainfall totals between half an inch and an inch and a half, adding to what we had already gotten. This morning the clouds and rain are to our east and mostly moving away from us. I would imagine Guanaja got rain this morning, while Roatan has been dry since midnight. The northside is still choppy.

Today we will have partly cloudy skies and a 40 percent chance of rain, especially this evening, and a 60 percent chance of a shower tonight. Winds will be north/northeast at 10-15 mph and seas on the northside. Tomorrow there will be a chance of a morning shower, but then mostly sunny with northeast winds 5-10 mph and seas on the northside 2-3 feet.

As we’ve been saying for a while, the week ahead looks nice, with mild winds shifting back to the east, seas 1-2 feet on the southside and only a very small chance of getting a passing shower. Have a great weekend!

Oct. 21, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Today and tonight are forecast to be the rainiest and windiest 24 hours of our norther. As you can see in the satellite, there is good rain north of us and it is moving toward the southeast. Seas are already 2-3 feet on the north side and should pick up as the day goes on, perhaps to 5-6 feet this evening and overnight, so be careful on the sea. Winds should also pick up from the north, 15-23 mph by evening. We are looking for another 2-3 inches on top of what we have already had today and tonight. On the bright side, rain looks much less tomorrow, with about a 40 percent chance of rain, especially in the morning and north winds around 15 mph. Seas will still be fairly strong on the northside at 4-5 feet. Sunday we will have about a 30 percent chance of a passing shower and winds from the north around 5 mph and seas at 2 feet on the north side. The week ahead looks mostly dry with only a small chance of a passing shower and fairly calm winds and seas turning back from the east. Have a great day and carry an umbrella.

Good morning. As you can see from radar, there is rain around, especially north and west of Roatan. As of 7 a.m. Utila has picked up .75 of an inch. Yesterday a little after noon West End picked up an inch of rain and Sandy Bay 2-2.5 inches in a downpour. Today we will be mostly cloudy with occasional showers. Winds and seas are calm, but seas should pick up on the north side tonight into tomorrow to 2-3 feet and perhaps 4 feet Friday night into Saturday morning. Rain will be off-and-on through Sunday morning. I think the heaviest rains should be tonight and tomorrow night. Total rainfall predictions through Sunday morning are around 4 inches, but could be more in some areas, so watch for areas of flooding. After Sunday morning, the week ahead looks dry. Have a great Thursday!

Oct. 19, 2022: Good morning Roatan. Our Norther is getting closer. In advance of the front you can see an area of clouds and showers just to the west of Utila this morning. That should move east during the day. We will have increasing clouds and an increasing chance of a shower during the day with fairly calm winds switching to the west and 1 foot seas. Rain chances are good tonight and tomorrow and very good on Friday, with rain very heavy at times. Thursday and especially Friday should be very fresh with temperatures nearing 70 on Friday morning. North winds Friday evening into Saturday morning 12-17 mph will give us 3-4 foot seas on the north side. Rain should be less on Saturday and end Sunday morning. Right now next week looks dry. Have a great Wednesday!