Good morning Bay Islands. We’ve been talking for awhile about a potential change in our weather for next week. This is the GFS (American model) forecast for Monday at 10 a.m. and you will see more high clouds than we’ve been experiencing. Starting Monday and into next week we should see more clouds, especially high in the atmosphere. This probably won’t mean much rain, but we will start seeing small morning chances of showers. The clouds will also bring welcome relief from the heat. East winds will stay strong probably until next Thursday or Friday. We will be clear and dry today through the weekend with strong east winds and seas 3-5 feet Southside.

This is our air quality this morning. It’s very similar to what we’ve been seeing previous days. Hopefully next week with more clouds and maybe some showers on the mainland, we will see this continue to improve and we will stop paying attention to the fire weather.

We are deep into the NBA playoffs, an exciting time for Knicks, Cavs, Thunder and Spurs fans. Don’t forget to get the best meats for your next basketball cookout at Carniceria Rosita in Coxen Hole or French Harbour.

Low tide is 8:45 a.m. Have a great Friday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Larry Cox in West Bay.
We will be windy, windy, windy and sunny, sunny, sunny. But we do have hope for a change toward the end of the month.

Let me start with the fire map, and for the first time since fire season started, the map is picking up on some fires this morning toward Diamond Rock.

This map shows moisture in the atmosphere. Currently we are in the dry greens and yellows, but toward the end of the month/ first of June, we see moisture (red and purple) returning. This should mean more clouds, a few morning showers and less wind. That would be a nice change.

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Lowest tide is 5:30 p.m. have a great Tuesday!

Good evening Bay Islands. I wanted to do an afternoon post today to talk about the differences in morning and evening air quality during fire season. First, let’s look at air quality, which is actually in the “good” range on the Mosquito Coast for the first time in awhile. Yesterday I posted the forecast wind map that showed that during the midday and evening our wind came from due east, but overnight our wind came from the southeast and any smoke from Mosquitia would move in. Let’s take a look today at the difference between fire intensity in the mornings and evenings.

This is the satellite based fire map from this afternoon around 3 p.m. You can’t help but think it looks like a teenager with a bad case of acne, with fires dotted all over the place.

Here is this morning’s fire map, with many fewer fires. This makes sense, since many farmers put fires out at the end of the day … if they can.

We will continue to have clear skies, dry conditions and strong east winds (20 mph daytimes with 3-4 foot seas, 30 mph nighttimes with 4-5 foot seas) through Monday. Starting Tuesday we will see somewhat calmer winds (15 mph and 2-3 foot seas day and night) and A FEW more clouds and maybe one or two stray showers here or there if we are fortunate.

Lowest tides will be 8:30 p.m. and 9:30 a.m. Have a great Friday evening!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Jordan Byrne in West Bay. As you probably know, moons aren’t supposed to orange. At least our moon isn’t supposed to be. It is this color because of all the smoke in the atmosphere.

Our air quality numbers are similar to yesterday’s, though the fires closer to Teguc seem a little better.

Keep a close eye on these fire hotspots in eastern Colon department. They would be the source of our smoke if they get worse. I’m still hopeful we will avoid a fire season as bad as last year’s, when at times the airport had to close. But we have a dry and windy two weeks ahead with east winds 20 to sometimes 30 mph and seas 3-4 sometimes 5 feet.

Tides are quite mild. Have a great Wednesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Fran Cruz taken from Las Palmas looking toward the airport. Like in this photo we have some high, hazy clouds, and speaking of haze

The latest air quality numbers are not terrible, especially for northern Honduras, but they are worse than last week, and we are starting a very dry period of weather. There is very little if any rain in the forecast for the next two weeks, and our trade winds are picking up out of the east. (for the next week we will have 15 mph daytime east winds with 3 foot seas and 15-20 mph nighttime east winds and 4 foot seas.) I’ll keep an eye especially on Mosquitia on the northeast coast, because that is where our smoke comes from, but over the next two weeks we should keep on the watch for increasing smoke. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from David Brown at Half Moon Bay.
We are now in true dry season with no real chance of rain over the next week. I can’t completely rule out someone getting a stray shower somewhere, but we are generally going to be dry for the foreseeable future.
Winds are 10-15 mph out of the east this morning and seas 2-3 feet Southside. Tomorrow and Saturday will be a bit calmer with daytime winds 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. We get windier and wavier next week with trade winds. Have a great Thursday!

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Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day could be titled Psalm 19:1 and it comes from Leo Weiss in Punta Blanca. We’ve had plenty of clouds and a few morning showers today, with about a tenth of an inch common across the islands. That’s after some of us got half an inch yesterday. We’ll keep a chance of rain through midday today and partly cloudy skies for the afternoon. Tomorrow we have a chance of a morning shower (though a smaller chance than today or yesterday). After that the forecast really looks dry.

Wind and wave forecast: We are quite calm today, with northeast winds 10 mph and seas about 1 foot. We should stay pretty calm through tomorrow morning. Tomorrow afternoon we should get to 15 mph east winds and 2 foot seas. Thursday looks a little wavier at 3 feet, but then Friday and Saturday we get calm again.

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Low tide is 7 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Regina Alpaugh and shows sunset at Punta Gorda. We are mostly sunny today with typical east winds and 3 foot seas, but Monday and Tuesday we have better chances of morning showers and calmer winds and seas.

On satellite at 7:45 a.m. we see a few clouds, mostly to our north and east, moving west. Very little chance of rain today, but rain chances get better tonight into Monday morning, then again Tuesday morning. Probably nothing serious, but we’re getting to where we could use the rain. Temperatures at the airport are giving us highs around 87 and lows around 80, so maybe a little rain would cool us off a little.

This is the time of year we start worrying about smoke from farmers on the mainland burning off their fields. Smoke monitors show most of that is going on on the southern end of Honduras right now and the northern side, which would give us our smoke, is pretty calm. We’ve had enough rain that this should be a better fire season than most. Let’s hope.

This is the perfect time of year to set up your excursion with Jolly Roger Roatan. We get lots of calls about beach weddings and if that is your dream, the next few months are great times to plan your wedding, much better than December or January when you will likely get rained on.

Lowest tide is 4:30 p.m. Have a great Sunday!

ood morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from our old buddy Jeff Bodin with sunset on West Bay. We had quite a few showers yesterday morning, especially mid-island and east side, with some locations getting over half an inch. We also have clouds and a few showers this morning.

At 6 a.m. we have some clouds and showers, especially to the east. Guanaja has picked up a third of an inch as of 6 a.m. These clouds are slowly moving west. We’ll keep a chance of showers through the morning, but again nothing major and most of our day should be dry. Winds and seas are quite mild, from the east at 10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Winds should pick up a bit this evening to 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet and remain there through the weekend. Have a great Friday!

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French Harbour: https://wa.me/50433351055, http://wa.me/50494082388

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daun Weiss, who captured this midmorning shower yesterday, good for .05 of an inch for Punta Blanca and Diamond Rock.
We will see more morning rain chances, especially tomorrow through Tuesday.

We see a few popcorn clouds on 7:30 a.m. satellite and a couple of locations got a small shower this morning. We’ll be mostly sunny today, but we will continue to see morning popcorn showers the next three days. Not all of us will get one, but some of us will get a quick downpour. Other than that we will be mostly sunny and winds will start to pick up a little. This morning we are at 10 mph east winds and most of us have 1-2 foot seas, though with wave action coming from the northeast, Camp Bay is probably more like 2-3 feet. Winds will continue from the east 10 mph and 2 foot seas days and 15 mph and 3 foot seas evenings and overnights. Have a great weekend!