May 23, 2022

Radar at 7 a.m.

May 23, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We have some light showers around this morning and we’ve had lots of clouds the last 24 hours.

The rain looks more impressive on the 7 a.m. radar than it did in our weather stations. No one got more than a tenth of an inch and I got zero on Jonesville Point. Let me know in comments what you got.

We will keep the clouds around today and a small chance of a shower. Winds will be out of the east at 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Tonight should be calmer than past nights, with winds staying around 20 mph, but tomorrow night, gusts back up to 30 mph are forecast. This week will be a week with low chances of showers. Those chances will increase this weekend, but even then will only be about 40 percent. Have a great week!

May 22, 2022

May 22, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Last night we got up to 39 mph for our windiest night yet! Wind will continue today, along with some high clouds. It is unlikely any rain will come out of those clouds. Radar indicates some small areas with light rain off the island, but I’d put our chance of seeing any this morning at around 10 percent.

Other than that we will have east winds 20-30 mph and seas 4-6 feet (1.3-2 meters).

Winds may calm a bit tomorrow to 20 mph with continued mostly cloudy skies and seas 3-4 feet.

Windy, dry conditions continue until Friday, when we should have a calmer day with at least a chance of rain. Have a great Sunday!

May 20, 2022

May 20, 2022: Good morning, Roatan. We got winds up to 30 mph last night in Jonesville Point and expect more of the same tonight. There’s a lot of clouds and showers off the Mosquito Coast this morning, but those should stay over there and we should stay dry and partly cloudy. This afternoon and evening east/southeast winds will be back in the 20-30 mph range with seas at 5 feet (1.6 meters).

Tomorrow will be much like today and Sunday could be the windiest day of them all, with daytime winds consistently touching 30 mph.

Winds should drop back down to 15-20 mph Monday. Any chance of rain will come late in the week. Have a great Friday!

May 19, 2022

May 19, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! If you want the wind, you’re definitely going to get it this weekend, with evening winds around 35 mph.

Today we start out with high clouds, but today will be mostly sunny with east winds 10-15 mph during the day and around 20 mph this evening. Seas will be 2 feet (.6 meters) today and 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) tonight.

Tomorrow winds will be 15-20 mph during the day and 20-25 mph at night.

Saturday winds will be 20-25 mph even during the day and Sunday winds will be 25-30 gusting to 35 mph. Needless to say it will be quite wavy, with waves 5-6 feet (1.6-2 meters). Be careful out there.

Rain chances will be small at the beginning of next week, but will get a little better as the week goes on. Have a great Thursday!

May 18, 2022

The U.S. GFS forecast model that runs through June 3.

May 18, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! The U.S. GFS weather model has given up on the idea of forming a storm over us next week, but it still calls for better rain chances beginning next week.

Today will be mostly sunny with east winds 10 mph and 1 foot (.3 meter) seas during the day and getting up to 20 mph and 3 foot (1 meter) seas this evening.

Tomorrow winds will be 15 mph and 2 foot seas during the day and gusting up to 25 mph and 4 foot seas overnight.

Friday through the weekend should be dry and windy.

We’ll start increasing the chance of scattered showers on Sunday. Have a great Wednesday!

May 17, 2022

GFS model run starting Sunday and ending May 29.

May 17, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Enjoy one more day of calm conditions! Winds today will be 5 mph during the day and 10 mph at night with 1 foot (.3 meter) waves. Winds pick up tomorrow to 10-15 mph from the east/northeast during the day and 2 foot seas (.6 meter) and 15-20 mph Wednesday night. Thursday and Friday winds will be in the 20 mph range and gustier at night with 4 foot seas (1.3 meters). The GFS model is still trying to form a storm over our head starting Sunday and turning it into a tropical storm toward Yucatan. The model run you see here is from this Sunday through the next Sunday. Most other models show heavy rain on the Pacific Coast of Central America and us staying dry. I would put the chance of this storm happening at 30 percent. We’ll keep an eye on it.

May 16, 2022

Satellite image at 7 a.m. today

May 15, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up this morning with significant clouds near the Mosquito Coast of Nicaragua. Some of those showers may move into Nicaragua but should stay away from us, but it may throw some clouds our way.

We will continue with relatively calm conditions with winds around 5 mph during the day and 10 mph in the evening and seas continuing at 1 foot (.3 meters). Tomorrow will be much like today.

Winds will start picking up Wednesday into the 15 mph range and Thursday toward 20 mph, especially in the evening. Friday looks pretty windy.

The GFS weather model still predicts the formation of a storm nearby this weekend, though it has shifted a bit north. All of the other models say this storm will move to our south into the Pacific, so I am still very doubtful about rain this weekend. Have a great week!

May 15, 2022

GFS model forecast from noon Wednesday until noon May 25.

May 15, 2022: Good morning Roatan! Two more days of quite calm (and hot conditions). Today and tomorrow will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with calm winds and 1 foot seas. Winds in the evening will get up around 10 mph from the north/northeast.

Tuesday winds will be in the 10 mph range during the day. Wednesday will be 15 mph and Thursday we will be back in the windy conditions around 20 mph.

There is an interesting element to next weekend’s weather. A piece of energy is coming from the south. The forecast map shown here is the GFS, which shows a storm coming overhead and heading for Florida. Two things tell me this probably won’t happen.

1. Most of the other computer models show this going south into the Pacific Ocean.

2. Storm models a week away are ridiculously unreliable.

But it is worth keeping an eye on. Have a great Sunday!

May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday around noon a showers gave West Bay .15 of an inch of rain and West End .01. No other reporting stations recorded rain. If you saw some, let us know in comments.

Today we begin a series of perfect boating days with calm winds, seas at 1 foot (.3 meters), virtually no chance of rain and mostly sunny skies. Winds should start picking up again on Tuesday, but until then the weather will be perfect, except for being so hot. Have a great Friday!

May 12, 2022

May 12, 2022: Good morning Roatan! West End got 1.4 inches yesterday and West Bay got .7. In the last 24 hours ending 7 a.m., Jonesville Point has only gotten .05. Most locations got a quarter of an inch or so, but a few locations got no measurable rain. Jimmy Andrade in Camp Bay reported some good showers this morning.

Today we will have calm conditions, partly cloudy skies and a chance of rain, especially as we get toward evening. Starting tomorrow we have a series of clear and calm days that will run through Tuesday. Wednesday the winds should pick up again. Have a great Thursday!