Jan. 12, 2023

7:30 a.m. satellite image.

Jan. 12, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Rain totals were pretty low yesterday on the west side and in Utila, with only about a quarter of an inch, but the total got higher the further east you went, with Punta Blanca picking up 1.19 inches. Overnight most of us were dry, though Sandy Bay got about a quarter of an inch around 4:30 a.m.
This morning we are mostly clear, though there are some clouds to our east as of 7 a.m. so a morning shower is possible, but otherwise we will be partly cloudy with an east wind 10-15 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters).

After midnight and through the day tomorrow we will have scattered showers as our front approaches. Winds will turn to the north around 10 mph. Seas will be fairly calm at 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Rain continues through Friday night and there is a good chance of heavy rain Saturday morning. Winds will be gusting to 30 mph from the north, giving us seas around 6 feet (2 meters), especially on the north side and 4 feet at Ceiba. By Saturday evening winds and rain should be less. Sunday might be one of the nicest days we’ve had in a couple of years, if you like cool weather.

The map above shows dry air in blue and brown washing over the island. Saturday, not only will it feel cool, the air will feel dry, with dewpoints around 60 degrees (15 celsius). We are so used to humid air here, we almost forget what dry air feels like, but we will feel it Sunday, and perhaps into Monday morning.

Starting Sunday we will start a week with dry conditions. Our easterly trade winds will return starting Monday, 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) for the first half of the week and perhaps even gustier winds for the latter half of the week. Have a great Thursday!

Jan. 11, 2023

Jan. 11, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday around 5:30 the island got a heavy rain that gave many of us an inch of rain while Utila stayed dry. This morning we have rain around the island on radar. We will have a chance of scattered showers throughout today with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will rise to around 10 mph from the east this afternoon and seas, which this morning are around 1 foot, will rise to 2 feet.

Overnight winds will pick up to around 15 mph and seas to 2-3 feet.

Tomorrow should be mostly dry, with only a small chance of seeing a shower. Winds will be from the east around 10 mph and seas at 2 feet.

Thursday night through the day on Friday there will be a good chance of rain and winds, while only 5-10 mph, will start to turn from the north. Saturday there should be periods of heavy rain as the cold front passes and winds will be up to around 25 mph and it could be a bad day on the seas, with waves at least 5 feet, perhaps 6-7 feet.

Sunday should be a beautiful day if you like cool weather. Sunday and Monday morning we might see some 69 degree temperatures. Monday winds will turn back to the east and we should have a dry week next week. Have a great Wednesday!

Jan. 10, 2023

Jan. 10, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Last night most of us stayed dry, though Punta Blanca picked up a quarter of an inch just after midnight. Yesterday the whole island got some rain at midday, ranging from .15 on the west side to half an inch at Politilly. This morning skies are mostly clear, winds calm, and seas are 1-2 feet.
Today we will be mostly sunny with only a very slight chance of a scattered shower.
Tonight into tomorrow morning we will have a chance of seeing a shower and winds and seas will remain fairly calm in the morning. Tomorrow evening winds will pick up from the east to around 10 mph and to 15 mph tomorrow night. Tomorrow night we will again have a small chance of a shower, but Thursday should be nice with east winds around 10 mph and seas around 2 feet.
Friday we will start to see our winds turn to the north as a cold front nears. Winds will be from the north around 10 mph and there is only a small chance of rain.

The windy rainy day should be Saturday, with north winds to 20 mph and seas perhaps 4-5 feet, with scattered heavy rain. Previous northers have stalled over us, giving us a lot of rain, but this one should move through, bringing clearer skies and cooler temperatures Sunday and Monday.

Here is the Euro model predicting cooler weather this weekend. The blue represents 2 to 4 degrees cooler than normal, which could mean lows of 69 or 70 Sunday and Monday morning and highs around 79. Have a great Tuesday!

Jan. 9, 2023

Jan. 9, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Not many of us got rain last night, but there is quite a bit of clouds, especially to our east this morning, so we will have a chance of a scattered shower through the morning, and even a small chance this afternoon. Winds are calm, though seas are still around 2 feet.

We will have a decent chance of a shower overnight into tomorrow morning, and tomorrow looks like the calmest day of the week, with calm winds and 1 foot seas.

Another good chance of rain comes Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Wednesday we will have east winds 5-10 mph and seas at 2 feet.

Thursday the east winds picks up to around 15 mph and seas to 3 feet.

Friday and Saturday a norther is still forecast to come through. Right now the rain isn’t forecast to be that heavy, but we should get some winds from the north and seas to around 4-5 feet.

Have a great Monday!

Jan. 8, 2023

Jan. 8, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! After a rainy morning yesterday that gave most of us between 1.5 and 2 inches of rain, last night was pretty quiet, except for a shower that hit the island around 8:30 p.m.

As you can see in the satellite this morning, we have a lot of clouds to our east at 8 a.m., so I think that through about 10 a.m. we will have some rain around the island. That should clear out by noon and we will have a nice afternoon. Winds are calm, but winds to our northeast are pushing seas 2-3 feet. They should calm to around 2 feet this afternoon.
Tonight the chance of rain will be around 30 percent. Tomorrow, after a scattered morning shower, we will again have a nice day with calm winds and seas around 1-2 feet. That pattern will continue through the week, with overnight and early morning showers possible and afternoon sun. Winds and seas will remain pretty calm until Thursday, when the east wind will return. This weekend we are still watching a norther that will bring good rain chances starting Friday. Have a good Sunday!

Jan. 7, 2023

Good morning, Roatan! We definitely got good rain last night. Most locations got an inch or a little over around Roatan, though the far west end got more: 2.25 inches for West End, 1.7 for West Bay and 1.73 for Utila. Our winds are fairly calm this morning, but northeast winds to our north are pushing seas to around 3 feet on the north side.

As you can see on the 7:30 a.m. radar, there are scattered showers still around the island.

We will have a chance of seeing one of those showers through the morning. This afternoon we will be partly sunny and still may see an isolated shower, but rain is more likely in late evening and overnight, much like last night. Tomorrow afternoon rain will be unlikely. Sunday night into Monday morning we will have about a 40 percent chance of a shower. This is a pattern we will be in this week, with rain chances overnight into the morning and staying mostly dry midday into the afternoon. Winds will be quite calm and seas will be 2 feet at most, even less than that as we get into midweek. Have a great weekend!

Jan. 6, 2023

Jan. 6, 2023: Good morning Roatan! This morning with a northeast wind in place we are seeing some rain coming off the mainland giving Utila a morning shower with .16 and still raining at 7 a.m.

Overnight Coral View got .06 and French Harbor .04, Politilly .04, Coral View .03 and Jonesville Point .09.

As you can see in this morning’s satellite, we have a cold front to our north (orange line), while our northeasterly winds is building up some rain coming off the mainland of Honduras (yellow arrow). We will keep a chance of showers through the morning, but we’ll be mostly sunny through the afternoon with a northeast wind at 15 mph and seas on the northeast side of the island around 3 feet, while further west and south seas will be 2 feet.

Tonight and tomorrow morning we will have our best chance of getting a good rain. Winds starting through the weekend into next week will be quite light, though seas tomorrow will be 2-3 feet due to the winds from the cold front passing to our northeast.

Saturday night into Sunday morning we will see another decent chance of rain, but the rest of Sunday will be a mix of sun and clouds and only a small chance of shower.

That pattern will continue next week, with decent chances of an overnight or early morning shower, but calm winds and mostly sunny skies most of the daytime hours. We’re watching the possibility of a cold front for next weekend. Have a great Friday!

Jan. 5, 2023

Jan. 5, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! For the first time in awhile, we can say there were scattered showers around the island this morning as you can see on this morning’s radar. Only West End recorded any rain, and that was only .01 of an inch. But this goes to show that we are getting out of our completely dry period and entering a period with a few more scattered showers.

We’ll keep a small chance of a shower around this morning, but we should be dry and sunny this afternoon with east winds around 15 mph and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters).

Tonight winds will continue to calm to 10-15 mph and seas to 2 feet.

Tomorrow we will again have some scattered morning showers and we will begin dealing with the tail end of a cold front that moves to our northeast, bringing winds out of the northeast around 10-15 mph and seas to 2-3 feet, but a little more on the north side.

Our best chance of getting a good rain will be overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Saturday we will have a chance of a shower through the day with a mix of clouds and sun, and light winds and seas.

Sunday and Monday we will have scattered showers mostly in the early morning hours and continued light winds and seas. Have a great Thursday!

Jan. 4, 2023

Jan. 4, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! We had quite a windy night, with our top gust at Joneville Point at 30 mph. We have 5 foot (1.7 meter) seas on the south side, and around 2 feet closer to Ceiba. That should calm as the day goes on to 3-4 feet here and 1 foot at Ceiba. We will continue to have mostly clear skies and winds will calm to 10-15 mph.

Tonight will be less windy than last night, with winds 17-22 mph and seas 3 feet tomorrow morning, 2 feet toward Ceiba.

Tomorrow will also be a nice day, with winds 10-15 mph and seas around 2 feet.

Friday we start to see a rain chance, though it is pretty small, and mostly for Friday evening. Winds will be pretty mild but starting to turn to the northeast.

Rain chances will be best overnight Friday into Saturday morning, perhaps 50-60 percent. There will be about a 40 percent chance Saturday night into Sunday morning, but we will also have periods of sun over the weekend and very light winds and seas 1-2 feet. Have a great Wednesday!

Jan. 3, 2023

Jan. 3, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Another dry, windy day with seas 4 feet on the south side and 2 feet at the reef on the north side. Today will continue to be sunny with east winds around 15 mph and seas around 2-3 feet.

Tonight the winds should pick up to 20-25 mph and seas to 4-5 feet.

Tomorrow looks much like today, though winds tomorrow night look a little calmer at 17-22 mph.

Thursday winds should be calmer, with daytime winds 10-15 mph and seas only 2 feet.

Friday will be calmer still, with around a 40 percent chance of a shower as our winds start to turn to the northeast as a weak cold front passes nearby.

Saturday and Sunday look like days with calm winds and chances of showers. I don’t think we’re talking about heavy, three hour rains, just passing showers with a mixture of clouds and sun. In a lot of ways, this weekend may be good for getting out on the water if you don’t mind an occasional shower. Have a great Tuesday!