May 29, 2022

May 29, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! There are plenty of clouds around, but somehow we have managed to avoid the rain. On radar, most of the scattered showers are to our west.

We will keep a 50 percent chance of rain today and partly to mostly cloudy skies. Winds during the day will be 10-15 mph with 3 foot (1 meter) seas, but should pick up tonight to 20-25 mph and 4 foot (1.3 meter) seas.

Tomorrow and Tuesday we have a bit lower chance of rain, perhaps 30 percent. Daytime winds will be 15-20 mph and nighttime winds 20-25 mph both days.

Wednesday our winds calm down and our rain chances increase to around 50 percent each day into the weekend. We are entering an active pattern and most of us should see some rain this week. Have a great Sunday!

May 28, 2022

May 28, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up to a lot of clouds but, at least as of 8 a.m., no rain on the island. At least there hasn’t been any recorded. The radar shows rain northwest of the islands off the coast of Belize.

Today there will be about a 40 percent chance of rain, especially toward evening. Winds will be from the east 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Tonight winds will get up to 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet.

Tomorrow should be a bit of a calmer day, with a 50-50 rain chance and seas at 2 feet.

Monday and Tuesday rain chances will be lower, around 20 percent each day. Starting Wednesday and into the weekend winds will get quite a bit calmer, to around 5-10 mph, and rain chances go back up to the 50-50 range each day. Have a great weekend!

May 26, 2022

May 26, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Last night was windy but not quite as windy as it has been. We got up to 31 mph on Jonesville Point when a few nights ago it was 39 mph. This morning we have partly cloudy skies with hazy sunshine due to Saharan dust, but those clouds do not seem to be producing rain.

Winds will continue around 20 mph with 3 foot (1 meter) seas during the day and 25 mph with 4 foot (1.3 meter) seas overnight. There will be a small chance of an isolated shower, especially this evening.

Rain chances are a little better tomorrow with winds continuing around 20 mph and seas around 3 feet.

It looks like we have a good chance of seeing some rain this weekend and next week looks to be one of the wettest we’ve had since mid-April. Good news for dusty roads. Have a great Thursday!

May 24, 2022

May 24, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Most of us got small showers yesterday and a few of us picked up a couple of very early morning showers today. But for the first time in awhile we’re getting full sunshine this morning.

Clouds will increase toward evening and we will have a chance at a scattered shower. This week will be a week with more showers than previous weeks. We’re leaving the very dry period of April-May for the somewhat wetter period of June-July.

Winds shouldn’t be around 20 mph today with 3 foot seas and 30 mph tonight with 5 foot seas.

Tomorrow will be partly cloudy with about a 20 percent chance of an evening shower and winds similar to today.

That pattern will continue until Friday and Saturday, when winds should calm a bit and the rain chance will increase. Have a great Tuesday!

May 23, 2022

Radar at 7 a.m.

May 23, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We have some light showers around this morning and we’ve had lots of clouds the last 24 hours.

The rain looks more impressive on the 7 a.m. radar than it did in our weather stations. No one got more than a tenth of an inch and I got zero on Jonesville Point. Let me know in comments what you got.

We will keep the clouds around today and a small chance of a shower. Winds will be out of the east at 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Tonight should be calmer than past nights, with winds staying around 20 mph, but tomorrow night, gusts back up to 30 mph are forecast. This week will be a week with low chances of showers. Those chances will increase this weekend, but even then will only be about 40 percent. Have a great week!

May 22, 2022

May 22, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Last night we got up to 39 mph for our windiest night yet! Wind will continue today, along with some high clouds. It is unlikely any rain will come out of those clouds. Radar indicates some small areas with light rain off the island, but I’d put our chance of seeing any this morning at around 10 percent.

Other than that we will have east winds 20-30 mph and seas 4-6 feet (1.3-2 meters).

Winds may calm a bit tomorrow to 20 mph with continued mostly cloudy skies and seas 3-4 feet.

Windy, dry conditions continue until Friday, when we should have a calmer day with at least a chance of rain. Have a great Sunday!

May 20, 2022

May 20, 2022: Good morning, Roatan. We got winds up to 30 mph last night in Jonesville Point and expect more of the same tonight. There’s a lot of clouds and showers off the Mosquito Coast this morning, but those should stay over there and we should stay dry and partly cloudy. This afternoon and evening east/southeast winds will be back in the 20-30 mph range with seas at 5 feet (1.6 meters).

Tomorrow will be much like today and Sunday could be the windiest day of them all, with daytime winds consistently touching 30 mph.

Winds should drop back down to 15-20 mph Monday. Any chance of rain will come late in the week. Have a great Friday!

May 19, 2022

May 19, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! If you want the wind, you’re definitely going to get it this weekend, with evening winds around 35 mph.

Today we start out with high clouds, but today will be mostly sunny with east winds 10-15 mph during the day and around 20 mph this evening. Seas will be 2 feet (.6 meters) today and 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) tonight.

Tomorrow winds will be 15-20 mph during the day and 20-25 mph at night.

Saturday winds will be 20-25 mph even during the day and Sunday winds will be 25-30 gusting to 35 mph. Needless to say it will be quite wavy, with waves 5-6 feet (1.6-2 meters). Be careful out there.

Rain chances will be small at the beginning of next week, but will get a little better as the week goes on. Have a great Thursday!

May 18, 2022

The U.S. GFS forecast model that runs through June 3.

May 18, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! The U.S. GFS weather model has given up on the idea of forming a storm over us next week, but it still calls for better rain chances beginning next week.

Today will be mostly sunny with east winds 10 mph and 1 foot (.3 meter) seas during the day and getting up to 20 mph and 3 foot (1 meter) seas this evening.

Tomorrow winds will be 15 mph and 2 foot seas during the day and gusting up to 25 mph and 4 foot seas overnight.

Friday through the weekend should be dry and windy.

We’ll start increasing the chance of scattered showers on Sunday. Have a great Wednesday!

May 17, 2022

GFS model run starting Sunday and ending May 29.

May 17, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Enjoy one more day of calm conditions! Winds today will be 5 mph during the day and 10 mph at night with 1 foot (.3 meter) waves. Winds pick up tomorrow to 10-15 mph from the east/northeast during the day and 2 foot seas (.6 meter) and 15-20 mph Wednesday night. Thursday and Friday winds will be in the 20 mph range and gustier at night with 4 foot seas (1.3 meters). The GFS model is still trying to form a storm over our head starting Sunday and turning it into a tropical storm toward Yucatan. The model run you see here is from this Sunday through the next Sunday. Most other models show heavy rain on the Pacific Coast of Central America and us staying dry. I would put the chance of this storm happening at 30 percent. We’ll keep an eye on it.