Tropical update for Sept. 21, 2023: Tropical weather has been pretty quiet here in the Caribbean. Fortunately we haven’t had any disturbances in awhile, which is good because the waters are quite hot. The red X shown in the central Atlantic Ocean is headed west toward the Lesser Antilles. Current computer models show this storm developing, likely into a hurricane, but turning north before getting into the Caribbean. So it is unlikely to affect us, but we’ll keep an eye on it.

Sept. 21, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Overnight we had quite a bit of storminess to our east, but it stayed to our east. We are getting a few clouds from it at 7 a.m. but it doesn’t look like there’s much rain. We’re windier than we’ve been in awhile with 15 mph winds and seas a little over 2 feet. Today and tomorrow we will continue to have winds around 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet. This weekend looks calmer.
The next two nights we will continue to have a 40 percent chance of an overnight shower. The rain chance goes down over the weekend. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands. At 7:30 a.m. we have a lot of rain off the Mosquito Coast but most of that is moving away from us. We have a few scattered showers northeast of Barbarat, so a stray shower is not out of the question for some of us this morning.

We will be partly cloudy today with east winds 10-17 mph and seas around 2 feet. There is a better chance of an evening shower today, around 40 percent.
Tomorrow we will continue to have east winds 10-17 mph and seas 2 feet.
Friday through the weekend looks calmer again, with winds 5-10 mph and seas mostly 1 foot. Rain chances will be around 30 percent. Have a great Wednesday.

Good morning Bay Islands. At 7:30 a.m., we have a few small showers, one that is bringing a third of an inch to Palmetto Bay and another bringing some rain to Guanaja.

These are very small showers that will pass quickly and decrease as the morning moves along. We will continue mostly calm with east winds 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Rain chances will continue to be around 30 percent today and tomorrow, but go up tomorrow night into the rest of the week. Thursday will be a little windier at 12-17 mph but ther rest of the week looks pretty calm. Have a great Tuesday!

I went snorkeling off Oakridge for the first time in awhile and saw lots of coral turned light blue.

This picture isn’t mine, but it’s very similar to what I saw. I asked a dive instructor and he said that this is a defense mechanism when coral starts getting too hot. There is only one buoy that is sending live temperature readings.

It is at White Hole on the north side midisland. It says we’ve been at 30.4 C (almost 87F) for quite awhile now. This is a combination of hot weather and lack of wave action to churn the water. Bleaching is the result. Let’s hope rainy season and cooler waters get here soon.

Good morning Bay Islands. Last night just after midnight, we got a nice shower here on Jonesville Point giving us just over a tenth of an inch. You probably saw the light show last night from storms on the coast, but for most of us, they never made it to the islands, though Utila got a nice shower around 11 p.m. last night, good for .38 of an inch. Let us know if you got any rain in comments.

At 7:30 a.m. we have some clouds moving in from the southwest, but radar isn’t showing any rain in those clouds.

Our mild winds (5-10 mph) and seas (mostly 1 foot), will continue today and tomorrow. We will also have a very small chance of rain, mostly at night and in the early morning.

Wednesday seas should come up a bit to 2 feet.

Starting Wednesday night and Thursday morning, into the weekend, we will have a higher chance of scattered showers, about a 40 percent chance each day and night. Winds will be a little higher, at 12-17 mph and seas 2-3 feet Thursday and Friday. The weekend looks calmer, but with about a 40 percent chance of rain as well. Have a great week!

Today through Wednesday we will continue to have mild winds from the east 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Rain chances will be small and mostly at night or early morning.
Starting Thursday into next weekend our rain chances increase. The Caribbean tropics have been very quiet and there are no tropical storms in the forecast, but we will have more moisture and a more unstable atmosphere leading to more squalls the end of this week and the first of next week.
Have a great Sunday!

Sept. 16, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. There are two small showers just north of Barbarat and Morat that don’t seem to be moving our way. They actually don’t seem to be moving much at all and will probably disappear in an hour or so. We will continue to have mild winds and seas from the east 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Rain chances are low, but you can’t rule out a pop-up shower here or there. That will be the forecast, not only for this weekend but for much of next week. As we get to next weekend, the rain chances should get better. Have a great weekend! I hear there’s a big fishing tourney going on. Like I always say, September is one of the best weather months on the island if you’re interested in calm seas. Low tide is 4:15 p.m., but the tides are very mild.

Our forecast for today and the weekend is very similar to the past few days, except we will be slightly windier. Daytime winds will be 10 mph and nighttime winds 15 mph with seas at 2 feet. We will continue to have scattered showers and partly cloudy skies. Have a great Friday!

Much like yesterday at this time (7 a.m.) we have a small shower moving from east to west over Roatan. It has brought .13 of an inch at my place on Jonesville Point and is coming to an end. Our area of the Caribbean is mostly clear this morning, we just happen to be under this cloud. Yesterday was one of those tropical days where one location would get an inch in a sudden downpour and a location less than a mile away got nothing.
Today will continue with calm winds and seas, but the winds will pick up a bit toward evening to 10-15 mph and seas to 2 feet.
Tomorrow into the weekend we will have daytime winds around 10 mph and nighttime winds around 15 mph with seas mostly 2 feet, occasionally 3 feet.
Rain will be isolated. Most of the time we will be sunny but there will be hit and miss showers out there from time to time. As we get closer to new moon, we’re having pretty mild low tides but high tides are a bit higher. High tide tonight is 8 p.m. Have a great Friday!