Good morning Bay Islands. Here is today’s video forecast.

We’re dealing with a storm to our east that may bring us a shower or thundershower through the morning. These storms tend to weaken as the morning goes along, so I think our afternoon will be nice.

The National Hurricane Center has issued a watch area for a tropical system, but only gives it a 20 percent chance through 7 days. So very low likelihood of a tropical storm.

For tomorrow we will have a 50/50 chance of scattered showers. Rain Monday through Wednesday looks heavier as a low pressure or tropical system forms to our east, but by Wednesday it should be caught by a cold front and move quickly east, so the chances of us being directly affected by a tropical storm are very low. Have a great Friday!

Short story:

Nice today and most of tomorrow. Mild winds and seas through Saturday.

Chance of rain this weekend is 50/50, but probably only 1-2 inches of rain.

Next week’s forecast depends on how our low pressure/potential tropical storm forms. If it forms, it may actually mean less rain for us, as the tropical storm draws moisture away. If it doesn’t, we may be dealing with periods of heavy rain early next week, but right now it looks like only 2-4 additional inches. Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 8, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands, short story:

Light rain possible through noon, then some peeks of sun.

Nice tomorrow and most of Friday. Seas 3-4 feet today, 2 feet tomorrow, 1-2 feet for the weekend.

Rain chances return for the weekend and possible heavy rain Monday and Tuesday. GFS wants to create a tropical storm to our east, which would bring us rain early in the week, but if it moved north like the model shows, it would actually bring us drier air for the end of next week and the weekend. Most models simply show rain early to midweek next week.

Also a shoutout to our first business sponsor, Rosita’s Meat Market in French Harbor and Coxen Hole. Thanks for your support. If your business would like to support our forecasts, please contact me personally or go to patreon.com/roatanweather. Have a great Wednesday!

Good soggy morning Bay Islands. The highlights: Scattered showers today, tonight and tomorrow morning. Wednesday midday and Thursday we dry out. Friday small rain chances return. Better rain chances this weekend and possible heavy rain early next week. Right now the GFS is trying to create a tropical storm for next week, but most models say no and the GFS has a history of exagerrating things.

The headlines: Rain continues today and tomorrow, especially at night.

Midday Wednesday through Friday things look nice.

Our next norther approaches Saturday, looking to the tropics next Monday for potential tropical storms.

Good morning Bay Islands. Here’s our video for today.Unfortunately we have more rain to our east that is heading this way, probably for midmorning. Possible heavy rain tonight. Scattered showers Monday and Tuesday. Real improvement Wednesday and especially Thursday. Some sort of storm is predicted at the end of next weekend into the following Monday. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Here is the video for today. The headlines. At 7:45 a.m. we have rain moving in from the east. Not as much rain today as yesterday and the trend will be for less rain each day into Monday, but we will still have scattered showers, mid to late week look nice with only isolated showers. A weak norther and the possibility of a low pressure system bringing rain late next weekend into early the following week. Have a great weekend.

Good morning Bay Islands. Here are our rainfall totals overnight. Very consistent numbers across the big island. We’ve been a bit fortunate in this storm. Puerto Cortes has picked up over 16 inches yesterday and this morning. A bit more for Utila.

On our satellite we can see that we are in the middle of a lot of storms, though I put purple circles over areas that could give us some breaks later on today. All this activity is moving from east to west.

Winds this morning are from the north around 15 mph and seas on the north side are generally around 5 feet, though at Michael Rock Guanaja they are showing at 6 feet.

Today we will continue to have periods of rain, sometimes heavy and perhaps a peek or two of sunshine. Tonight more rain.

For the weekend we will still have scattered showers, though probably rainfall totals will be a little less than today. Monday we will have isolated showers and Tuesday through the end of the week is looking quite nice, with low winds and seas mostly 2 feet. Another good chance of rain is in the forecast for late next weekend. I’ll do a video later in the morning. Don’t forget to like and subscribe at youtube.com/@roatanweather and support us at patreon.com/roatanweather. Have a great Friday and stay safe!