April 13, 2024

Rain, glorious rain. Our photo of the day comes from Paula Chamernick in Guaiabara Beach Big Bight. The chances of rain finally broke through overnight and into this morning. Sadly, from here the chances of rain go down, but will be around through Monday morning.

On satellite we can see lots of popcorn clouds around, so there will be a chance of rain showers today, especially this morning. But we will have partly cloudy skies with periods of sun. Where there are rain and clouds it will be a tad cooler, but when you get in the sun, it will still be muggy and hot. We will have chances of rain tonight into Sunday morning and Sunday night into Monday morning. Sunday and Monday afternoon should be dry and mostly sunny.

Here are the numbers you are all interested in. West Bay was the big winner with an inch and a quarter. Most of the rest of us got between a third and three quarters of an inch.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with with north winds at 5 mph and seas only at two feet. Those conditions will last most of the day. This evening winds will pick up to 15 mph from the northeast and seas will pick up to 3 feet. Those conditions will continue through tomorrow. Next week we will have easterly trade winds, but not as bad as in recent weeks. Winds will be mostly 15 mph during the day and 20 mph at night and 3-4 foot seas, mostly on the south side.

High tides are pretty low and lowest tide will be 8:15 mph. Have a great weekend!

April 12, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Today’s photo comes from Debbie Robertson in Punta Gorda. It is appropriate because today is the celebration of the 227th anniversary of the Garifuna landing in Punta Gorda. There will be a small chance of a shower today, but mostly things should be OK, with fairly calm winds.

Want to see a sad video? Last night there was a nice-looking line of thundershowers entering the Caribbean and northern Belize and I had hopes we might have a round of morning showers, but you can see how these storms disappear this morning.

On satellite this morning we can see a very weak frontal boundary with some popcorn clouds behind it. This is drifting very slowly southeast. I sincerely hope some of these clouds make it our way, but it’s not a sure thing. We will have a 30 percent chance of rain through Sunday. I know folks in Punta Gorda don’t want a lot of rain today, but I think even they would welcome a little rain.

Saturday night is Steak Night at Ikigai by Robby Molina, and there is no more tender, juicy steak than the one put on the grill by our island’s top chef.

We have mostly light westerly winds, especially Utila and the west side of Roatan, due to a very small low pressure system to our northwest. We will have light and variable winds today but this evening we will switch back to light northeasterly winds. Tomorrow, because of winds to our north, we will have a little bit of surf on the north side, 2-3 feet. On Sunday we will have northeast winds 15 mph and seas around 3 feet northside.

Lowest tide is around 7 p.m. Have a great Friday and hope to see you in Punta Gorda.

April 11, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Janie Bard in West Bay. If you would like to submit a photo and a chance at a $50 credit at Blue Bahia Beach Grill, please email your photo to bookmybio@gmail.com along with name and location or WhatsApp it to 9475-4406. The reason I ask you not to send it Messenger is because for some reason Mark Zuckerberg takes all the resolution out of the photo.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Let’s start with this morning’s winds. The buoys on the north side of Utila are showing 20 mph west winds, while the buoys on the south side of Roatan are still showing strong east winds. This forecast map is for noon today, and shows the westerly winds moving into the west side of Roatan. After noon the forecast is for the winds to shift back slightly to the east, but this will be a day where the further west you are the more likely you are to have west winds and the further east, the more likely to have easterlies.

By noon tomorrow, westerlies are hanging on in Utila, but many of us will have calmer winds, with some northeasterlies around 15 mph especially for the northeast side of Roatan and Guanaja.

By noon Saturday we’re all back to easterly winds, but only about 15 mph.

Rain forecast: On satellite you can see the cold front strongly apparent over Florida, but not so easy to see as you go southwest. But it is the reason our winds are changing today. We will see an increase in clouds today, but only a 10 percent chance of any sort of shower. For the period from tomorrow morning through Monday morning, we will have a 40 percent chance of rain, mostly overnight and in the mornings. It’s not a sure thing, but let’s hope some of us get a little relief from this drought.

Last night I had spaghetti with ground beef from Carniceria Rosita and was reminded just how lean and tasty their beef is. Most other places will have soy or other fillers that mess up the texture of the meat, but Rosita’s is just pure, tasty beef.

Low tide is 5:30 p.m. Have a great Thursday!

April 10, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands! This morning’s photo is from Mel James at Guanaja’s West End. Gorgeous blue skies though we’ve been a little hazy recently. Give Mel’s photo a “like” to get it into the contest April 30 for a $50 gift certificate to Blue Bahia Beach Grill. I got a 40 mph wind gust on Jonesville Point last night. One more day of east winds before we get our very weak cold front.

Today we will have 20 mph east winds, getting back up to 30 mph this evening, with seas 4-5 feet on the south side. Tomorrow morning into midday we will have a period of westerly winds, especially for Utila and the west side of Roatan. East side and Guanaja, will have light east winds until closer to midday, when we pick up some west winds as well. Those west winds will be around 15 mph with seas around 3 feet north and west sides. Thursday evening through Sunday morning we will have a chance of rain. It’s not a big chance, maybe 40 percent for the whole period. Just hope you get a quick downpour. Highest chance will be Friday night into Saturday morning.

We keep saying maybe the next cold front will be the last. They get weaker and weaker each time. I think this one may be the last one for real. The extended forecast on the GFS doesn’t show any more cold front getting anywhere close to the Caribbean. After this, our only hope for any sort of shower comes from waves of moisture coming from our east. This is probably also the last time we have to worry about westerly winds for awhile. Easterly trades should dominate the rest of April into May.

Our photo of the day is a great reminder that Guanaja is a great place to visit. I will be over there the first part of May. I’m hoping to get some diving in. If you have a dive shop on Guanaja and have an extra seat on a boat at a reasonable price let me know.

Lowest tide is 4:20 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!

April 9, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Tammy Wright at Half Moon Bay in West End. I want to thank everyone who sent photos from here and elsewhere of yesterday’s solar eclipse. I am amazed that our Creator made the moon appear the same size as the sun from Earth’s perspective so that it fits so perfectly over the sun during an eclipse. Next total solar eclipse for Roatan is June 13, 2132 and I hope to be here for it.

Let’s start with the Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Last night I got up to 38 mph east winds on Jonesville Point and strong east winds will continue today, tonight, tomorrow and tomorrow night. Thursday we will start to see winds calm and shift to the west. Exactly when that happens is up for debate. 

Above is a map of two computer models for winds Thursday at 9 a.m. The GFS is giving us 15-20 mph west winds, while the Euro shows us more in the middle between west winds and east winds, but as the day goes on we should catch a westerly breeze.

Friday and Saturday winds shift to the northeast, but only around 10-15 mph.

We will be dry today and tomorrow and most of Thursday. I hate to get everyone’s hopes up again, but there will be chances of rain from Thursday night through Sunday morning, with the best chance coming Friday night into Saturday morning. Like previous cold fronts, the chance of rain is much better to our west, toward Puerto Cortes. But we could get fortunate like Guanaja did a few days ago with a 3 inch downpour.

Today and tomorrow will be quite hot. Yesterday’s high at the airport was 86 (30C), but I expect to see 90 degree (32C) readings today and tomorrow. Windy conditions will help with the heat. When the cold front gets here there will be more clouds and that should knock our temperature back a couple of degrees, but don’t expect a big cooldown from this weak cold front. By the weekend we will be having highs of 84 (29C) and lows around 77 (25C).

Low tide is 3:20 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

April 8, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Patric Lengacher at Paya Bay. With winds coming from the south, inside the reef at Paya Bay will still be pretty calm, depite the strong winds. Today is eclipse day. Hopefully skies clear out for you wherever you are.

On satellite we see a pretty decent storm that popped up overnight over southern Belize and the coast of Guatemala. A few high clouds are actually close to Utila from this storm, but unfortunately none of the rain will come this way. I think we would trade in a 40 percent eclipse for a nice rain. Things look decent right now for Mitch Cummins in Mazatlan, but unfortunately clouds are supposed to increase there through the day. I think we should be partly cloudy by noon for the eclipse.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with 20 mph winds and 3 foot seas on the southside. Those winds and seas will continue today, tomorrow and Wednesday. We will have low pressure nearby as we get into Thursday, Friday and Saturday, meaning that winds will be variable on the islands depending on your location.

The cold front that is bringing clouds to much of the total eclipse zone, will finally make it here on Friday, giving us about a 40 percent chance of rain Friday and Saturday.

Speaking of Mitch Cummins, don’t forget to get in touch with him when he returns to get your order in for Roatan Pets food. Sourced from local ingredients and 10 percent of proceeds goes to Roatan Operation Animal Rescue.

5. Low tide is 2:30 p.m. Have a great week and don’t look at the sun!

April 7, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands! Today’s photo of the day comes from Joyann Villalta in Calabash Bight. It shows clear circle of the sun that will be partially covered by the moon from 11:30 a.m. to 1:30 p.m. tomorrow. Peak for us will be at 12:32 p.m. Peak for Mitch Cummins, who is taking a short break from making Roatan Pets food to view the eclipse, will be 11:09 a.m. local time in Mazatlan, Mexico. Hopefully clouds will be will be parted enough for all of us to see the event (indirectly of course).

We have a few popcorn clouds around the island and a few of these will have a short shower in them. Miss Liz over in Politilly recorded .03 of an inch this morning and Pristine Bay recorded .02 around 2 a.m. Any rain will be short-lived. After this morning there really isn’t any rain chances early to midweek this week.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Today we start out with 15 mph east winds and 3 foot seas on the south side and we will be getting back to easterly trade winds through Wednesday, with 17-22 mph east winds and 3-4 foot waves southside in the daytime, and 25-30 mph east winds and 4-5 foot southside waves nighttime. Thursday we may have a brief period in the morning with westerly winds as the front approaches, followed by calmer conditions for a couple of days and a small chance of showers Friday and Saturday.

Don’t forget that today is Sunday, and that means it is Lobster Special Day at Ikigai by Robby Molina.

Solar eclipses are ALWAYS new moons, because the dark side of the moon must be facing us for it to get in the way of the sun. Daytime low tides look pretty mild. Have a great Sunday!

April 6, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is a bird’s eye view from Andrea Radoff and her City Dogs sailboat in Port Royal. Whenever I’m here I visualize the pirate ships anchored here 300 years ago. This side of the island will be nice for boating today, but will get quite wavy as we get into the week ahead.

Let’s start with this morning’s satellite. We can see shower activity at 6:50 a.m. northwest of Puerto Cortes and around Puerto Lempira on the Mosquito Coast as well as a small shower near the Cayos Cochinos. All of this is moving east to west but we are unlikely to see any of it on the islands. Yesterday Guanaja was the big winner, with 3 inches on the south side of Guanaja and 2 inches on the north side. After this morning there is no rain in the forecast until Friday, when a weak cold front gets close and gives us 20-30 percent chances of rain again. By midweek we will be getting quite hot, with temperatures in the low 90s for highs. We were 88 at the airport yesterday and will be right around that today.

Let’s talk about cloud cover at noon on Monday when we will have a 40 percent eclipse here on the islands. We will start the day with a lot of clouds, but by noon we should have partly cloudy skies. So we may have to deal with a few clouds, but if you have your safety glasses, we should have a decent look.

This is the path of totality, going from Mazatlan, Mexico through San Antonio, Dallas, Cleveland, Maine, New Brunswick and PEI, Canada.

Unfortunately, most of the path is also the path of a cold front extending through North America. This is the GFS cloud forecast, and much of the southern and northern US area of the eclipse will have total cloud cover. In the US, the best area is probably around Indianapolis and then also in Maine. The Canadian Maritime part of the eclipse will also likely be clear.

When it comes to the wind forecast, this is definitely the week you want to trust an experienced outfit like Jolly Roger Roatan. Today will be nice on the seas, with east winds around 10 mph and seas around 2 feet. Starting tomorrow we get into the trade wind period with daytime winds around 20 mph and nighttime winds around 25 mph. These will last until the cold front comes on Friday and calms our winds.

Low tides are 1 p.m. and 1:30 a.m. We are getting close to the new moon, which you have to have to get an eclipse. Have a great weekend!

April 5, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands! Our photo of the day comes from Bill Zangle in Sandy Bay. If you like his photo, he may have a chance at a $50 gift certificate at Blue Bahia Beach Grill. I had someone yesterday tell me she doesn’t have an email and can’t send the photo to bookmybio@gmail.com. In that case you can WhatsApp it to 9475-4406. We actually had a few locations record rain.

This morning we see quite a few clouds around. The clouds yesterday kept our temperature down with a high at the airport of 86 (30C), a drop of 7 degrees from the previous day. We can see a good storm over on the coast near the Colon-Gracias a Dios border. Parts of Guanaja are still dealing with rain at 7 a.m. There will continue to be a chance of a shower until mid-morning, but again most of us will stay dry. We should have fewer clouds and more sun today, but with a light north breeze, our temperature will still be around 86. Winds will be out of the north 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet.
Saturday winds turn to the east at 10-15 mph, and 15-20 mph. There will be a 10 percent chance of a morning shower each day.

So far it looks like only Utila and Guanaja recorded rain with Guanaja getting almost an inch. I got a few sprinkles again this morning on Jonesville Point, but nothing measurable.

Monday we will be dealing with some morning clouds, but I’m hopeful that they will clear up by noon for our 40 percent eclipse. Hopefully you have safety glasses left over from our October eclipse. If not, just look at the image cast under the trees to see the moon partially cover the sun. We have a couple of islanders heading to see the full eclipse in person, so we will share their experiences here.

Next week will be quite windy with easterly trade winds and dry. Another cold front will come near Friday and Saturday (this is a forecast map for Friday), at the very least calming our winds and teasing us with small chances of rain like we have had the last couple of days.

Galaxy Wave is running a great special for tickets this month that will save you $9 on an adult trip.

Purchase can be made online at http://www.roatanferry.com or at their 11 sales locations across the Island and in their terminals

Low tides are noon and midnight. Have a great Friday!

April 4, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands! I love the after-Semana Santa feel to our photo of the day from Cat Brown at Eddie’s on the Beach in West End. I woke up this morning to some sprinkles and we have hope – sweet hope – to get some rain over the next 24 hours.

Let’s start with our satellite image, that shows strong showers between Miami and Nassau, then extending southwest to western Cuba. The clouds start thinning out on the west side of the front, but we have enough cloud cover to give us a mostly cloudy day with a few peeks of sunshine today and about a 50 percent chance of rain today and 40 percent tonight into early tomorrow morning. After that we clear out and rain chances go down to 10 percent for Saturday morning and Sunday morning with mostly sunny skies this weekend.

You can see the cold front clearly on the wind boundary map. Being at the end of the cold front, the winds shift around to the west over our islands. We have west/northwest winds 15 mph today and seas 2-3 feet on the north and west sides today. Those will shift to the north this evening. Tomorrow winds will be from the north, but only at 3-7 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Saturday they turn back to the east at 10 mph, Sunday to 15 mph and Monday 20-25 mph.

You can see the waves even making it to the beach at West Bay this morning.

The GFS is trying to give us hope for perhaps three quarters of an inch in some places over the next 24 hours. We’ll see if that happens. We’ve been disappointed before.

Now, let’s talk temperature. We got up to 93 degrees (33.8C) at the airport yesterday, which is one of the higher reading I ever remember seeing. When I received the record book for Roatan, there was a note that the all-time high was 97 (36.1C). Fortunately with the cloud cover today, we should be a bit cooler, probably around 87 (30.6C). Tomorrow with the north breeze we should start the day in the 70s and get up to around 84. Cooler conditions last through Saturday morning, but by early to mid week next week we’ll be back in the heat and around 90 for highs.

I saw on Roatan Hable Claro that James Thomas and his Carniceria Rosita matched donations made by customers 2 to 1 and they were able to raise over $3000 to assist with the rebuilding after the fire in French Harbor. That’s awesome. And every time I spend $20 or $30 at Rosita’s I’m always amazed at the large package of meat I carry out of there. Much more than I would get at that other place I wont mention 😉

Low tides are 11:30 a.m. and midnight. Have a great Thursday!