Sept. 17, 2022, Good morning, Roatan! We still have clouds to our east, but there seems to be a stop sign keeping the rain from spreading over our island. I’d be willing to bet Guanaja got some this morning. We’ll keep it partly cloudy through the morning with a small chance of a shower. Winds will be 15-20 mph from the east today and seas will be 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Overnight tonight and tomorrow morning and overnight Sunday into Monday morning will be our best chances for rain. After that, next week looks pretty dry. Winds will start to calm tomorrow and will be quite calm Sunday into next week. Have a great weekend!

Sept. 16, 2022: Good morning, Roatan. Around 6 p.m. yesterday, those of you on the west side of the island were fortunate to get an evening shower. Those of us midisland and east side were left high and dry. Mud Hole was the big winner with half an inch. Sandy Bay got a little over a quarter of an inch. West Bay only got .17 and West End .08.

Despite the fact that there are clouds and rain to our east this morning, those rains should diminish as the day goes on and we will stay sunny. Winds will stay brisk at 17-22 mph during the day and 20-25 mph at night with seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters).

Saturday winds will calm a bit to 15 mph during the day and 20 mph at night with seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Saturday night is when our higher chance of rain starts and we will have a 50-60 percent chance of catching a shower through Monday night.

Starting Monday we will have a very calm week and starting Tuesday we will return to dry weather, with very small chances of rain each day. Next week looks hot, with lots of sun, few clouds and little wind. Have a great Friday!

Sept. 15, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! This morning we have an official Tropical Storm Fiona in the Atlantic, but we also have good agreement that she is going to turn north and away from us.

As for our weather. The next couple of day will be a bit windier than we have been experiencing, with daytime winds 15-20 mph and nighttime winds 20-25 mph and seas at 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Those winds and seas calm a little on Saturday and even more on Sunday into next week, which looks quite calm.

As for rain chances, we continue with low rain chances until Saturday night/Sunday morning and Sunday night/Monday morning when rain chances will increase and maybe we’ll get some water to wash all these dusty roads. Have a great Thursday!

Tropical update for Sept. 14, 2022: The National Hurricane Center has designated a disturbance in the central Atlantic as Tropical Depression #7. You will notice the forecast cone (called the “cone of uncertainty) goes pretty far south on its southern end and if it followed that path it would give us something to watch out for. But none of the computer models I’ve seen brings it this far south. But we’ll keep an eye on it.

Sept. 14, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We have some clouds to our east that might bring someone a pop-up shower, but is more likely just to give us a partly cloudy morning. We also have a bit windier morning that we had yesterday, but those winds should calm a bit toward midday to 5-10 mph and 1-2 foot seas, then pick up in the evening to 17-22 mph and 3-4 foot seas.

Tomorrow winds will be 15 mph during the day with 2-3 foot seas and 20-25 mph at night.

Friday should be breezy as well. Winds are moderate this weekend and next week looks flat calm. Rain chances continue at 30 percent each day, but may pick up this weekend to about 50 percent. Let’s hope so, my cistern needs a refill.

Tropical update for Sept. 13, 2022: This morning we have two disturbances in the eastern Atlantic that have chances to develop as tropical storms. The one marked with the orange X has a 40 percent chance of development over three days. The models show this heading toward Puerto Rico and eventually perhaps the Gulf of Mexico or turning back toward the Atlantic, but in any case, these storms aren’t a threat to us.

Sept. 13, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! As you can see in this morning’s satellite image as of 6:45 a.m., a wave of clouds were moving over the island in the upper levels of the atmosphere, but little if any rain seems to be connected with these clouds. Today winds will continue to calm to 5-10 mph from the east/southeast and seas will be 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters) and 15-20 mph at night. There will continue to be a 30 percent chance of a passing shower, especially in the evening and overnight.

Tomorrow wind will be 7-12 mph from the east/southeast during the day with 2 foot seas and 17-22 mph during the night.

Friday and Saturday look like somewhat windier days with daytime east winds at 15-20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). Next week looks calmer, but the chance of rain won’t be much over 30 percent any day of the week. Have a great Tuesday!

Sept. 12, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday saw the return of trade winds and higher seas. We will continue to have winds higher than last week, but they will calm somewhat during the day to around 7-12 mph and seas will be around 2 feet (.6 meters) on the south side. At night we will continue to have higher winds in the 17-22 mph range and seas 3-4 feet (1 to 1.3 meters).

We will continue to have 30 percent chances of showers, especially in the evening and overnight. Not much change in the weather pattern for the next two weeks, except that next week promises to be another calm week. Have a great week!

Sept. 10, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We woke up to clouds, especially on the west side and over Utila but it seems none of us got any rain this morning (the Utila weather station is not working). Today is the day the wind picks up after a glorious week of calm seas. Winds should really pick up after noon to 17-23 mph from the east and 3 foot seas and 20-25 mph and 4 foot seas overnight.

Rain chances will continue at around 30 percent and mostly at night.

Winds Sunday should be 12-17 mph and 2 foot seas during the day and 17-23 mph and 3 foot seas at night. Have a great weekend!

Sept. 9, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Some rain showers passed by early this morning and most of us got a little, but none of us got a lot. The highest amounts were in Punta Blanca with .23 of an inch and Coral View with .20. West Bay and West End only got a couple hundredths of an inch and Sandy Bay got about a tenth of an inch. We got enough in Jonesville Point to turn the dust on my car into mud, but not much more. We do have the clouds hanging around, which should clear up as the day goes along, but enjoy the shade while you got it. Seas are also up a bit on the south side to 2 feet (.6 meters) but should calm as the day goes along. Our tide was super high this morning, a condition that will continue through the next couple of days of full moon.

We’ll keep a small chance of a morning shower, but as you can see, most of the rain has passed by us. This afternoon should be partly cloudy to mostly sunny. We will keep daily rain chances, especially in the evening or overnight at about 30 percent each day. Winds should be fairly calm until Saturday night, when the pick up into the 20 mph range and fall back to 10-15 mph during the day. Have a great Friday!