Nov. 21, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Most of us got around an inch of rain yesterday, though Sandy Bay and West Bay got less (around a quarter inch) and Coral View got much more (about 2 inches).

This morning’s 7 a.m. satellite shown here hows more rain moving toward the island. Today should be mostly cloudy with a good chance of rain and perhaps a thunderstorm throughout the day. Winds will continue fairly calm except in squalls. Seas will be around 2 feet (.6 meters).

Tomorrow through Thursday there will be around a 40 percent chance of showers each morning, but the rest of the day should be mostly sunny and mostly calm, with light winds and seas 1-2 feet .3 to .6 meters).

This is the European modal for Friday through next Tuesday. You will notice that it shows a norther bringing wind and rain to the island on Saturday. The US model does not agree that the cold front will make it this far south. We will keep an eye on it and see which forecast wins out. If the European is right we will have gusty winds and heavy rains this coming weekend.

Nov. 20, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! A light, steady rain yesterday morning gave most of us between a quarter and half an inch of rain.

We awake to mostly clear skies. We should stay that way through the morning, but we will have increasing clouds this afternoon and an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. A good chance of showers continues through the day Monday with light winds except in squalls and seas around 2 feet.

Starting Tuesday, our weather looks much better, with partly cloudy skies and only small chances of rain each day.

The models aren’t agreeing right now about that norther we’re looking for, perhaps next Sunday or Monday, so we’ll keep an eye on it.

Nov. 19, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday the west side got a lot of rain, generally between 2.5 and 3 inches, but most of it came before 8 a.m. Here on the east side we got much less, from a quarter and half an inch, but it came pretty steady throughout the day yesterday.

This morning we have thunderstorms east of the island moving our way, so some of us should get some rain through the morning. But once we get these morning showers out of the way, we expect less rain and more sun through the midday and afternoon. Winds will be light and variable and seas around 2 feet.

In the satellite image you will see an area of storms off the Mosquito Coast of Nicaragua that is forecast to move northwest and bring us a better chance of rain and storms tomorrow afternoon into Monday. Sunday and Monday winds will continue to be mild, except in squalls, and seas around 2 feet.

The middle of next week looks a little less rainy, with chances about 40 percent each day starting Tuesday. There is good agreement that we should get a norther next weekend, which will bring rain and perhaps some strong northerly winds and high seas. We will keep an eye on it. Have a great weekend!

Nov. 18, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! This morning has definitely started off wet. The west side (West End, West Bay, Sandy Bay) got 1.5 to 2 inches of rain by 7 a.m. Midisland (French Harbor and Coral View) got about half an inch and the east side (Jonesville Point, Politilly, Punta Blanca) got between none and .03, but as you can see on the satellite image, there are showers and thunderstorms on the way.

Today we will have light winds except in squalls, periods of heavy rain and mostly cloudy skies. Seas will be 2-3 feet.

Tomorrow will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with less rain than today, mostly in the morning hours. Winds will continue light, but seas will remain around 3 feet.

Sunday and Monday the chances of rain go up again. Easterly winds should pick up a little on Monday and Tuesday to 10-15 mph. Have a great Friday and take an umbrella!

Nov. 17, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! I’m just back from a trip to the States, rushing through airports and rental cars and Airbnbs no doubt contributed to my confusion yesterday. Today is Thursday, not yesterday.

But yesterday we did get quite a storm around midday. Rain totals were mostly between an inch and an inch and a half. We got a gust of 33 mph on Jonesville Point. Some of us got a little right after midnight. Utila missed the big storm yesterday, but has picked up a third of an inch this morning.

On radar and satellite this morning, we see scattered showers around the island. We will continue to have partly cloudy skies and northeast winds 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter). We will have a good chance of seeing a shower today, but we will also get a lot of sun. Tomorrow I think will have higher rain totals than today. The weather pattern looks mostly the same (mild winds, scattered rain showers, partly cloudy skies) for the next week. Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 16, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday was fairly dry, but a few of us have picked up a shower this morning. Today we will have a good chance of rain and that chance last right through the weekend. Most of the time we can say most of our rain is at night. but we will have showers passing through daytime and nighttime during this period. Winds will be fairly calm at 5-10 mph and seas will mostly be 2 feet (.6 meters), though Friday night and Saturday they may pick up to 3 feet (1 meter). Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 15, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Rain totals around one inch were common around the island yesterday.

Today is the day that we hope is drier. Today will be mostly sunny with only a low chance of a passing shower, around 30 percent. Winds will be from the northeast 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Winds will be like that for the rest of the week.

Good rain chances return tonight, tomorrow and tomorrow night. Rain chances go down a little on Thursday and return Friday through the weekend. Have a great Tuesday!

Nov. 14, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Most of us got at least some rain yesterday, with West Bay getting the most with half an inch and West End getting a third of an inch. Many of us on the east side got a little rain this morning, with Punta Blanca getting around a quarter of an inch.

This morning we have a lot of clouds and a few showers around, so we will definitely have a chance of rain through today. Winds will be very light today with 1 foot (.3 meter) seas and around 10 mph tonight with 2 foot (.6 meter) seas.

Tomorrow looks like the driest day of the week, with only a small chance of a passing shower, 5-10 mph winds and seas 1-2 feet.

Tuesday night into Wednesday looks wetter and there are good chances at showers into the weekend. We are definitely in rainy season!

Nov. 13, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! The east side of the island got a small shower about 3 a.m. with Politilly getting .03 of an inch and Punta Blanca getting .12 of an inch.

Today will be partly cloudy with a chance of a shower throughout the day, especially this afternoon. Winds will be light, from the east/northeast around 5 mph and seas at 1 foot (.3 meters). Tomorrow will be mostly sunny but still with scattered showers. Winds will be northeast at 5-10 mph and seas at 1-2 feet. As we get into the later part of the week, rain looks a little heavier and skies look a little cloudier.

This map shows the predicted rainfall through next Saturday night, which the US GFS weather model puts at 4-5 inches. Winds will still be fairly light and seas 1-2 feet through the week. Have a great Sunday!

Nov. 12, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We have another great day ahead of us, with winds from the east 5-10 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters) on the south side and mostly clear skies.

Tomorrow winds remain fairly calm around 5 mph and seas at 1 foot (.3 meters) and we will have about a 50 percent chance of seeing a shower during the day.

Monday and Tuesday winds and seas remain fairly calm with a chance of rain mostly overnight or in the early morning.

Rain chances go up Wednesday. Have a great weekend!