March 2, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! All this dry weather and dust are increasing my number of sneezes. Seas are 4-5 feet this morning after getting up to 7 feet last night. We had another night of 35 mph winds. We will be windy today through Friday. Saturday we are looking for a bit of a calmer day with 10-15 mph winds and seas at 3 feet. Starting Sunday we will be windy, but not quite as windy. Instead of 35 mph nighttime winds, we will have 25 mph nighttime winds. Our hopes for some morning rain showers are much less, perhaps a few midweek next week. Have a great Thursday!

Our rainfall totals ranged from 1.57 inches in French Harbour to 3.38 inches in West End. (Utila did a little better with 4.01 inches) We will put 2.57 from Sandy Bay in the books, about half our normal 5.34 inches. That is the lowest February rainfall since the drought year of 2019. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen again. Lots of community wells went dry that year. We seem to be moving into an El Nino neutral (neither El Nino nor La Nina) phase, which is characterized by brisk trade winds and drier conditions for the western Caribbean. We begin March with a dry forecast. March is the true beginning of our dry season with only an average of 3.56 inches of rain. It looks like we’ll struggle to get there.

March 1, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands and welcome to March! We start the month dry and windy and will continue that way for at least the first week. This morning we have winds at 20 mph and seas at 4 feet. We will continue our 20 mph windy days and 30 mph windy nights. Winds should calm a bit this weekend, but the long-range models that were giving us some morning showers early next week are starting to weaken. Things look pretty dry for a long while. Have a great Wednesday!

Feb. 28, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! A friend of mine who hosts tours noticed that during the week when he’s doing tours it’s been windy and choppy and on the weekends when there are no tours it’s been calmer. That will certainly be true this week. Last night we got up to 32 mph winds and 6 foot seas. This morning we have 20 mph winds and 3-4 foot seas. Those winds and seas will follow the same pattern through Friday.
Saturday we should get calmer. That is also when we will start getting a better chance of morning showers, though we still don’t expect a lot of rain this weekend or next week, but a little rain will still be better than this week when we’re getting nothing. Have a great Tuesday!

Feb. 27, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! We’ve had some clouds moving out of the southeast over Guanaja bringing a few showers through the morning. It looks like it will stay mostly to the east, but there are a few more clouds on the way, so we will keep the morning partly cloudy with a small chance of a passing shower. Otherwise, today we will see the winds pick up again, especially this evening. At 9 a.m., seas are at 4 feet and winds around 20 mph. By evening we will have winds 25-30 mph and seas 5-6 feet. Tomorrow during the day winds will be back down to 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet, but tomorrow night will be windy, with 25-35 mph and seas back up to 6 feet. This will be a windy week, but this weekend we see the winds calming a bit and a chance of a few showers. After that next week looks a bit less windy than this week. Have a great week!

Feb. 26, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands. Winds are fairly calm this morning at 5-10 mph and seas are at 3 feet. We have a few clouds to our east so a light shower is possible this morning, but it shouldn’t be anything major.

Today we will have east winds at 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Tonight gets a bit windier at 20-25 mph and seas 4-5 feet. Starting Monday we are back to windy conditions, with daytime winds 17-22 mph and seas around 4 feet and nighttime winds 30-35 mph and seas 5-6 feet. The chance of a shower is very, very small this week and goes up only slightly next weekend. Have a great Sunday!

Feb. 25, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands. Our winds definitely are calmer. This morning they are right around 10 mph and seas are 3-4 feet. There are some clouds to our south, so a morning sprinkle isn’t out of the question, but nothing major. Seas will stay 3-4 feet through the weekend and our winds will be 10-20 mph. Starting Monday the winds and seas get more active and next week looks very windy and wavy, and dry. Have a great weekend!

Feb. 24, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! We got up to 35 mph winds and 7-8 foot seas last night, but we are down to 22 mph and 4-5 foot seas at 7 a.m. We have a few clouds off to our east. We will stay dry today and we will have a very small chance for a shower tonight. Today and tonight will be windy, with 20-25 mph winds today and 30-35 mph winds tonight.
This weekend will be slightly better with 20 mph winds during the day and 25 mph winds at night and seas around 4 feet.
Starting Monday the 35 mph winds at night return. The next week remains dry and windy. Have a great Friday!

Feb. 23, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands. Another windy night with winds peaking at about 9 p.m. last night at 35 mph. Seas got up to 6 feet, but are down to 4 feet this morning. We have another couple of zinc-pounding windy days and nights before the winds calm down to just being breezy this weekend.
Friday morning, Saturday morning and Sunday morning we will have a few clouds and can’t rule out a shower here or there, but most of us will stay dry.
Seas will be 4-5 feet during the day and 5-6 feet at night today and tomorrow. They will calm to 3-4 feet this weekend.
Next week looks windy as well.
The long-range forecast is trying to give us some rain around March 5, but that is a long way away and things can change. Have a great Thursday!

Feb. 22, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! Those winds definitely came back. We are at 30 mph at 7:15 a.m. here on Jonesville Point. Seas are 5-6 feet (1.7 meters). Winds will calm a little this afternoon to 20-25 mph and seas to 4-5 feet. Tonight looks even windier, with winds up to 35 mph and seas 7-8 feet. Thursday and Friday will both be windy and dry except for a slight chance of a shower Friday morning, but I wouldn’t bet on it. Winds are a bit calmer this weekend at around 20 mph even at night. Have a great Wednesday!