July 13, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Looks like it’s been Utila’s morning to enjoy a rain shower. This morning the showers have been close to the coast of the mainland. We will keep a small chance of a shower through mid-morning and the afternoon should be dry. We will continue to have these chances of morning showers.
Winds will be calmer today and tomorrow out of the east 10-20 mph and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters). The weekend looks a little windier at 15-25 mph and seas around 4 feet (1.3 meters) getting up to 5 feet Saturday night and Sunday night. Winds look a little calmer first of next week, back to 10-20 mph. Low tide is 12:30 p.m. Have a great Thursday.

The west side finally got a good rain. It looks like two waves for most, one at 3 a.m. and one that has been passing through in the 6 a.m. hour. Sometimes the rain-cooled air creates a boundary that can create more showers. That is what happened yesterday when Camp Bay and St. Helene in the far east got a downpour mid-morning. These showers should generally decrease, though, and the afternoon should be dry.

Lots of people have been asking where are July squalls are, and it looks like they have finally arrived. The period Friday through Sunday look like we will have an even better chance, but generally these scattered showers look like a possibility every morning, though we won’t all get wet every morning.
Today we will have east winds 15-22 mph and seas at 3 feet, but tomorrow and Friday look a bit calmer, with winds 10-17 mph and seas at 2 feet. Low tide will be around noon. Have a great Wednesday.

July 11, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. From radar it looks like Guanaja may have gotten a couple of rounds of rain and perhaps some thunder last night. Let us know in comments. The rain mostly missed the big island of Roatan to the north, though Punta Blanca did pick up .03 of an inch this morning.

Our windy conditions from the east at 20-25 mph will continue through tomorrow night, but Thursday and Friday look calmer with northeast winds 12-17 mph and seas around 2 feet.

Our chance of rain Thursday through Saturday will go up as well, though as usual, most rain should come overnight or early in the morning. Low tide is 11 a.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Looks like there is a small shower at 7 a.m. just north of Camp Bay. Around 4 a.m. Punta Blanca picked up a meager .01 of an inch. We’ll continue to mostly stay dry over the next few days though chances for a small shower will get better the closer we get to the weekend.
We continue windy with east winds 20-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Those winds and waves will continue through the week, calming a bit on Thursday and Friday. The tropics continue to be quiet, with nothing looking like a tropical storm in the week ahead. Low tide is 9:50 a.m. Have a great week!

July 9, 2023. Good morning Bay Islands. This morning we have one lonely little shower well to our north, and it is moving away from us. This morning winds are around 20 mph and seas at 3 feet. Windy conditions will continue during the day with winds 20-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) and in the late evenings 25-30 mph and seas 4-5 feet (1.3-1.6 meters). Those winds should last at least through Wednesday night. The next decent chance of rain looks to be Thursday with a little better chance late next weekend. Low tide is 8:40 a.m. Have a great Sunday!

July 8, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. We wake up to clouds and wind but not much rain.

There’s a lot of rain on the Belize coast. Dangriga got 2.5 inches, but none of that is coming this way. East winds will continue around 20 mph during the day and 30 mph during the late evening. Seas will be 4-5 feet (1.3-1.6 meters). Nighttime rain chances will be very small. Low tide is 7:25 a.m. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. Around 6 a.m., many of us saw a shower pass over. Our 7 a.m. rain totals are listed here. We probably got about a quarter of an inch on Jonesville Point, but our weather station is down.

Those showers were just the westernmost part of a storm system to our east. I drew an arrow showing our rain showers and obviously there is more rain out there that you can see on satellite and radar.

We will have a chance of rain, especially this morning but I can also say that as the morning goes on, these storms will weaken, so I don’t foresee a WHOLE LOT of rain, just a few scattered showers, if this thing can hold together. There will be a decent chance of rain overnight tonight and tomorrow morning. Winds today will be pretty calm, at 7-12 mph and seas at 1-2 feet. Tomorrow will be a little windier at 17-22 mph during the day and seas 3-4 feet and 20-30 mph tomorrow night and seas 4-5 feet.
This weekend should continue windy with small chances of overnight showers and lots of high clouds. Low tide is 5:30 p.m., but not as low as in recent days. Have a great Thursday!

July 5, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. This morning the satellite is clear to partly cloudy with almost nor rain is our part of the Caribbean. Even the Mosquito Coast is dry. We’ve been stuck in a pattern where storms have been moving up from the southeast, but missing us to the east and north. That pattern may continue, giving us small chances of overnight rain. Today, tonight and tomorrow should be mostly clear with east winds 10-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Tomorrow night we will have a 30 percent chance of rain. Starting Thursday night things get a little windier, with nighttime winds up to 30 mph and seas to 4 feet. Low tide is 4:30 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!

July 4, 2023: Good morning. In the video, you can see how the rain teased us to the east and northeast.
This morning we wake up to winds from the east at 20 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Winds will remain around 20-30 mph this week and seas 3-4 feet.
Today will be mostly cloudy but rain chances will be about 20 percent each day this week and mostly overnight and in the early morning. Have a great Tuesday!

June 2023 Rainfall. Rainfall totals for June ranged from about half an inch at West Bay to 3.65 inches in Politilly and 4.74 inches in Punta Blanca. So it looks like the east side did better during the month, in many places going over the 3 inch average for a typical June. But we usually record the Sandy Bay amount as the official rainfall for the island and that is 1.45 inches. We are halfway through the year and only have 15 percent of the year’s average rainfall, so we are way behind. We are behind even the drought year of 2019 when it comes to rainfall. June is pretty much the end of the average dry season on the island. An average July brings 5.46 inches of rain. Right now the forecast for July looks pretty average, and definitely better than June was. In July we start looking to the Caribbean for perhaps some of the earliest tropical storm possibilites, though late August through October is our primetime for hurricanes. Right now there’s nothing to see in the Atlantic or Caribbean when it comes to tropical storms. Let’s hope we stay away from the hurricanes but at least get wet.