Well, it’s official. The whole island is in the 60s, many of us under a cool, steady rain. Buoys show that winds are out of the north around 30 mph and seas are 8 feet, especially north side. The good news is that it gets better from here. Rain will slacken, the wind will calm a bit. Tomorrow should be our coldest morning and I’ll be interested to see if we challenge the all-time record low of 63.6 degrees.

Tomorrow and Tuesday we will have north winds around 15 mph and seas 4-5 feet Northside with continued light scattered, cool showers. Thursday we get a weaker norther with 20 mph winds and more rain showers. The good news is I think that will be the last one for awhile and we will return to more normal weather. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. I’m posting the wave forecast for overnight tonight as the photo of the day because it is the most important part of the forecast.

Today will be partly cloudy with periods of sun and moderate north winds, increasing as the day goes along. We start the day with 15 mph winds and seas around 3-4 feet, but those will increase as the day goes along and tomorrow will be quite nasty, with seas on the north side up to 9 feet. Winds will be start off around 30 mph from the north and drop a bit as the day goes along. Rainfall will be occasional, but mostly just a chilly light rain when it falls. Things will slowly improve Tuesday into next week, but seas will still be around 4-5 feet Northside and we will be quite fresh in the mornings, with lows in the 60s (around 19C). Have a great and safe weekend.

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Michelle Peedee in West Bay.
This morning we have dealt with some morning showers. Showers should decrease as the morning goes on, but we will remain partly cloudy today. Tomorrow looks drier and we are waiting for some pretty strong north winds Saturday night into Sunday morning.

On satellite we can see our clouds at 8:30 a.m. We will have a shower here or there today and partly cloudy skies. We should be mostly sunny tomorrow. Chances of rain will increase tomorrow evening as the cold front approaches and through the day on Sunday we will have a chance of light, steady, cool rain at time, but our rain totals shouldn’t be too bad and I’m not concerned with flooding in this norther.

Wind and wave forecast: Today and tomorrow morning winds will be moderate, mostly from the north around 10 mph and seas around 3 feet. Starting tomorrow evening we will see the winds pick up to 12-17 mph out of the north and seas to 4, maybe 5 feet, but the real bad seas are overnight tomorrow into Sunday morning, with north winds 20, gusting to 30 mph and seas 7-8 feet. Winds will calm on Monday, but seas will still be wavy around 5 feet into early next week.

On this forecast map, the blues are temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Our normal low this time of year is around 72 (22C) and normal high around 80 (27C). This is the longest period of below normal temperatures I’ve seen on the island since coming here in 2019. We will consistently have lows in the upper 60s (20C) and I expect to get close to our all-time low of 64 (17.8C) Monday or Tuesday morning. The cool temperatures last all the way to Feb. 10 in this forecast.

Tides continue to run quite low, especially around noon and 1 a.m. Have a great Friday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is a cloudy one from Andre Palmer in Saint Helene.
We are still dealing with some clouds and rain from our last norther and some waves, but both should calm today a bit and tomorrow and Saturday should be drier. Another norther comes Sunday.

On satellite we can see clouds moving down from the north at 8 a.m. and we especially have a rain cloud over the east side. We will deal with scattered showers through the morning, but the afternoon should be drier and partly cloudy. Tomorrow and Saturday we can’t rule out a morning shower, but we should be partly to mostly sunny both days. The next norther Sunday into Monday will have less rain. Some models put us at only half an inch total for both days. But it will be windy, especially Sunday with north winds gusting over 30 mph and seas in the 8-9 foot range Sunday, falling to 5-6 feet Monday.
Winds today start out 15-20 mph from the north with 5 foot waves, and will calm to 10-15 mph and 4 foot waves by evening. Friday into Saturday morning winds will be from the north around 10 mph and seas 2-3 feet and will start building Saturday evening.

We will remain cool today, perhaps getting up to 78 (26C) but will be a bit warmer Friday and Saturday, up to 80 (27C) but get ready for some fresh weather Sunday and especially Monday and Tuesday mornings, when I’m expecting some 60s (around 18-19C).

Nothing warms you on a cool day more than stews made from hearty meats from Carniceria Rosita in Coxen Hole and French Harbour.

Tides will be especially low around 1 a.m.

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Tony Lanoue in West End.

This morning as of 8 a.m. many of us have stayed dry since midnight after 1-2 inches yesterday. This has been a storm system that has been rainier the further west you go. Utila has half an inch as of 8 a.m. after 3 inches yesterday. Seas are quite high this morning.

Here’s this morning’s satellite. You can readily see there’s even some clear sky just to the east of Guanaja at 8 a.m. We will continue to have scattered showers today, but some areas, especially to the east, should get less rain. The big story will be winds, with morning winds from the north 25 mph and seas 7-8 feet. Those conditions will last through today. Tomorrow morning winds 15-20 mph and 6 foot seas, should calm to 10-15 mph and 4 foot seas by evening. Friday and Saturday morning winds are from the north 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet in advance of the next norther Sunday into Monday. The next norther will be drier, with even cooler air than we are getting with this norther. I seriously expect some mid-60s (around 17-18C) for lows, especially Monday and Tuesday morning.

With all these north winds, it is important to remember Jolly Roger Roatancan find you some calm waters inside the reef on the south side and get you safely back to your boat on time. Check them out at Jollyrogerroatan.com.

Lowest tide will be much below normal at midnight. Have a great Wednesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Don Spicer in West Bay.

We have another day of great weather before the norther arrives. Tomorrow looks like it might be the rainier day and Wednesday the windiest.

We’re still quite clear on satellite, but we can see the cold front clearly running from the north Yucatan back into Florida. Winds will turn to the north this evening 10-15 mph with 3 foot seas. Chance of rain increases overnight and we will have periods of heavy rain tonight through Wednesday. Winds tomorrow will be from the north 12-17 mph and seas 4 feet in the morning building to 6 feet tomorrow evening. Wednesday north winds will be 17-22 mph gusting close to 30 by evening and seas 6-7 feet. Thursday things start to calm down.

Rain totals, like with many northers, should be higher toward the mainland, especially toward Puerto Cortes, but most models give us 2-3 inches over the whole period. Keep in mind that if you get under the wrong clouds you can get 2-3 inches in an hour, so local totals can be more.

The end of the week looks nicer but we have another norther coming on Sunday.

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Low tide is 10 p.m. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is a rainbow captured from the back deck of the Rum Company between West Bay and West End. The photographer has my favorite name since we’ve been doing these photos: Harmony Storms. She totally should be a TV meteorologist.
No rainbows today, as there is no rain, but we are still watching the next norther, that now looks like a Tuesday/Wednesday event.

For the first time in a long time we have a totally clear satellite view. This looks like April. Today will be sunny with an east winds 15 mph getting to 20 mph by evening and seas 3 feet getting close to 4 feet overnight.

Tomorrow we will have light and variable winds and seas 2 feet in advance of our norther, with increasing clouds and chances of rain toward tomorrow evening. Tuesday and Wednesday will be rainy with north winds. Tuesday will perhaps be the rainiest and Wednesday the windiest, with north winds 20-25 mph and seas 6 feet. Rain lingers into Thursday. Friday and Saturday looks drier and our next norther comes Feb. 1-2. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Brian Galbrysh, showing yoga practice on West End beach.

We should start seeing more sun in the days ahead after quite a bit of cloudiness and rain. This morning most of us have had a quarter to a third of an inch of rain. After this clears out we will discuss rain totals, most of which came from the very first day of rain on Sunday. Things look pretty good from this afternoon until Monday afternoon.

Here is the radar at 7:50 a.m. We have clouds and some showers around with a mild east wind. As the morning goes on we should see that wind turn to the west but it won’t be as strong as we once feared, only 10-15 mph and seas around 4 feet, but still wavy on West Bay Beach. Rain should get lighter and skies should get clearer as we get into the evening and tomorrow through Sunday rain chances will be low and what rain we get should be overnights and early mornings.



Wind and wave forecast: Winds will turn to the west this afternoon at 10-15 mph and seas around 4 feet. Tomorrow west winds will start at 10 mph and calm to 5 mph in the afternoon with seas going from 4 feet to 3 feet. Friday very light winds turn to the east with 2 foot seas. The weekend will have east winds 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet.

In the extended forecast we have another norther Monday evening into most of next week. It should be weaker than the one we’ve just had, with less rain and wind, but it will still turn winds to the north and give us scattered showers through most of next week.

One of the great things about snorkeling on an island is when we have north winds we can go on the Southside and when we have east winds (most of the year) we can go on the protected northwest side of the island. Jolly Roger Roatan has experts that will find the calmest cove for your snorkeling delight along with a pleasant boat ride and great food and drink.

Lowest tides are 4:30 p.m. and 4:30 a.m. Have a great Wednesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. There’s good news and bad news today. The good news is that so far we have escaped the worst of the rain. While La Ceiba has recorded 4.54 inches of midnight to 8 a.m., we have gotten less than half an inch at West Bay and only a few hundredths of an inch most of the rest of the island. The bad news is that this will be the worst day at sea, with buoys reporting 7-8 foot waves and 20-25 mph out of the north. We will have a chance of rain the remainder of the day and if you get under the wrong cloud it could add up quickly, so be watchful.

As far as rain goes, we have 24 more hours where we still have the possibility of heavy rains. The chances go down after midday tomorrow. Right now it looks like only maybe 1-2 inches more are likely, but if you get under the wrong storm, those numbers can go up and the hills are already very wet, so be careful.

Wind and wave forecast: Today will be the worst day on the seas with 7 foot waves only going down to 6 feet by this afternoon and winds around 20-25 mph from the north/northeast. We may see a brief period of calmer winds tomorrow morning with seas 4-5 feet, but around midday we will have a period of strong west winds around 20 mph and seas around 5 feet. Midday waves on West Bay Beach will be pretty strong. Thursday morning west winds 10-15 mph will turn to the east by evening and seas will calm from 4 feet in the morning to 3 feet by afternoon. A light east winds will give us 2 foot seas Friday.

In the extended forecast we are watching for another norther coming down and arriving perhaps by next Tuesday and lasting into the middle of next week. This is coming from a particularly strong winter storm in the U.S. South. We’ll keep an eye on it.

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Low tides are 3 p.m. and 4 a.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Cesar Gonzales in West Bay with a perfect rainbow. Over the next few days, it will be hard to find enough sun to create a rainbow. We are in for long periods of rain that will often be heavy and strong seas that will peak on Tuesday and perhaps last into Wednesday.

At 8:30 a.m. we can clearly see the cold front to our north as well as the storms over us this morning. We will have long periods of rain today through Tuesday, sometimes heavy. Rain should start to let up Wednesday and the end of next week looks pretty nice, with just regular morning chances of rain.

This is the GFS forecast for rain through Wednesday at noon. It forecasts 8-10 inches. Some other computer models show less, but none are much less than 5-6 inches. Get ready for lots of rain and be careful out there.

Winds will be from the north today around 10-15 mph and seas around 3-4 feet, perhaps 4-5 by evening. Tomorrow and Tuesday north winds will be 15-20 mph and some periods will gust to 25 mph and seas 6-7 feet, especially north side. Wednesday winds shift to the west and may still be quite gusty. Wednesday will be a day for big waves on West Bay Beach.

I wanted to mention that Mitch Cummins, a longtime friend of Roatan Weather, has announced he is retiring from the pet food business. Many thanks for your help. If you are interested in purchasing any of his equipment, you can contact him directly.

Low tides will be 2:40 p.m. and 2:40 a.m. Have a safe Sunday!