May 16, 2022

Satellite image at 7 a.m. today

May 15, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up this morning with significant clouds near the Mosquito Coast of Nicaragua. Some of those showers may move into Nicaragua but should stay away from us, but it may throw some clouds our way.

We will continue with relatively calm conditions with winds around 5 mph during the day and 10 mph in the evening and seas continuing at 1 foot (.3 meters). Tomorrow will be much like today.

Winds will start picking up Wednesday into the 15 mph range and Thursday toward 20 mph, especially in the evening. Friday looks pretty windy.

The GFS weather model still predicts the formation of a storm nearby this weekend, though it has shifted a bit north. All of the other models say this storm will move to our south into the Pacific, so I am still very doubtful about rain this weekend. Have a great week!

May 15, 2022

GFS model forecast from noon Wednesday until noon May 25.

May 15, 2022: Good morning Roatan! Two more days of quite calm (and hot conditions). Today and tomorrow will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with calm winds and 1 foot seas. Winds in the evening will get up around 10 mph from the north/northeast.

Tuesday winds will be in the 10 mph range during the day. Wednesday will be 15 mph and Thursday we will be back in the windy conditions around 20 mph.

There is an interesting element to next weekend’s weather. A piece of energy is coming from the south. The forecast map shown here is the GFS, which shows a storm coming overhead and heading for Florida. Two things tell me this probably won’t happen.

1. Most of the other computer models show this going south into the Pacific Ocean.

2. Storm models a week away are ridiculously unreliable.

But it is worth keeping an eye on. Have a great Sunday!

May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday around noon a showers gave West Bay .15 of an inch of rain and West End .01. No other reporting stations recorded rain. If you saw some, let us know in comments.

Today we begin a series of perfect boating days with calm winds, seas at 1 foot (.3 meters), virtually no chance of rain and mostly sunny skies. Winds should start picking up again on Tuesday, but until then the weather will be perfect, except for being so hot. Have a great Friday!

May 12, 2022

May 12, 2022: Good morning Roatan! West End got 1.4 inches yesterday and West Bay got .7. In the last 24 hours ending 7 a.m., Jonesville Point has only gotten .05. Most locations got a quarter of an inch or so, but a few locations got no measurable rain. Jimmy Andrade in Camp Bay reported some good showers this morning.

Today we will have calm conditions, partly cloudy skies and a chance of rain, especially as we get toward evening. Starting tomorrow we have a series of clear and calm days that will run through Tuesday. Wednesday the winds should pick up again. Have a great Thursday!

May 11, 2022

May 11, 2022: Good morning Roatan! Here on Jonesville Point we picked up a quarter of an inch of rain a little after midnight. We were the only recording station on the island that reported rain overnight. If you got some, let me know in comments.

Today and tomorrow will be days with calm winds and partly cloudy skies and about a 40 percent chance of rain. Any rain that comes shouldn’t last too long and rain totals shouldn’t be much over half an inch, but you never know with a tropical downpour. Friday through Tuesday should be days with clear skies and little to no wind. Seas through this whole period should be 1 foot or less (.3 meters) so great days for boating, diving and snorkeling. Bad days to be inside a house with no air conditioning. Have a great Wednesday!

May 10, 2022

May 10, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We had a pretty windy night last night and will have one more day in the wind before calm conditions take over, and with it the heat.

Today will be sunny and hot with east winds 15-20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter).

Tomorrow winds calm to 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). The chance of rain will be mostly in the evening.

Our best chance of rain comes tomorrow night into Thursday, though even then it is probably only 50-50.

Thursday there will be a 40 percent chance of rain, mostly in the morning, with winds 2-7 mph and seas at 1 feet (.3 meters).

Friday through the weekend, conditions will be quite calm, but with no rain in the forecast. This is great for boating but not good if you want to cool off. As I have often said, heat on the island is not so much about actual temperature as it is about cloud cover and wind. Tomorrow through the weekend we won’t have much wind and even Wednesday and Thursday will be partly cloudy and Friday through Sunday will be quite sunny. In other words, the end of this week is going to be a hot one. Stay cool and have a great Tuesday!

May 8, 2022

May 8, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! With no rain and almost no wind, it has been super hot on the island. Temperatures are right around 90 (32C), but the humidity makes it feel well over 100 (38C).

Today should continue hot and calm, but tomorrow and especially Tuesday should be windier. Wednesday and Thursday we get a chance of rain, probably 30 percent on Wednesday and 50 percent on Thursday. Right now Friday into next weekend looks dry and calm (and hot). Have a great Sunday!

May 6, 2022

May 6, 2022: Good (late) morning, Roatan! No rain the last 24 hours as of 11 a.m. on the island. We are still windy and we will have one more windy day and night before things calm down a bit.

Today we will have partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies (and hot) with winds from the east 15-20 mph and 3 foot (1 meter) seas during the day and 20-30 mph winds and 5 foot (1.6 meter) seas overnight.

Tomorrow winds calm a bit to 7-12 mph and 2 foot (.6 meter) seas during the day and 12-17 mph winds and 3 foot (1 meter) seas at night. Sunday will be very similar to Saturday. The next decent chance of rain (probably around 40 percent) is Wednesday and Thursday.

Have a great Friday.

May 5, 2022

May 5, 2022: Good morning Roatan. We wake up to partly cloudy skies but no rain recorded on the island in the last 24 hours ending at 8 a.m. It has been windy. I got up to 29 mph on Jonesville Point last night.

Today and tomorrow we will continue with winds 15-17 mph during the day and 22-27 mph at night with seas 3 feet (1 meter) during the day and up to 5 feet (1.6 meters) at night.

This weekend winds should calm, with daytime winds from the east 8-13 mph and nighttime winds 17-22 mph. As we get into next week, we expect chances of overnight showers, though small, to be greater than they are this week. Have a great Thursday!

May 4, 2022

May 4, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! The only rain recorded the last 24 hours on the island was .02 of an inch around 1:30 p.m. at Casa Blanca.

As you can see in the 7 a.m. satellite image there are some clouds around, especially east of the island, so we continue to keep only a very slight chance of a shower. We will continue with windy conditions, with east winds around 15 mph during the day and gusting to 25 mph at night and seas 3 feet (1 meter) during the day and 4 feet at night. Our general pattern is getting back into a time period when a pop up shower is possible any day or night. This week the chance is very low, maybe 10 percent, but next week it should be higher, around 30 percent each day.

Have a great Tuesday!