Sept. 14, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We have some clouds to our east that might bring someone a pop-up shower, but is more likely just to give us a partly cloudy morning. We also have a bit windier morning that we had yesterday, but those winds should calm a bit toward midday to 5-10 mph and 1-2 foot seas, then pick up in the evening to 17-22 mph and 3-4 foot seas.

Tomorrow winds will be 15 mph during the day with 2-3 foot seas and 20-25 mph at night.

Friday should be breezy as well. Winds are moderate this weekend and next week looks flat calm. Rain chances continue at 30 percent each day, but may pick up this weekend to about 50 percent. Let’s hope so, my cistern needs a refill.

Tropical update for Sept. 13, 2022: This morning we have two disturbances in the eastern Atlantic that have chances to develop as tropical storms. The one marked with the orange X has a 40 percent chance of development over three days. The models show this heading toward Puerto Rico and eventually perhaps the Gulf of Mexico or turning back toward the Atlantic, but in any case, these storms aren’t a threat to us.

Sept. 13, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! As you can see in this morning’s satellite image as of 6:45 a.m., a wave of clouds were moving over the island in the upper levels of the atmosphere, but little if any rain seems to be connected with these clouds. Today winds will continue to calm to 5-10 mph from the east/southeast and seas will be 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters) and 15-20 mph at night. There will continue to be a 30 percent chance of a passing shower, especially in the evening and overnight.

Tomorrow wind will be 7-12 mph from the east/southeast during the day with 2 foot seas and 17-22 mph during the night.

Friday and Saturday look like somewhat windier days with daytime east winds at 15-20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). Next week looks calmer, but the chance of rain won’t be much over 30 percent any day of the week. Have a great Tuesday!

Sept. 12, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday saw the return of trade winds and higher seas. We will continue to have winds higher than last week, but they will calm somewhat during the day to around 7-12 mph and seas will be around 2 feet (.6 meters) on the south side. At night we will continue to have higher winds in the 17-22 mph range and seas 3-4 feet (1 to 1.3 meters).

We will continue to have 30 percent chances of showers, especially in the evening and overnight. Not much change in the weather pattern for the next two weeks, except that next week promises to be another calm week. Have a great week!

Sept. 10, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We woke up to clouds, especially on the west side and over Utila but it seems none of us got any rain this morning (the Utila weather station is not working). Today is the day the wind picks up after a glorious week of calm seas. Winds should really pick up after noon to 17-23 mph from the east and 3 foot seas and 20-25 mph and 4 foot seas overnight.

Rain chances will continue at around 30 percent and mostly at night.

Winds Sunday should be 12-17 mph and 2 foot seas during the day and 17-23 mph and 3 foot seas at night. Have a great weekend!

Sept. 9, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Some rain showers passed by early this morning and most of us got a little, but none of us got a lot. The highest amounts were in Punta Blanca with .23 of an inch and Coral View with .20. West Bay and West End only got a couple hundredths of an inch and Sandy Bay got about a tenth of an inch. We got enough in Jonesville Point to turn the dust on my car into mud, but not much more. We do have the clouds hanging around, which should clear up as the day goes along, but enjoy the shade while you got it. Seas are also up a bit on the south side to 2 feet (.6 meters) but should calm as the day goes along. Our tide was super high this morning, a condition that will continue through the next couple of days of full moon.

We’ll keep a small chance of a morning shower, but as you can see, most of the rain has passed by us. This afternoon should be partly cloudy to mostly sunny. We will keep daily rain chances, especially in the evening or overnight at about 30 percent each day. Winds should be fairly calm until Saturday night, when the pick up into the 20 mph range and fall back to 10-15 mph during the day. Have a great Friday!

Sept. 8, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Our weather continues fair and calm, with a very, very small chance of catching a brief shower as a few people did yesterday morning. Winds will remain on the low side around 5-10 mph and seas at 1 foot through Saturday, though Saturday night winds should pick up to the 15-20 mph range.

There are a lot of storms in the Atlantic but still none threatening the US and definitely not threatening us. Even the storms close to the African coast look like they will move to the north and most models don’t make much of them even there. Have a great Thursday.

Sept. 7, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! This morning we have a few clouds over toward Utila and partly cloudy skies here in Roatan. Today should be a mostly sunny day, much like yesterday. Winds and seas will continue fairly calm at 5-10 mph and 1 foot. Our dry conditions will continue, with perhaps a small chance of a shower Thursday night and Friday night. Winds should start picking up a little Saturday night. Have a great Wednesday!

Sept. 6, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We will combine our forecast with the tropical outlook, since our forecast is so boring.

Today we will have east winds 7-12 mph and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters) on the south side, even calmer on the northside. Skies will be mostly sunny with almost no chance of rain. Tomorrow through the end of the week may be even calmer, with 5-10 mph winds and 1 foot seas.

In the Atlantic, Hurrricane Danielle is soon to be downgraded to a tropical storm in the cool North Atlantic and Tropical Storm Earl is about to be upgraded to a hurricane, but is also about to turn back out to sea and away from the U.S. Two more waves have come off the African coast, but early computer models don’t develop them very much. The GFS model is trying to give us a low pressure system in the middle of the month. I hope so. We need it. Have a great Tuesday!

Sept. 5, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! With some clouds to our west, it isn’t impossible that someone on Utila is getting a morning shower, though at 7:30 a.m. the rain gauge on the south shore was dry. Today will be partly to mostly sunny with winds in the 7-12 mph range and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Rain chances are quite low, even overnight. Over the next week it is always possible to get a passing shower, but nothing major and most of us will stay dry all week. Winds and seas are fairly light all week as well. This week is a prime example of why I always tell North Americans that September is the best month to visit. Have a great week!