Tropical outlook for Sept. 30, 2022

Tropical update for Sept. 30, 2022: We should take note that there is an area coming off the coast of Africa with a 50 percent chance of development over five days. While this particular wave probably isn’t of concern to us, we should be concerned that in a week or so, the Caribbean will return to being a place where there is a decent chance of a tropical storm brewing.

This map shows an area in blue off the coast of Nicaragua with a 30 percent chance of hosting a tropical depression on Oct. 9. Obviously computer models this far out are not very accurate, but the fact remains that 10 days out we should keep an eye on disturbances in the southern part of the North Atlantic or entering the Caribbean that have potential for tropical development.

Published by Roatan Weather Guy

I'm a native of Columbus, Ga., but lived from 2003-2019 in Lawton, Oklahoma. I've always been a weather geek and now I get to live the dream on an island that doesn't have a good weather forecast system.

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