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I am writing this at 4:55 a.m. and will try to update as often as possible. We start the morning with the current satellite image of Tropical Storm Lisa. The U.S. Air Force is on the way to take direct readings, but right now we have estimates based on this image. The National Hurricane CenterContinue reading “Nov. 1, 2022”

The National Hurricane Center has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the Bay Islands. Separately the government of Honduras as issued a Hurricane Watch for the islands. We now have a 70-80 percent chance of seeing tropical storm force winds (39-73 mph). Hurricane force winds are not out of the question. The first winds shouldContinue reading “Tropical Storm Lisa update for Oct. 31, 2022”

Oct. 31, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Today should be a nice day with clear skies and calm winds and seas. Tomorrow morning should be sunny, but winds will start turning to the west and increase to around 15 mph in the afternoon with increasing clouds and the approach of what should be Tropical Storm Lisa.Continue reading “Oct. 31, 2022”

Good morning Roatan. If there are two main points this morning, they are: 1. The storm looks like it is headed toward us, probably Wednesday. 2. It is unlikely to be a strong hurricane. Most models are forecasting Tropical Storm Lisa, which would put winds between 39 and 73 mph. This is the US GFSContinue reading “Tropical update for Oct. 30, 2022”

Oct. 30, 2022: Good morning Roatan. Yesterday morning we picked up half an inch on Jonesville Point and many locations have picked up a small shower this morning. The big winner yesterday was West End with 1.29 inches around 9:30 a.m. We’ll keep a small chance of rain around until about noon or early afternoonContinue reading “Oct. 30, 2022”

Oct. 29, 2022: Good morning Roatan. We’ve had a few light showers around the island this morning, amounting to a few hundredths up to a tenth of an inch of rain. Today we will have a chance of a light shower around this morning. Otherwise we will have partly cloudy skies and light winds andContinue reading “Oct. 29, 2022”

Oct. 28, 2022: Good morning Roatan. Our calm winds and seas now look like they should last through Tuesday with only small chances of rain Saturday and Sunday mornings. The main story is the tropical situation and even there it looks like there may be good news and bad news. First the bad news. TheContinue reading “Oct. 28, 2022”

Tropical update for Oct. 27, 2022: There isn’t a whole lot of change in our forecast. The storms look a little more impressive this morning. The National Hurricane Center gives these storms off the coast of Venezuela and Guyana a 50 percent chance of forming a tropical depression in the next five days. We shouldContinue reading “Tropical update for Oct. 27, 2022”

Oct. 27, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Winds are nice and calm and skies are clear and it should continue that way, probably through Monday. Saturday night into Sunday there is about a 40 percent chance of rain and that is the only decent chance for the next five days. Then we watch the tropics. MoreContinue reading “Oct. 27, 2022”

On our satellite this morning, we can see tropical moisture in a familiar place, off the coast of northern South America, very similar to where Hurricane Ian and so many other hurricanes we have to worry about come from. This time there is a front drawn in yellow that these storms are going to mergeContinue reading “Tropical update for Oct. 26, 2022”