Dec. 1, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! While the big island stayed dry overnight, Utila picked up 2.3 inches and was still getting rain as shown in the radar from around 7:30 a.m. This is the kind of weather we’re in right now. If you get under the wrong cloud you will get a lot of rain, but if you don’t you will stay completely dry. The forecast through the weekend can be summed up in a few words: Sun and clouds, occasional downpours, choppy seas.

In the satellite image we see some clouds that could hold some showers east of Guanaja. If they hold together they would be over Guanaja around 8 a.m. and Roatan mid- to late-morning. So we will have about a 40 percent chance of seeing a shower today. Otherwise it will be partly cloudy with seas starting out around 4 feet on the south side this morning and calming to 2-3 feet and winds starting out around 15 mph and calming to 7-10 mph by afternoon.

Tonight we will have a 60 percent chance of rain with winds around 15 mph.

Friday should continue partly cloudy with about a 40 percent chance of a scattered shower. Winds start picking up Friday evening and Friday night into Saturday look windy, with east/northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas at around 5 feet (1.6 meters). Friday night into Saturday we still have a good chance of seeing showers but we will also have periods of sun. Sunday looks a bit calmer with winds around 10 mph but seas still 3-4 feet with scattered showers.

Monday and Tuesday the rain chance will be lower. Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 30, 2022: Good morning Roatan! We’ve had a dry day yesterday and last night and that should continue today, with mostly clear skies. Winds will be from the east 12-17 mph and seas at 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter).

Tonight and early tomorrow morning there will be a 50 percent chance of rain. Tomorrow will be partly cloudy with about a 30 percent chance of a shower. Winds will be easterly at 10-15 mph and seas at 2 feet.

Thursday night into Friday there is also a decent chance of rain. The models differ on how much rain we will get through the weekend.

The European model thinks about an inch and a half through Sunday night.

The GFS is more generous, with about 3 inches.

Both models give us good chances of rain at night through this period, but the GFS gives us higher chances of rain during the daytime hours. In either case, expect to catch some rain through the weekend, especially at night and in the mornings. The bigger story is that the seas will be quite choppy, with 4 foot waves coming from the northeast near the island and 5 foot waves and perhaps a bit more further out to sea Saturday and Sunday. If you are going on a ferry, be sure and pack the motion sickness pills. Have a great Wednesday!

Nov. 29, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We start the day bright and sunny. Today, tonight and tomorrow should continue clear and windy, with east winds 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters).

Tomorrow night into Thursday morning we will have about a 50 percent chance of a shower.

Thursday and Friday should be a little calmer, with winds 7-12 mph and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters).

Thursday night into the weekend our chances of rain will be better and our winds will start turning around to the northeast as a cold front moves to our northeast. It looks like this front may cause some heavy seas this weekend, around 5 feet (1.6 meters) and a bit more as you go further out to sea, even though it won’t be extremely windy, probably around 15 mph. There will be scattered showers throughout the weekend. Have a great Tuesday!

Nov. 28, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday and this morning have been dry. On satellite this morning at 6:30 we can see a few clouds and perhaps one shower east of Guanaja, but that will pass to the east of Guanaja.

Today will be dry, with winds out of the east around 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter) especially on the south side. Tonight winds will be 20-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1 to 1.3 meters). Tomorrow and Wednesday look much the same. Starting Wednesday night into Thursday and Friday winds will calm to around 10 mph and the chance of rain will go up to around 50 percent.

Nov. 27, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Most of the island stayed dry yesterday, but on the east side we got a few showers: a third of an inch in Politilly and half an inch in Punta Blanca. Punta Blanca has also picked up .05 of an inch since midnight today.

On satellite this morning we have some thunderstorms in the interior of far eastern Honduras, but those shouldn’t make it this far north. We’ll have partly cloudy skies today with a very low chance of a stray shower. Winds will be from the east 10-15 mph with seas at 2 feet (.6 meters) mostly on the southside, getting up to 15-20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter) this evening.

Tomorrow will be like today, except maybe a bit windier, with daytime winds from the east 12-17 mph and nighttime winds at 20-25 mph. Seas may get up to 4 feet (1.3 meters) especially Monday evening. Rain chances get better Wednesday evening into the end of the week. Have a great Sunday!

Nov. 26, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! About 2:30 this morning some showers passed by the east side of the island giving Politilly .12 of an inch and Punta Blanca .21 of an inch. Here on Jonesville Point, we already have 15-20 mph east winds and 3 foot seas at 6:30 a.m.

This morning the satellite shows some showers to our east that have probably brought rain to Guanaja. But you will notice the showers are moving toward the northwest and may miss us by staying east of Roatan. Nevertheless we will have a chance of picking up a shower today, though most of the day we will be partly sunny and dry. Winds will remain 15-20 mph from the southeast and seas at 3 feet.

Tomorrow into the beginning of next week we will be windy and mostly dry, with only the small chance of a passing shower. Have a great weekend!

Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday’s morning showers brought between a quarter and half an inch for most of us on Roatan. This morning at 6:50 there is one stray shower that might bring a little rain to Guanaja and a few clouds to Roatan. As is usually the case this time of year, a popup shower is not impossible, but today we can say it is unlikely. Winds will start picking up from the east, 5-10 mph in the morning and 10-15 mph in the afternoon, with seas 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter).

Tonight and early tomorrow morning there is about a 50 percent chance of a shower. Tomorrow should be partly cloudy and mostly dry. This cycle should continue into the early part of next week, with chances of rain about 50 percent at night and only about 20 percent during the day, with east winds 15-20 mph and and seas picking up to 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Have a great Friday!

Nov. 24, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Morning rains yesterday brought .75 of an inch to Utila, while totals from a tenth to half an inch were common on Roatan.

This morning we have showers and thunderstorms around and it looks like we will have a good chance of seeing some rain through the morning. I can’t rule out a shower this afternoon, but they should be less than this morning under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be fairly calm except in squalls and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters).

The big change in our weather is that after a long period of fairly calm winds, our easterly winds will pick up, 10-15 mph tomorrow and 15-20 mph Saturday through Wednesday before calming again Thursday. Seas will be 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) for the period Saturday through Wednesday. Tomorrow the rain chance looks very low, and over the weekend the rain chances will be mostly at night. Have a great Thursday!

Nov. 23, 2022: Good morning Roatan. A shower that brought the east side of the island between a quarter and half an inch of rain at 4:30 a.m. moved to the west side by 5:30, but generally brought less rain, but still enough to wet the ground again after a dry day yesterday.

At 7 a.m. the radar shows showers mostly to the west of Roatan around Utila and indeed Utila is picking up a shower at this hour. After these morning showers go away, skies should be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with northwest winds 5-10 mph switching to the east this evening and seas around 2 feet. There is a good chance of picking up a shower overnight tonight into tomorrow morning, but after that things should clear up and we should have a nice Thursday. The chance of rain is even lower on Friday. Next good chance of rain during the day is Sunday, and after that it looks like the easterly winds will pick up for the beginning of next week. Have a great Wednesday!

Nov. 22, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Everybody got wet yesterday. West Bay, West End and Sandy Bay all got a little over an inch of rain. Mid-island Coral View and French Harbor got around 2 inches. But here on the east side, we really got poured on. I had 2.7 inches here on Jonesville Point and Politilly got 3.62 inches.

This morning there are still some clouds and showers around so it is possible someone might see a shower this morning, but there is less activity off to our east, so today begins four days where rain chances and rain totals will be much lower. Skies will be mostly sunny and winds and seas will be fairly calm.

This morning the European and US models are starting to agree that the norther won’t make it all the way down here, but it will get close enough to give us increased rain showers this weekend, just not the heavy winds and seas, so that’s good news. Have a great Tuesday!