Dec. 20, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Last night, especially after midnight we got some decent rain. We got a little over half an inch here in Jonesville Point and most locations got between a quarter and half an inch. We have a few clouds this morning and the possibility of a shoewer, but we should be mostly dry today. Winds will be out of the east at 10-15 mph and seas will calm a bit from 3 feet (1 meter) this morning to around 2 feet (.6 meters).

Wednesday, Thursday and Friday should be nice days with moderate winds at 10 mph, seas 1-2 feet (.3-.6 meters) and a few showers, mostly at night or in the early morning.

Friday night into Saturday we will start to see our weather change, with winds beginning to come from the northeast and a better chance of rain. It is still unclear when the highest winds or heaviest rain will be, but the period from Saturday through Tuesday will be potentially stormy, and cooler temperatures will be here especially Monday and Tuesday with some upper 60s (19 or 20 celsius) possible. Get out your jacket!

This is the promised video about our norther. I apologize for the abrupt end. I need to get a better video capture program 🙂

Dec. 19, 2022: A few of us got a shower in the madrugada (I love that word. There really isn’t a similar word in English to refer to the period between midnight and sunrise.) .01 in West Bay, .10 in Politilly and .02 of an inch here in Jonesville Point. We wake up to east winds around 15 mph and 3 foot seas. On satellite we see a few clouds that should pass between 7 and 9 a.m. and one shower north of the island’s east side, so we can’t rule out a morning shower, but we will stay mostly dry, with windy conditions and seas around 3 feet. Those conditions also apply to La Ceiba so if you’re going on the yacht today, take your Dramamine.

Winds will be brisk tonight before midnight, up to around 25 mph, but should start calming around midnight and into tomorrow to around 10 mph, especially on the east side and toward Utila and La Ceiba. This week will be fairly dry through the day Friday. Any rain showers we get should be mostly light and mostly at night or in the early morning.

There is still some disagreement as to when our cold front will arrive, but sometime between Saturday and Tuesday we will have a day with strong north winds and rough seas. In any case Sunday through next Tuesday look pretty rainy and cool. I’m going to put together a video to talk about the possible scenarios with this norther. Have a great day!

Dec. 18, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We’ve had another dry 24 hours, though Sandy Bay and a couple of other locations picked up a small shower yesterday afternoon.

We have a few clouds and even a few showers to the west of Utila this morning, but those should decrease as the day goes on and we should remain dry, with easterly breezes 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter).

Tonight should be mostly fair, but we have about a 40 percent chance of rain tomorrow morning, especially around dawn.

Tomorrow will be even windier than today, with winds 15-20 mph, getting 25 mph Monday night, and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Those choppy seas extend to our south, so if you’re headed to Ceiba take your Dramamine.

Winds should be a bit lighter on Tuesday at 10-15 mph and seas at 2-3 feet. There is a small chance of a morning shower Tuesday.

Wednesday and Thursday look calmer with small chances of morning showers each day.

Friday into the holiday weekend we are expecting rainy and quite possibly windy conditions as the cold front that will bring frigid conditions to North America finally reaches here. The exact timing is still uncertain, but most models have the cold front reaching here is two waves, the first on Christmas Eve with moderate winds and the second on Tuesday the 27th, with strong northerly winds and heavy rains. It’s still a little early to know for sure. We’ll keep an eye on it.

Dec. 17, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! As you can see in the 6:45 a.m. satellite, we have quite a bit of thin clouds moving in from the east which will give us partly to mostly cloudy skies today. We can’t rule out a small shower from any of these clouds, but our chances are only around 30 percent and any rain should be light. Winds should get quite calm, especially on the west side and seas will be 2 feet (.6 meters) east and 1 foot (.3 meters) west and in Utila.

Overnight winds will pick up to around 20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter).

Tomorrow should be a nice day with 15 mph winds and seas 2-3 feet.

Sunday night into Monday morning we will have a 40 percent chance of a shower. Monday will be breezy, with 15 mph winds and 3 foot seas. Tuesday and Wednesday look a little calmer, but there will be about a 40 percent chance of a shower Monday through Wednesday.

The models are still not certain about a cold front for Friday. The two main model (U.S. and Euro) show it stalling just to our north will some others (the German ICON) show it bringing us true norther conditions Friday into Saturday. We will keep an eye on it. Have a great weekend.

Dec. 16, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up with winds around 15 mph and seas around 3 feet (1 meter). Those winds and seas should calm through the day to 5-10 mph and 2 foot seas (.6 meters).

Tonight into tomorrow morning the rain chance is very low with winds 10-15 mph on the east side and 5-10 mph on the west side and Utila and seas still around 2 feet.

Tomorrow will again be nice, with southeast winds 7-12 mph and seas at 2 feet.

Sunday we will have about a 30 percent chance of a shower with east winds 10-15 mph.

Sunday night into Monday morning we will have about a 50 percent chance of seeing a shower and Monday looks to be one of our windier days, with 20 mph winds and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). We may start feeling the effects of the next norther on next Friday with rain and north winds, though we can’t say right now exactly how strong it will be. Have a great Friday!

Dec. 15, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up to clear skies and winds from the east. Today those winds should calm quite a bit by midday and seas should calm to 2 feet (.6 meters) and perhaps even 1 foot (.3 meters) on the western end of Roatan and in Utila. We have a few clouds to our east which should give us a few clouds, but any rain is unlikely.

Tomorrow we will continue with light and variable winds and seas around 2 feet with dry conditions.

Friday night into Saturday there will be a small chance of rain, but during the day Saturday we should be dry with morning winds and a calmer afternoon.

Saturday night into Sunday morning we will have a little better chance of rain. Rain is likely around the island Sunday night into Monday morning.

You may have heard about the arctic outbreak that is forecast for North America for the holiday weekend. Chances are looking good for that to reach here, giving us norther conditions, with north winds, cool temperatures and rain, possibly right on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, though I’d say the chance of snow is pretty low Have a great Thursday.

Dec. 14, 2022: Good windy Wednesday morning, Roatan! We wake up to 20 mph winds and clear skies.

Today winds should calm a little, especially the further west you go.

I’m including a wind map for midday today and, as you can see, Guanaja will be around 15 mph today while on Roatan winds will be around 10 mph and in Utila winds should be much calmer. Waves should be 2-3 feet for Roatan and 1-2 feet for Utila.

After a windy night and morning tomorrow, winds should calm, especially the further west you go. Thursday and Friday look like beautiful days, with fairly calm winds and seas 1-2 feet for Roatan and Utila. Saturday and Sunday will be a little windier, and scattered showers enter the forecast for Saturday night into Sunday and then again Sunday night through the day Monday. Until then it will be quite dry for December. Have a great Wednesday.

Dec. 13, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Early this morning Sandy Bay picked up a shower that brought a quarter of an inch of rain.

Dec. 12, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Overnight a few locations picked up a small shower, but all rain totals were less than a tenth of an inch.