March 14, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands! I did a video this morning.

The highlights: We have clouds passing from the west this morning and light winds from the west. Only a very small chance of rain this morning. Tonight and tomorrow night are our best chances for rain, but even then it should be less than an inch for most of us and many of us may get none. Thursday and Friday get a little windier and 3-4 foot seas. Saturday winds and seas calm and Sunday morning we have our next good chance of rain. The difference between this week and last week is that last week we had NO chance of rain and this week we have SOME chance of rain, even if it isn’t a lot. Have a great Tuesday!

March 13, 2023

March 13, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! This morning we have east winds around 10 mph and seas at 3 feet. They should definitely calm as the day goes on.

We have a cold front entering the Gulf of Mexico as you can see in the maps. Unfortunately as it gets close to us it is going to fall apart.

Still it will bring clouds and a chance of rain between late tomorrow night and Wednesday night.

Today and tomorrow will be mostly sunny and mostly calm, with seas falling to about 2 feet today and tomorrow.
The period between tomorrow night and Wednesday night we will all have partly cloudy skies and about a 50/50 chance of getting wet. This, sadly, won’t be an all-day rain. It will be passing showers with sunshine in between. Winds should be fairly light on Wednesday, but Thursday and Friday should be sunny and a bit windier, with daytime winds around 15 mph and nighttime winds 20-25 mph.
Saturday winds calm again as another cold front nears, giving up partly cloudy skies and another 50/50 shot of rain Sunday. Have a great week!

March 11, 2023

Satellite at 7:30 a.m.

March 11, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! This morning we have 10-15 mph winds and 2 foot seas and the day should get even calmer. Winds this afternoon will be 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Overnight winds will pick up to 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet, but will get calm again during the day on Sunday. Sunday night might the the windiest night of the next few days with winds around 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet, but Monday and Tuesday again should be calm. Wednesday is the day we truly hope to see some rain. It isn’t certain that everyone will see rain, but at least everyone will have a chance, and Thursday morning should be a couple of degrees cooler as the cold front passes by. After that there is another front coming Sunday, March 19, but it isn’t certain it will hold together long enough to make it here. Let’s hope. Have a great, dry, calm weekend!

March 10, 2023

March 10, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! We have hazy skies and 15 mph winds with 2 foot seas this morning. Those conditions will continue today and tomorrow, with little or no chance of even a small shower.
Starting Saturday our daytime winds will become calm, with 10-15 mph winds at night. Starting Saturday afternoon, we may see some seas around 1 foot, so it will be a great time on the water.
Sometime around Wednesday a weak cold front will approach giving us scattered showers. It’s not certain that everyone will get rain, and those who do might not get a whole lot, but after that, Sunday March 19 into Monday looks like another chance of scattered showers. Have a great Friday!

March 9, 2023

March 9, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! We are back to bright, sunny skies after a couple of days of haze caused by high clouds. Our forecast remains dry until Wednesday, when we have a chance of scattered showers from a cold front that will be weakening when it gets here. Until then, the primary change in our weather is that the winds and seas are going to get quite calm. Today and tomorrow winds should be in the 10-15 mph range and seas 2-3 feet, but starting Saturday winds will be almost dead calm during the day and maybe 15 mph at night. The weekend into the first part of next week looks like a great time to get out on the sea. Have a great Thursday!

March 8, 2023

Radar at 6:30 a.m.

Good morning, Bay Islands! There have been a few scattered showers north of Tela and Puerto Cortes, far to the west of Utila.

Satellite at 6:30 a.m.

Over our islands we have lots of high clouds with no rain this morning.

This morning winds are around 15-20 mph from the east and seas are 2 feet (.7 meters). Today will continue to have high clouds and dry conditions. Winds will be 12-17 mph and seas 2 to maybe 3 feet for the rest of the week. There will be a very small chance of a shower tomorrow morning, but otherwise we will be dry. We are still looking for some scattered showers and perhaps a little fresh air Wednesday and Thursday next week. Have a great Wednesday!

March 7, 2023

Rainfall between midnight and 7 a.m.

We got some rainfall around 4 a.m., especially mid-island. Looks like the far west side missed out.

We will have a cloudy day, but not necessarily a rainy day. Throughout today we will have the high clouds coming from the west. These are not rain clouds, but will bring us hazy, cloudy skies. This morning we will have some low clouds that may bring some of us a shower. Winds will be from the east at 10-15 mph and seas at 2-3 feet. The clouds will keep us a bit cooler today and tomorrow, right around our current reading of 80 degrees.

On the bright side, the computer models are starting to agree that we should get some rain mid to late week next week, and perhaps some cooler temperatures.

March 6, 2023

March 6, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! I did a video for today’s forecast. The main points:

1. 15-20 mph winds this week with seas 3-4 feet.

2. Tomorrow and Wednesday we wil have high cirrus clouds, but little to no rain. Maybe a small chance Tuesday and Wednesday morning. These clouds will make Tuesday and Wednesday a bit cooler.

3. The US GFS model is giving us a norther Wednesday of next week, but the Euro completely disagrees, keeping us dry next week. If I had to choose, I’m afraid I would go with the drier forecast, because cold fronts typically stay north of us this time of year, but we will know more the middle of this week.

March 5, 2023

March 5, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Now that was better! Last night our winds only got up around 17 mph and most of the night were around 10-15 mph.

Satellite at 8:30 a.m.

We wake up with 3 foot seas around the island. There are some clouds off to our east, but mostly we’re still hazy from dust in the upper atmosphere.

This map shows the dust coming across a mostly dry Atlantic Ocean from the Sahara in Africa.

We should be a little windier tonight that last night, but not as windy as last week. Winds at night should be around 20 mph and around 10-15 mph during the day. We should see seas 2-3 feet in the afternoons and 3-4 feet overnight.

The computer models are not giving us much hope for some morning showers this week, but they tend to underestimate the rain when we have scattered clouds around, so I’m going to say we will have a chance at seeing a morning shower this week, especially Wednesday morning. Some computer models are trying to give us better rain chances toward the end of next weekend and the beginning of the following week. Let’s hope so. Otherwise, have a great Sunday.

March 4, 2023

March 4, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Winds are quite calm this morning, though seas are still around 3-4 feet. Today will be one of the calmest days we’ve had in awhile Seas toward Ceiba should be down around 1 foot, a welcome relief from what we had last week. It also is quite hazy and I think we have some smoke around from some fires burning off fields. After today winds will be a bit stronger, but I think we don’t have to worry about 35 mph winds. Daytime winds starting tomorrow will be 15-20 mph and nighttime winds 20-25 with seas mostly 3-4 feet. We should have a few morning clouds midweek and therefor we will have a small chance of a shower, but it will be only a small chance. Have a great weekend!