May 20, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. We wake up to 10 mph winds and 1-2 foot seas and that is about the windiest it is going to get for the next week.

This map shows the wave action for the Atlantic Ocean leading into the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. I don’t know that I’ve ever seen it this calm in the entire region, and this will last most of the week ahead. It is almost like the Lesser Antilles and Bahamas are acting as a reef and the Gulf and Caribbean are a bay. If you had a big boat and wanted the travel around, this would be the week for it. But it better have a motor because there’s not much wind.

There will be a few clouds around today and a VERY slight chance of a shower toward midday. There will also be a VERY small chance of a shower tonight. After that there is NO chance of rain until the end of next week. With very few clouds and no wind, it’s going to be pretty hot. Low tide is 3:26 p.m. Have a great weekend!

Good morning, Bay Islands! We wake up to 15 mph winds and seas 1-2 feet. Those wind and sea conditions will continue today and tomorrow. Starting Sunday winds and seas get super-calm and will be like that at least through next week and perhaps longer. If you are in the States (or Canada, or anywhere in the world) and have the ability to make a last-minute trip to the islands, you’re not going to get a better weather week than next week for diving, snorkeling, swimming, boating and fishing.

Tonight and tomorrow night we will have a very low chance of an overnight shower, but otherwise we will be dry. Sunday into the first part of next week will be super-dry day and night. Toward the end of next week we will get a little bit better chance of some showers, especially overnight. Have a great Friday!

May 18, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. We wake up to 15 mph winds and 1-2 foot seas (.3-.6 meters). Winds and seas should stay in that area through Saturday. Starting Sunday we get even calmer and the seas will be pretty flat into the first part of next week.
Rain chances will be next to zero, except for Friday night into Saturday morning when we’ll have a small chance of a shower, maybe 30 percent. We’re at least 10 days away from good rain chances. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands! We wake up to calm winds and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Today will be the last day of super-calm winds. Tomorrow through the weekend we will have moderate winds 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Next week looks super calm again.
As for rain, there is not much in the forecast until the end of the month, maybe a slight chance Friday night into Saturday morning, but even that is very low.

The video I’m including is the forecast for moisture in the atmosphere. You will notice a lot of greens and blues coming down over us for the next week or so. That indicates drier air. Toward the end of the month we should get more reds, indicating moist air that can bring rain. Let’s hope. We’ll have a very low tide at 1:22 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!

May 16, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. No rain was recorded overnight on Roatan or Utila, but we saw rain on radar over toward Guanaja and Lisa Garcia reports that she picked up an inch over there. At 6:30 a.m. we have a small shower north of the island and one near Cayos Cochinos, but those should decrease as the day goes on.

We also got a little shake around 12:30 a.m. with a 4.2 earthquake. That’s pretty light as earthquakes go. In February we had a 5.5.

We wake up to calm winds and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Those conditions should continue today and tomorrow. Starting Thursday we will have east winds 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet, nothing like the 30 mph winds of the past few weeks.

The next few days look dry. There is a small chance of an overnight shower Friday night and Saturday night, but otherwise we we look fairly calm and dry, great days to get out on the sea. Have a great Tuesday!

May 15, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! It may not be much but many of us have seen some rain this morning. There are showers on radar at 7:40 a.m. and we will continue to have a chance through the morning hours. We will get more sun around noon and after and less of a chance of rain, but we will have another chance of showers tonight and early tomorrow morning. After that Wednesday and Thursday look dry and a small chance of overnight and early morning rain returns for Friday night into the weekend.
Winds this morning are 15 mph and seas are 2 feet. They will remain around there today. Tomorrow and Wednesday look quite calm, with winds 3-7 mph and seas around 1 foot (.3 meter). After that winds pick up a little, but we’re not getting super-windy.
Low tide today occurs around noon. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands! This morning our winds are around 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) after getting up to 38 mph and 6 feet (2 meters) overnight. Today and tonight will not be quite as windy. Winds today will be from the east around 15 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). Tonight they will only get up to 20-25 mph and 4 feet (1.3 meters). Tomorrow will be even calmer with winds from the northeast at 10-15 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters). Tuesday and Wednesday will be quite calm, with winds 5-10 mph and seas at 1 foot (.3 meters).

We are still watching the chances for rain. This morning there are showers over toward Livingston, Guatemala and southern Belize, but those won’t come this way.

We have high clouds that hold no rain this morning. Those will give way to sun this afternoon, but we will get some clouds lower in the atmosphere tonight that will give us a small chance of rain overnight into tomorrow morning.

We’ll have a small chance of rain during the day tomorrow, but our best hope is for rain Monday night into Tuesday morning. This will be a 50/50 chance and I’m sorry I can’t say more than that. I expect to see rain on the radar, but whether it is out to sea or manages to hit the island will decide whether we get some relief from our dusty roads. Wednesday and Thursday look dry, but toward the weekend we will have small chances of overnight showers. Low tide is 11:13 a.m. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. We awake to 25 mph winds and seas 4-5 feet. Today will continue windy and tonight we will get even stronger winds, 30-36 mph, and seas at 6 feet (2 meters). Be careful out there on the waters. The good news is that the winds should calm a bit tomorrow. Afternoon winds will be around 15 mph and seas at 3 feet. Sunday night will get a bit windy again, but we will really start noticing things calm on Monday, with 10-15 mph winds and 2 foot (.6 meter) seas and then Tuesday and Wednesday 5-10 mph winds and 1-2 foot seas (.3 to .6 meters).

The map I’ve included is the US GFS computer prediction for rainfall for the week ahead. As you can see, there is a blue hole over the islands, giving us only a quarter to half an inch of rain. But that is a quarter to half an inch more than we’ve been getting. Our best chance of getting it is Monday night through Tuesday night. Let’s hope we get it. Low tides are 10:25 a.m. and 11 p.m. Have a great weekend!

May 12, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands. We wake up to hazy skies and southeast winds 10-15 mph. The haze is Saharan dust mixed with clouds. You can see the brown color of the dust in the satellite map.

Today I’m going to say something I haven’t been able to say in awhile, and that is that I can’t guarantee it’s going to be totally dry today. The chance of rain this evening is VERY LOW and whatever rain anyone gets will pass quickly, but our chances are NOT ZERO the way they have been the last few weeks, probably more like 10 percent. We will remain windy and hazy through the weekend with a 10 percent chance of rain each day.

Our chances of rain go up on Monday and our winds and seas get calmer. Tuesday and Wednesday will be quite calm, calmer than we’ve seen in a couple of weeks. Monday night, Tuesday morning and Tuesday night will be our best chances of rain.

After that our rain chances go down, but they don’t go down to zero. I think we are going into a different weather pattern, more typical of June, where we have small nightly chances of seeing a shower. Low tides are 9:32 a.m. and 11 p.m. Have a great Friday!

Good morning, Bay Islands. We wake up with hazy clouds in the sky mixing with some Saharan dust and probably a little smoke, since the fires on the mainland are still going on and we have southeast winds this morning at 15-20 mph and seas 4-5 feet (1.3-1.6 meters). We will continue with windy, hazy conditions through the weekend. Our chances for rain this weekend are looking worse and worse, though I still think we may still see a lonely shower on radar somewhere this weekend. Monday through Wednesday remains our best chance to see a shower, especially during the night or early morning. After that we will have nightly 20 percent chances of rain. Low tide is 8:28 a.m. and 8:52 p.m. Have a great Thursday!