Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is from Duane McNab and shows a bonfire at Marbella Beach. This coming weekend we should be able to light a bonfire on the beach, but until then we are going to get a lot of rain.

Most of us got some rain overnight, especially in the early morning hours.

At 7 a.m. there is some rain to our north and northwest, but it isn’t moving anywhere quickly. We should have scattered showers today, increasing toward evening. Wind this morning is from the northeast at 10 mph and seas 2 feet. Those should stay about the same through midday before starting to pick up this evening from the north.

We can see the high winds on their way. This morning they are north of the Yucatan, but they should arrive here around 5 or 6 a.m. tomorrow. When they arrive, we will have north winds 25-30 mph and gusts perhaps at times to 40 mph. Waves at their worst will be around 10 feet.

Wednesday winds turn to the west, still 25-30 mph and seas will still be high, 7-9 feet. We will have long periods of heavy rain Tuesday and Wednesday.

Thursday is starting to look A LITTLE better, with west winds 20-25 mph and seas 6-7 feet, perhaps a little less as we get into the afternoon. Rain should lessen in the afternoon as well.

Friday we will look for a possible morning shower and the weekend looks quite nice with low rain chances and very mild winds.

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Lowest tide is around 7:30 a.m. Have a great week and stay safe!

Good morning Bay Islands. No daily photo today as we look ahead to a stormy week. This morning we are mostly sunny, but we can see a storm brewing off the Mosquito Coast, what I like to call our rain factory. This should move west and will give us a good chance of rain this evening through tomorrow morning. This will also be the time this week that we have the best chance of a thunderstorm. Some of us may get missed, but if we get this storm tonight it could bring torrential rain and wind to some areas. And that’s just the start of our week.

You can see a large and very deep cold front moving down from the States. This is an unusually cold mass for early November. It should hit us Monday night into Tuesday, and it will bring very high north winds and heavy seas, especially on Tuesday, but heavy seas should linger into Wednesday. At its peak we’re looking at 8-10 foot seas and 30 mph north winds, not a fun time on the beach or in a boat.
As we move into Thursday, if you look closely, you can see a low pressure system forming near us that should turn our winds around to the west and bring us 20-25 mph west winds and 6-7 foot seas Thursday. Fortunately for us, things start lifting out Friday and next weekend actually looks nice. We just have to get there.

All of the forecast rain models are pretty consistent in forecasting 8-9 inches of rain for us and 12-15 inches of rain for the coast, though there areas of much more (notice the area marked for 24 inches, or 2 feet, of rain to the west of Utila). None of these models will be exact, but we will all get A LOT of rain! Be very careful, watch for low level flooding and impassable roads, especially Tuesday through Thursday!

Tomorrow will be a good day to stock up on your meat supply so you don’t have to go out the rest of the week. Check out Carniceria Rosita and they will set you up.

On the bright side, tides look mild. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Phil Sikora who captured the full moon from Carib Bight.

Today looks lovely. Tomorrow we see a little higher rain chances and those chances increase as we get to torrential rain Tuesday into Wednesday morning and then again Thursday.

This morning things look pretty nice. Today should be lovely with 5 mph east winds and 1 foot seas. Tomorrow east winds pick up to 10-15 mph and seas 2 feet, with a 40 percent chance of rain. Monday winds turn to the north, but not too bad, around 10 mph and seas. Monday night into Tuesday things get bad, with torrential rains and north winds 25-30 mph and seas 6-9 feet. Rain continues Wednesday, but the winds lighten a bit to 20 mph and seas 5 feet. Winds turn to the west pretty heavy Thursday 25-30 mph and seas 6-7 feet with rain continuing. The following weekend looks better.

This is the estimate of rainfall through noon Friday. This could be really bad for La Ceiba, with a foot of rain predicted and not much better for us with 10 inches. Watch out on those roads and get your 4X4 out.

Lowest tide is 6 a.m. tomorrow. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Davinci McNab and shows the full moon rising over Paya Bay Resort.

Around 5:45 a.m. West Bay picked up about a quarter of an inch in a quick downpour. Most of us have stayed dry and the next two days look great. After that, things go downhill.

Our 7 a.m. satellite shows a few clouds, especially near West Bay/West End, so there may be a shower or two still out there, but those should get less as the day goes on. Today and tomorrow will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with only a few showers around. Most of us should stay dry. Rain chances increase Sunday and Monday in advance of our cold front. Some models say the front will arrive as early as Monday night, but most say Tuesday afternoon.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: For the next two day winds and seas will be very mild, 5 mph and seas around 1 foot. Sunday winds pick up a bit from the east at 15 mph and seas 2 feet. Monday morning looks like light and variable winds in advance of the cold front.

Your island pooch needs his healthy coat for the fresh weather we’re going to get with this norther. Contact Mitch Cummins at Roatan Pets to make sure your best friend has the best, most natural food to keep him or her strong and healthy.

Lowest tide is 4:45 a.m. Have a great Friday!

For the month of October we are putting 14.86 inches in the books, from our standard location of Sandy Bay. West Bay did get a little more, around 19 inches, while the east side got a bit less. Nearly 15 inches is a little below average for October, the first month of rainy season, but through 4 days of November we already have 7-10 inches of rain around the island, so likely November will be much above average. Next week looks pretty rainy.

Good morning Bay Islands. No photo of the day today because we have a LOT OF RAIN to talk about. Lots of locations picked up 3-5 inches this morning after getting a quarter to half an inch before midnight. That is causing flooding in some areas and we all know what this does to our roads. I hate to say it, but there is this much or more rain coming, especially tonight into tomorrow morning.

Our satellite at 7:30 a.m. doesn’t look horrible and we should have some dry periods during the day today, but there will also be some periods of rain. We will be mostly cloudy and, unless we get a squall, seas shouldn’t be too bad today, with north winds 10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Tonight winds will pick up to 15 mph out of the north and seas 2-3 feet and perhaps more if we get storms.

Speaking of storms, this is the Euro forecast for tomorrow at midday. The GFS and Euro are both picking up on big time rain tomorrow morning. The ICON is a little more optimistic, but I think another 5 inches of rain is a real possibility, with some thunder and wind. Please be careful out there on the roads. Things start looking better Wednesday, with rain becoming more scattered and less heavy.

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Lowest tide is 1 a.m. Have a great week and bring an umbrella!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes form Cesar Paguada in Oak Ridge.
I know a lot of Canadians live on our islands and your pretty sad that your Blue Jays lost a nailbiter in extra innings in the World Series last night. Those of you who need to know what time it is in North America, don’t forget that most in the US and Canada moved back an hour last night, meaning we are now in sync with U.S. Central Time. We have a nice morning ahead, but the evening and the coming week look rainy.

On satellite at 7:30 a.m. we can see the clouds building in from the south. We will have increasing rain chances through the day and a chance of some thunder overnight. Monday and Tuesday look rainy, but rain amounts should go down a bit Wednesday into the later part of the week.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with calm winds and 1 foot seas. We should stay around there today, unless you get in a windy squall. Tomorrow looks a little windier with northwest winds 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet, especially north side.

Lowest tide is just after midnight. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is a rainbow over Flowers Bay from Katy Pandy.
The treasure at the end of our rainbow is this weekend’s gorgeous weather.

On satellite at 7 a.m. we can see a lot of high clouds, mostly to our south, that don’t contain rain. I’m not saying no one will get any rain through Sunday, but most of us should stay dry until Sunday evening. The reason is the drier air overhead. Most of us are enjoying dewpoints less than 70 (21C) degrees. That is much more comfortable than we are used to and makes the air feel fresh. I think many of us will wake up tomorrow and want some long sleeves to start the day, with temperatures right around 70 (21C).

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start today with northwest winds around 10 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Those should calm a bit today, but tomorrow and Sunday they should be quite calm. Winds will pick up Monday from the north 7-12 mph and seas around 2 feet.

Lowest tide is 11 p.m. Have a great Friday!