Good morning Bay Islands. We’ve had some rain overnight, especially midisland and east. These totals are since midnight.

There’s a storm system centered around southern Belize and the Caribbean coast of Guatemala. We are catching the clouds and some of the showers on the east side of that system. Today we will have mostly cloudy skies with peeks of sunshine, especially in the afternoon, and a chance of a shower throughout the day. East winds will be 15-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Conditions will be similar tomorrow.
Saturday our rain chances go down and our east winds pick up to 20-25 mph and perhaps 30 mph overnight and seas 4-5 feet. Low tide is 4:20 p.m. but not as low as in recent days. Have a great Thursday!

Despite rain being all around us, somehow at 6:20 a.m. most of our weather stations stayed dry.

Utila is getting a shower and about a tenth of an inch. We will be dealing with scattered showers for the next three days. Most of our rain will be overnight and in the morning hours, but there will also be a chance of an afternoon shower.
East winds will be 10-15 mph today with 2 foot seas. Tomorrow they will be 15-20 mph and 3 foot seas. Of course, when squalls come, winds can get much higher. Generally windier conditions return on Saturday. Low tide is 3:45 p.m.

The area of storms coming off the African coast that I wrote about a couple of days ago is now marked as an area to watch by the National Hurricane Center. It is a long way away and there is dry air and dust in the Atlantic, so there isn’t much chance of development anytime soon, but its general movement is toward the Caribbean so we should keep an eye on it. If it holds together it is about 10 days away from the eastern Caribbean.

Good morning Bay Islands. The rainfall totals on the west side happened between 12:30 a.m. and 2 a.m. while the rain in Punta Blanca on the east side came around 3:30 a.m. Punta Blanca and the far east side also got a shower yesterday around noon that gave them about an inch. At 6:30 a.m. we have a lot of high clouds on satellite but not much rain on radar.

We’re now in a period of partly cloudy skies and occasional squalls. Most of these rain showers will come overnight and early morning, but occasionally we’ll get one in the afternoon as well.
This week the winds will be moderate, from the east 12-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Of course, when a squall approaches your location, winds can get gusty. Low tide is 3:15 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

For much of the night the rain was teasing us to the north, but we finally got some rain to come over the island around 4:30 a.m. giving West End half an inch.

Several other locations got rain, but unfortunately for us, we’re still dry on Jonesville Point. At 7 a.m. most of the rain is well to our north, but there is the possibility of a small shower through mid-morning.
Rain chances tonight are pretty small, but they get better Tuesday night into Wednesday morning and much better Wednesday night through Friday or maybe Saturday. Thursday and Friday we could even have some midday or afternoon showers.
Winds will be from the east northeast at 10-20 mph and seas at 2 feet for much of the week ahead. Low tide is 2:45 p.m. Have a great week.

Good morning Bay Islands. We have a lot of clouds overhead,

but not a lot of rain.

The highest rain total as of 7 a.m. is .06 of an inch in West Bay. We will continue to have a small rain chance through the morning, but clouds should begin to decrease. Winds this morning are around 20 mph and seas at 3 feet. We will continue to be windy today with winds 20-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Tomorrow and into the coming week, winds will calm a bit to 15-20 mph and seas at 2 feet. We will continue to have small overnight rain chances, but those chances get a bit better Wednesday night through Friday. Low tide is 2:20 p.m. Have a good Sunday!

July 15, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Around 8 p.m. last night rain moved over Roatan giving many locations about a tenth of an inch. This morning we are mostly sunny with southeast winds around 20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). We will stay windy today and tomorrow at 20-25 mph and seas getting up to 4 feet. Starting Monday and for much of next week winds should be from the east 15-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet.
Some of the computers are wanting to give us a bit of a better chance of rain late this afternoon and early this evening. Over the next few days we will continue to have small overnight rain chances, but the chances will go up Wednesday night into Thursday, with a good chance of some beneficial rain. Have a good weekend!

We had showers scattered around the island, but most reporting stations got nothing. We heard thunder and had a bit of rain around 3 a.m., but the rain meter up the hill from me in Jonesville Point got nothing. Only Palmetto Bay recorded any rain, with .06 of an inch.

There’s a shower to the east of Guanaja right now, but it is moving to the south and should miss us. Otherwise, the satellite looks clear, so we should have a mostly sunny day.

Winds are pretty calm this morning at 7-12 mph from the northeast and seas are around 2 feet (.6 meters). They should stay that way today, getting windier tonight up to 20 mph. Tomorrow winds will be 15-20 mph and seas at 3 feet. Tomorrow night through Sunday looks windier with 20-25 mph winds and seas at 4 feet. The first of next week looks a little calmer again.

We will continue in this cycle of early morning rain chances and mostly dry days. The GFS model is wanting to give us a better chance of some downpours toward the middle of next week. Low tide is 1:15 p.m. Have a great Friday!

July 13, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Looks like it’s been Utila’s morning to enjoy a rain shower. This morning the showers have been close to the coast of the mainland. We will keep a small chance of a shower through mid-morning and the afternoon should be dry. We will continue to have these chances of morning showers.
Winds will be calmer today and tomorrow out of the east 10-20 mph and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters). The weekend looks a little windier at 15-25 mph and seas around 4 feet (1.3 meters) getting up to 5 feet Saturday night and Sunday night. Winds look a little calmer first of next week, back to 10-20 mph. Low tide is 12:30 p.m. Have a great Thursday.

The west side finally got a good rain. It looks like two waves for most, one at 3 a.m. and one that has been passing through in the 6 a.m. hour. Sometimes the rain-cooled air creates a boundary that can create more showers. That is what happened yesterday when Camp Bay and St. Helene in the far east got a downpour mid-morning. These showers should generally decrease, though, and the afternoon should be dry.

Lots of people have been asking where are July squalls are, and it looks like they have finally arrived. The period Friday through Sunday look like we will have an even better chance, but generally these scattered showers look like a possibility every morning, though we won’t all get wet every morning.
Today we will have east winds 15-22 mph and seas at 3 feet, but tomorrow and Friday look a bit calmer, with winds 10-17 mph and seas at 2 feet. Low tide will be around noon. Have a great Wednesday.

July 11, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. From radar it looks like Guanaja may have gotten a couple of rounds of rain and perhaps some thunder last night. Let us know in comments. The rain mostly missed the big island of Roatan to the north, though Punta Blanca did pick up .03 of an inch this morning.

Our windy conditions from the east at 20-25 mph will continue through tomorrow night, but Thursday and Friday look calmer with northeast winds 12-17 mph and seas around 2 feet.

Our chance of rain Thursday through Saturday will go up as well, though as usual, most rain should come overnight or early in the morning. Low tide is 11 a.m. Have a great Tuesday!