August 5, 2023

Aug. 5, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. As you can see in this mornings satellite, skies are clear. The weekend will be mostly sunny. We will start getting more clouds on Monday, but rain chances will be low, about 20 percent and even that chance is mostly overnight. It looks like a pretty dry week ahead.
Winds this morning are 15 mph from the east and seas are 3 feet (1 meter) on the south side and 2 feet on the north side. Winds will stay in the 12-17 mph range and seas at 2 feet for the weekend and the early part of next week.
Lowest tide doesn’t come until around 7 a.m. tomorrow.

Yesterday I pointed out the tropical wave with the red arrow. There is another tropical wave behind it coming off the coast of Africa (green arrow). Both of them look weaker than they did yesterday due to dry air in the upper atmosphere in the Atlantic. We’ll continue to keep an eye on them. Have a great weekend.

August 4, 2023

Satellite image at 6:45 a.m.

Good morning, Bay Islands. Many locations mid-island and west got between a tenth and a quarter inch right around midnight last night. Utila picked up about a tenth of an inch around 8 p.m. yesterday. As you can see in this morning’s satellite, most of the rain is well to our west.
Winds this morning are from the east 5-12 mph and seas at 2 feet. Today we’ll have winds 10-15 mph with seas at 2 feet, and tonight they will be gusty up to 25 mph and seas 3-4 feet.
This weekend and early next week winds should stay around 15 mph and seas around 2 feet.
It looks like this weekend will be dry and sunny, with only slight chances of overnight showers.
Chances for overnight showers get only a little better next week, to around 20-25 percent.
Low tides are 5 p.m. and 5:30 a.m. Have a great Friday!

August 3, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. Some of us saw some showers early this morning.

Most of the rain is north of us, but it is possible some clouds might give us a little shower during the morning. The computers are really wanting to give us a good chance of a shower this afternoon, and especially this evening as we get toward sunset. After that Friday and the weekend look dry and sunny. The small rain chances are mostly overnight and early morning. East winds are very mild at 12-17 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters). Low tides are 4 p.m. and 4:30 a.m. Have a great Thursday!

August 2, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. We start off with yesterday’s rain totals, which were around a quarter of an inch for many areas mid-island to west side. We stayed drier in the east. No rain has been recorded since midnight today.

This morning, there’s quite a bit of rain off the Mosquito Coast, but it doesn’t seem to be moving very quickly anywhere. We should stay mostly dry today, with about a 20 percent chance of a shower. Rain chances tomorrow are around 30 percent, especially in the evening. After that our rain chances are pretty low through the weekend. Winds remain moderate at 15-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet through the whole period. Low tide is 3:30 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!

Rainfall for July 2023

Yesterday’s rain saved us from putting another very dry month in the books. But it didn’t save us from putting a below average rainfall month. Midisland and the west side were very dry in July. The east side actually did better. Punta Blanca got the most island-wide at 6.7 inches. Officially we’re putting Sandy Bay’s 4.25 inches in the books. That’s more than an inch below July’s average of 5.42 inches. Our rainfall deficit for 2023 is now 15 inches. We’ve had just over half the 32 inches we should have had at this point in the year. But it seems like the drought might finally be broken and there is more rainfall in the forecast.

Aug. 1, 2023

Aug. 1, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands and welcome to August. Here are the rain totals for yesterday. Sandy Bay and West End were the big winners with just over 2 inches of rain, but everyone saw some rain. Punta Blanca, that got the least yesterday, got .03 this morning, the only station on the island to report rain this morning.

At 6:30 a.m. the satellite shows a lot of clouds over us,

but the radar shows most of the rain to our west and moving away from us. We will have a good chance of showers today, but probably not as much rain as we had yesterday. That good chance will continue Thursday. Friday through the weekend look mostly dry.
Winds will continue moderate through the week at 15-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Low tide is 2:30 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

July 31, 2023

Good morning Bay islands. We have some storms coming at us from the southeast at 7 a.m.

Here’s yesterday’s rain total.

And here’s today’s as of 6:30 a.m.

Today we will have a good chance of showers and thundershowers off and on through the day. Winds can get brisk in squalls, but between storms they should be from the east 7-12 mph and seas 2-3 feet.

Those good rain chances stick around through Wednesday.
Thursday through the weekend look a little drier.
Winds will be pretty moderate Tuesday into the weekend, from the east 15-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet.
Low tide is 1:45 p.m. Have a great week!

July 30, 2023

July 30, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Our storm from the past two days is now south of Acapulco, Mexico and has an 80 percent chance of turning into a Pacific storm, but it is no longer of concern to us.

There is a small shower over Barbarat. Very few of us should see any rain from this isolated shower, but some of us on the east end may catch a little rain.

Today looks like a nice day with partly cloudy skies. Winds will continue to be from the 15-20 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Tomorrow looks a little calmer, but also a day with scattered showers around throughout the day. There will be about a 40 percent chance of rain on Monday. Tuesday and Wednesday we will have partly cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of rain each day, especially overnight and in the morning.
Rain chances should be low at the end of the week into the weekend. Have a great Sunday!

July 29, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. Here are the rainfall numbers since midnight. Except for Utila, which shows the half inch they received yesterday afternoon.

satellite at 6:45 a.m.

This morning most of the storm has moved into the Pacific, though there is still a piece of the storm over us.

radar at 7 a.m.

Most of the rain is to our north, but we still have scattered showers to our east, so we will keep a chance of rain through the morning hours.

Now that it is moving away from us, this storm has an 80 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression in the Pacific.

Winds this morning are around 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Winds should remain around 15-20 mph and seas around 3 feet (1 meter) this weekend and early next week.

After these clouds clear out, the chance of rain looks pretty low this afternoon through tomorrow. Monday through Wednesday the chance of rain looks higher, with scattered storms, mostly at night and in the morning but also possible anytime of day. These won’t be long, all-day rains, but passing downpours like we are used to in July and August on the islands. Low tide is around noon. Have a great weekend!

July 28, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. The National Hurricane Center has given us a yellow x for a potential tropical system off the coast of Nicaragua. This is the system we will be dealing with today. It is possible it will form into a tropical storm after it crosses into the Pacific. That won’t be our problem, but dealing with showers and thunderstorms today will.

The center of the storm will be south of us, but there are significant clouds and rain to our east. In the satellite you can see a few stronger storms within the main system. Those have the darker gray clouds that I’ve circled. We will be cloudy all day. There will be periods without rain, but also some heavy rain and thunderstorms, especially this afternoon and evening.

Some rain has already come in advance of our storm. Many locations, especially mid-island, picked up about a tenth of an inch. All of us should see more than this today.

Rain may last into early tomorrow morning, but tomorrow is beginning to look a little better, with a lower chance of rain during the middle of the day and afternoon, but windy, with east winds 17-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet.
Starting Sunday we will have about a 30 percent chance of seeing a scattered shower or thunderstorm each day, with east winds around 12-17 mph and seas around 3 feet. Low tide is 11:20 p.m. Have a great Friday and stay safe!