July 3, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Rainfall totals around the island were generally between a tenth and a quarter of an inch, with individual reports up to half an inch.
We wake up with east winds 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Today is the day our winds get strong again. They will get stronger through the afternoon until this evening they will be 20-30 mph and seas will be around 4 feet (1.3 meters). Those winds will stick around throughout the week.
Today and tomorrow will be mostly cloudy, but there is a very low chance of rain, around 30 percent, and those chances will mostly be overnight and in the early morning. Rain chances for the week ahead will be low, but not zero, like they were through much of June. Low tide will be 2:45 p.m. and will be quite low due to the full moon. Have a good week!

Good morning, Roatan! We heard the thunder last night but didn’t get the rain. The east side got .04 of an inch at Punta Gorda and .02 at Politilly. West Bay and West End didn’t record rain but Sandy Bay recorded .09.

This morning we have a few showers to our northeast and we will have a chance of rain throughout the day under mostly cloudy skies. At least that should keep the temperature down a bit. We’ll be mostly cloudy through Tuesday, but rain chances are only 30 percent Monday and Tuesday. Our best shot for rain is today. Let’s hope it happens.
Winds today and tomorrow will be 10-20 mph from the east and seas at 2 feet. Tomorrow night things get a little windier with 20-30 mph winds and seas 3-4 feet. Those winds will continue through most of next week. Low tide is 2 p.m. and will be quite low. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands and welcome to July! We start the month with fairly calm winds at 5-10 mph and seas at 1 foot. Today winds will be 5-15 mph and seas around 2 feet. Tomorrow winds will be 10-20 mph and seas around 3 feet. Monday evening and into the week we will get windier, with east winds 20-30 mph and seas 3-4 feet.

We are still looking for the area of rain right now on the Mosquito Coast to work its way toward us. This will start this evening and last through Tuesday morning. The two main computer models, the GFS and the Euro, give us a good chance at getting an inch or so of rain.

The GFS is especially optimistic about the east end and Guanaja getting good rain,

but I have to warn you that some of the other models such as the Canadian put us in a dry hole. So it is not a sure thing, but we can definitely hope the GFS and Euro are correct and we will get rain this evening into Tuesday morning. It won’t be all the time and there will be periods of sun, but there should be scattered showers. Low tide is 2 p.m. Have a great weekend!

June 30, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. This morning there is a small shower to our northeast, but it isn’t moving toward us. We wake up to mild winds from the east at 5-10 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters). Winds should continue moderate at 5-15 mph and seas at 2 feet through Sunday morning. Starting Sunday night and into next week our winds will get brisk at 20-30 mph and seas at 4-5 feet (1.3-1.6 meters).
As for rain, we will have a 30 percent chance of an overnight shower. During the day, today and Saturday should be mostly dry. Our best chance of rain comes in the period Sunday through Tuesday morning as another tropical wave passes over. I think most of us should see at least some rain during this period, and some of us may get an inch out of it.
For the rest of the week we will have 20-30 percent rain chances at night and early morning. Low tide will be at 12:20 p.m. Have a great Friday!

June 29, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. I’m back home where I belong. We had quite a windy evening last night with winds up to around 30 mph. Today we will continue windy with winds 20-25 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Winds will be a bit calmer Friday and Saturday at 12-17 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters). We’ll be mostly sunny and dry through Saturday. Clouds will build up on Sunday and there is a good chance of rain Sunday into Monday. Sunday the trade winds come back for next week, blowing from the east at 20-30 mph and seas 4-5 feet (1.3-1.6 meters). Have a great Thursday!

June 28, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Another short forecast, but I’m halfway home! Just two more flights to go.
There’s been scattered showers around us overnight but I haven’t found a reporting station with measurable rainfall. Today will be partly cloudy with moderate winds 5-15 mph from the east and seas 2-3 feet. Tonight the winds will be higher, 15-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet. There will be another small chance of a shower overnight. Tomorrow we got back to moderate winds at 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Next decent chance of rain is Sunday morning and Sunday night. Have a great Wednesday!

June 26, 2023: Good (rainy) morning Bay Islands. Thank goodness we finally got wet! As of 9 a.m. today, most of us have seen between a quarter and half an inch. The radar also indicates we’ve heard some thunder.

As you can see in radar, the storms are generally moving east to west,

but the clouds aren’t moving much and seem to be reforming over the islands. We will have mostly cloudy skies, but also periods of sun with a good chance of scattered showers today. Winds and seas will be fairly calm through tomorrow morning.
Tonight and tomorrow morning there will be another good chance of showers. Lingering showers should clear out Tuesday and Wednesday through Saturday should be partly cloudy to mostly sunny with only a small chance of an overnight or early morning shower. It looks like another tropical wave, probably Sunday night into Monday morning next week is on the way. Low tide is 9:33 a.m. Have a great week!

June 25, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! Our winds and seas are quite calm this morning, at around 10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Winds should remain moderate through Wednesday morning at 5-15 mph and seas will be 1-2 feet. The big story is the approach of the moisture of former storm Bret, now just a tropical wave of moisture. Bret will give us about a 30 percent chance of rain tonight, a 40 percent chance of rain during the day tomorrow and a 60 percent chance of rain tomorrow night into Tuesday morning Wednesday and Thursday we should get our trade winds back at 20-25 mph and seas to 4 feet. This weekend we have another tropical wave and good chances of rain. Have a great Sunday!

June 24, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Sorry, but I can only do a brief forecast today. The internet here in the mountains of Oregon is really bad. Two main points.
1. Winds should calm a bit through Monday. 10-20 mph today, 10-15 mph tomorrow and Monday before getting back to 15-25 mph midweek.
2 We still see some moisture coming from the remnants of Bret Monday and Tuesday. There will be about a 50/50 chance each day.
Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. Sorry for the late post. We’re in the mountains of Oregon for a nephew-in-law’s wedding. It’s 48 degrees up here (9C) 🥶.
As best as I can tell from weather stations and radar, the islands have stayed mostly dry yesterday and last night. If you got any rain, let me know in comments. Today through Sunday we should continue partly cloudy with winds 15-25 mph and seas 3-4 feet until Monday, when things should calm a bit, but for just one day. We will still have a daily chance of getting a squall.
Tropical Storm Bret is in the Eastern Caribbean and has started to weaken, down to 60 mph max winds. It should continue to weaken and move west.

Unfortunately for us, it is also trending south, as you can see in the GFS forecast map here, which would lessen the amount of rain we can expect Monday and Tuesday. There’s still a decent chance of rain those two days, and we are in a wetter pattern. I still expect to see scattered showers for at least the next week. We will eventually get wet. The question is when. Low tide will not be very low at 7 p.m. Have a great Friday.