November 28, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. We are in full moon and Marcela Husband captured that perfectly in today’s photo of the day from Sandy Bay.

Yesterday a lot of those popcorn clouds had rain in them, especially on the east side.

Since midnight rainfall totals have been light, and mostly on the west side.

On satellite this morning we see clouds, especially southeast of Guanaja, moving to the west. Today we will have periods of sun, periods of clouds and passing showers. These conditions will continue through tomorrow and perhaps Thursday morning. Thursday afternoon through the weekend things get much drier.

In our wide satellite view we can see a cold front to our north that is stalling. As it gets a bit closer to us, our waves will pick up on the north side. Right now we’re seeing 3 foot waves around the island but tomorrow that should get up to 4 foot waves, especially on the north side. Thursday night winds get stronger from the east at 20-25 mph and seas get up to 4-5 feet, especially on the south side. That strong east wind will be with us through the weekend.

Lowest tide is around 4 a.m. tomorrow. Have a great Tuesday!

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Nov. 27, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. This morning we feature a photo from Matt Harper taken … this morning. A small shower was spotted looking northwest toward Fantasy Island near French Key. It is a good photo for the day because we are going to be seeing an increase in scattered showers through Thursday morning, especially starting tonight.

This morning we are seeing a few “popcorn” clouds that may contain small showers like the one Matt photographed. Today rain chances will be quite small, maybe 20 percent, but rain chances will be good this evening through tomorrow morning and we will have scattered showers around through Thursday morning, especially in the overnights and morning hours.

Winds this morning are 15 mph from the east and seas are 2-3 feet and will remain that way through Thursday morning, though toward Wednesday seas may pick up to 3-4 feet, especially on the south side as a cold front stalls to our north. I think our chance for a heavy rain shower is best Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

After Thursday morning our rain chances go way down into the weekend, but our east winds pick up to 20 mph and 25 mph at night, giving us seas 4-5 feet, especially on the south side.

Lowest tide is 3:07 A.M. Have a great week!

‘ve had some followers ask for a text only email with no pictures, especially for those with satellite internet connections out to sea. If you would like to be included please send me your email address.

November 26, 2023

Good morning, Bay Islands! Our picture of the day was taken at Camp Bay Beach yesterday by Dalton McCoole (I love that name).
If you want to go to Camp Bay Beach today the weather should be just as lovely, if a little more choppy, with east winds around 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet outside the reef. We’re going to keep similar winds and seas into the middle of next week. Toward the end of the coming week east winds get windier and seas get choppier, especially on the south side.
We should stay dry today and tomorrow morning. Monday evening through Thursday morning we will have scattered showers as a cold front stall to our north. Most of our rain will be in the evening and early morning, and we will still have periods of sun Tuesday and Wednesday, but a tropical downpour can bring a quick half inch to an inch in many areas. Toward the end of the week things get drier and windier. Have a great Sunday!

November 25, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands! Around 4 a.m. a little rain fell from Sandy Bay to Hottest Sparrow. The rest of us stayed dry.

At 7 a.m. we continue to have partly cloudy skies though it looks like there might be a shower just to the east of Guanaja.

We’ll keep a chance of an isolated shower today, but most of us will stay dry and partly cloudy with east/northeast winds 5-10 mph. Tomorrow the chance of a shower in incredibly small and it will be a little windier, with east winds 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Those conditions continue into Monday. Winds and seas get calmer midweek before stronger east winds return for the end of the week.

A cold front will stall over Yucatan on Wednesday, meaning most of the rain will be to our north. Our chance at an isolated shower will go up to around 40 percent for Wednesday.

Lowest tide is 1:40 a.m.

Our photo of the day comes via MasTv Roatan, who had this photo submitted by Mark Moore who said he spotten an orca (also known as a “killer whale” though they only kill fish) near Guanaja. According to island native Errol Ducker, orcas pass the islands in the months of November and December. Have a great weekend!

November 23, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. Our picture of the day is of West Bay Beach and comes from Myra Welcome. Thanks Ms. Myra!

No rainfall recorded this morning on the big island. Utila got a shower about 2:30 a.m.

We wake up to calm winds and seas and lots of broken clouds. These clouds are drifting to the west. I have arrows pointing to the ones that may contain a shower. We will keep a 30 percent chance of catching a quick shower, especially this morning, but it shouldn’t amount to much.

We still see the tropical wave we’ve been watching this week approaching the Mosquito Coast. This should bring more moisture our way tomorrow. I’d say a 40 percent chance of a shower tomorrow and a 50 percent chance Friday night into Saturday morning. Saturday afternoon through Monday chances are back down to 30 percent and rise a little the middle of next week, but no big storms in the forecast, just scattered showers and lots of sun and clouds.

Winds and seas will be quite calm today through Saturday. Winds pick up from the east Sunday and Monday to 12-17 mph and seas to 2-3 feet before getting calm again Tuesday and Wednesday.

Lowest tides are coming at midnight. Have a great Thursday!

November 22, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. We wake up to very calm winds and seas about 1.5 feet. Those calm winds and seas should continue into the weekend. We’re still watching a tropical wave that is no longer listed as a tropical threat by the National Hurricane Center, but we should still watch for increases in our rain chances, especially Friday night into Saturday morning.
We will continue to have mostly clear skies and almost no chance of rain today, but tomorrow we will have partly cloudy skies and a low chance of an isolated shower. Clouds will be increasing into Thursday night and Friday we will have a chance of showers, especially in the evening and I think the chance of getting wet is quite good Friday night into Saturday morning, at least 50 percent and that number might get bigger. Saturday afternoon and Sunday we will have a few showers around and about a 30 percent chance of rain. Low tides are 11:30 a.m. and 11:30 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!

Here’s our video forecast, including a discussion of why it is warmer on the south side in the mornings.

November 20, 2023

Surprise surprise. We have an area for investigation to be a potential tropical storm. Fortunately for us it is only a 10 percent chance of developing. The storm they are looking at is the one that originally made me think this weekend might be rainy.

At the start of this map, you will see some rain north of Colombia moving to the west, but as it moves toward us, it never really gets very strong, because it is running into all the dry air that is giving us this dry weather. In fact, right now this weekend looks like only scattered showers, not heavy rain, so chances are not good for a tropical storm at all. But the National Hurricane Center thought the chance was good enough to mark it for investigation, so we will keep an eye on it.

Other than that, this week looks very nice. We start the day with fairly calm winds and seas and almost clear skies. Winds will get up to around 15 mph this evening and seas to 3 feet, but starting tomorrow evening and into the weekend we will have remarkably calm winds and seas. Of course with lots of sun and little wind, its going to feel hot, especially compared to the fresh air we had this past weekend.

November 19, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. Early this morning we had some light showers pass, giving most of us enough rain to get the ground wet, though Hottest Sparrow got a quarter of an inch.

The reason for the rain was these clouds that are mostly south of us (but still north of Utila). Roatan is almost out of these clouds at 8;30 a.m., so we should start seeing more sun. We’ll keep a chance of a shower through the morning into midday, especially for Utila, but rain totals should be light.
Tomorrow through Wednesday look quite dry. Rain chances get a little better for the end of next week and the weekend, but we’re not talking heavy all-day rain, just scattered showers.

We start the day with west winds around 15 mph and seas 3 feet on the north side and 2 feet on the south side. Winds and seas should get calmer as the day goes on, getting quite calm tonight and tomorrow morning. Tomorrow evening and Tuesday morning winds turn to the east 15-20 mph and seas 3 feet on the south side, 2 feet on the north side. Tuesday evening into the rest of the week, winds and seas look quite calm.

All in all it will be a good weather week and we should get some of our muddy spots dried out. Unfortunately we’ll feel hotter and the effects of our norther wear off and the heat builds back to the mid, and in some cases upper, 80s.

Low tides are 8 a.m. (now) and 9 p.m. Have a great Sunday!

November 18, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. Good morning Bay Islands. We had a light shower pass early this morning bring a little rain to several locations. There are still a few clouds to our south moving west to east. There is a small chance of a shower this morning, especially for Utila, but today should be mostly sunny with westerly winds around 15 mph and seas at 3 feet on the north side and 2 feet on the southside. Winds tomorrow will be from the west 10-15 mph, getting calmer toward evening and seas will be around 2 feet, 1 foot on the southside. There is a small chance of showers midmorning to midday tomorrow as some clouds pass over, but it shouldn’t be much. Winds and seas look quite calm next week, and the weather looks great. Rain chances go up late next week, but only to 30 or 40 percent chances of shower. Have a great weekend!

November 17, 2023

Good morning Bay Islands. Yesterday we got around a quarter of an inch west side and half to three quarters of an inch east side, with one location at First Bight recording 1.46. Most of this rain came noon to 3 p.m. as the front passed through, giving us gusty north winds.

This morning we have had a couple of locations with very light rain and in town in Utila with a third of an inch.

Usually north winds bring a lot of rain, but this time our north winds have a lot of dry air in the upper atmosphere, so we aren’t getting much rain, but still the cooler air is condensing into clouds and some of us might get an occasional light shower out of this. But most of us should stay dry under partly cloudy skies today. Winds this morning out to sea are from the north/northwest at 20 mph and seas at 4 feet. Winds today will start turning to the west at 15 mph and seas to 3 feet this evening.

Our potential tropical storm is bringing heavy rain to Jamaica and Haiti this morning, but still hasn’t organized into a tropical depression. Kingston has picked up 2.5 inches today and 5 inches over two days. But it is moving away from us and the cold front is near Cayman and running down to eastern Honduras.

We will be dealing with drier weather starting today and going into early next week. A small disturbance may pass through Sunday morning or midday giving us a shower, but I don’t think it will be much, if it happens at all. A cold front headed this way for Thursday, now looks like it will stall to our north, but the end of next week should have more scattered showers and rain moved in from the east.

Winds tomorrow will be from the west at 15-20 and seas 3-4 feet. Sunday from the west around 15 mph and seas 3 feet. Sunday evening and Monday morning winds will calm as they start switching to the east. Monday evening and Tuesday we’ll have east winds at 15 mph and seas around 2-3 feet. Winds will be calmer the end of next week.

Our lowest tides are coming around sunrise. Have a great Friday and enjoy the beautiful weather!

We got some great responses to our new sponsor, Rosita’s Meat Market and thanks to Trish Symons for giving us a Google Map pin to help folks navigate to the stores if they’ve never been there.
French harbour
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Coxen Hole
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