Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Kim Shiveley Kennedy and features clouds off of West End. I picked it because we will see a lot of clouds and some rain today as our weak norther gives us 5 foot seas. Seas are similar on the north and south sides because the seas and winds are coming from the northeast following the direction of our island, which runs northeast to southwest.

Here are our rain totals so far. Most of us should expect another inch of rain under mostly cloudy skies.

Tomorrow we will have scattered showers in the morning but drier with more sun in the afternoon. Winds will turn to the east 10-15 mph and seas calm to 3-4 feet.

Saturday and Sunday will be nice with only a very low chance of an isolated shower. Saturday winds will be from the east 17-22 mph and seas 4 feet. Sunday will be calmer with winds 10-15 mph turning to the northeast in the afternoon and seas 2-3 feet.

Sunday night into Monday and Tuesday we get our next norther. Several of the models say this will be a strong one, with lots of rain and wind. The GFS, which is often one of our more accurate models, is predicting less rain (2-3 inches) and moderate seas. But if the other models are right, we could get heavy rains and high seas those days. We’ll keep an eye on it.

Lowest tide is just before midnight. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Gail Rolinger. It shows rain in the background at Camp Bay Beach. I love this picture because it shows what a lot of rain on the island is like, a wet moment in an otherwise sunny day. A lot of times people get scared they will be rained out when they see a high percent chance of rain, but all-day rains are pretty rare in the islands. We’ll actually have a day like that today, with scattered showers and our winds turning to the northeast, as a norther gets closer. But we will also have periods of sun. Rainfall may get a bit heavier as we get later in the afternoon as winds from the northeast pick up to 10-15 mph and seas 3-4 feet.

Here are rainfall totals so far today. Utila got a shower around 3 a.m. Many locations should get a quarter to half an inch of rain as showers pass over today.
Tomorrow should be the rainiest day of the week, with more clouds than sun, northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas 4 to maybe 5 feet coming from the north/northeast. Rainfall totals may be 1.5 to 2 inches.

Friday rain totals should be lower, but there will be still scattered showers around. Winds will turn back to the east at 7-12 mph and seas 3 feet.
The weekend looks nicer, with only an isolated shower here or there. East winds will be strong on Saturday at 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet, but winds and seas will be calmer on Sunday. We are still watching another norther for Monday and especially Tuesday, but there is some disagreement as to how strong the norther will be.

Lowest tide will be around 11 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!

Our picture of the day comes from Deborah Robertson, showing a double rainbow. With showers around the islands today, especially this morning, we may see a few more of these.

This morning on radar we see a shower southeast of West Bay that is moving northwest, so West Bay may catch a shower in the 7 o’clock hour.

This is our rainfall from last night through this morning at 7 a.m. you can see that the east side got the majority of the rain, an inch and a half at Camp Bay.

On satellite we see a large cloud that moved over Guanaja this morning. I’d be interested in hearing from you guys in Guanaja if you got rain out of this.

We will keep showers around, especially this morning. This afternoon should be partly cloudy with a lower chance of a shower. Winds today will be from the east 15-20 mph with seas 3 feet on the south side and 2 feet north.

Rain chances go up again tonight and tomorrow morning, but again tomorrow we should have periods of sun and less rain in the afternoon. Wednesday and Thursday is when a weak cold front comes through, bringing better chances for rain, a slight turn of winds to the northeast and seas back up to around 4 feet, especially northside. Rain lingers into Friday. Saturday and Sunday look nicer, with maybe a 30 percent chance of a shower. Rain return Monday and Tuesday of next week with another norther and this one right now looks a bit stronger, so maybe some heavy rain first of next week.

High and low tides remain pretty mild. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. This morning’s picture of the day comes from James Oden, showing sunset in Sandy Bay. Thanks so much for the pictures. Keep them coming at bookmybio@gmail.com.

On satellite this morning we can see that most of the clouds are well to our northeast. We have mostly sunny skies and east winds 15-20 giving us seas 3-4 feet. Those winds and seas will stick with us through tomorrow, dropping to 12-17 mph and 3 feet on Tuesday and 5-10 mph and 2 feet on Wednesday. Thursday a weak norther pushes our winds out of the northeast at 12-17 mph and seas to 4 feet.

We will have a small chance of rain this evening or tonight into tomorrow morning. Rain chances get a little better Tuesday to around 40 percent. Wednesday and Thursday have the best chances of rain as we get a weak norther. These won’t be all-day rains, but most of us should get wet this week. Most models predict 1-2 inches, with most of it coming Wednesday and Thursday. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Mr. Ira Pouchie and shows the moon reflecting off the waters of Calabash Bight. If you have a photo you would like to share, send it to me here or at bookmybio@gmail.com.

At 6:30 a.m. we see a few showers on radar.

These are the morning “popcorn” showers. If you get one, it should pass by quickly and most of our day will be mostly sunny and dry. Our winds start out at 15 mph and seas 3 feet. Winds will be 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet by evening.

Winds and seas will be much the same (15-20 mph winds, seas 3-4 feet) through Monday. They will calm a bit Tuesday and Wednesday to 2-3 feet, but an approaching cold front will build seas back to around 4 feet for the end of next week with the swell coming from the northeast.

Rain chances are low today and tomorrow, but get a little better Monday and Tuesday (isolated or scattered showers), and even better Wednesday through Friday as we get scattered showers from a norther.
The long range forecast is trying to give us a stronger norther toward the middle of the month. We’ll keep an eye on it.

High and low tides are still pretty mild. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands and welcome to December. Today’s photo of the day is from Shelley Fuller of West Bay Beach. The beach will be a great place to enjoy the day, with clear skies and east winds around 20 mph. Seas for most of the island will be around 4 feet, perhaps 5 feet in the evening, but West Bay Beach is protected from heavy seas.
No rain today or tomorrow. Very small rain chances (20 percent) this weekend and a little better chance of a shower (30 percent) on Monday. Winds will be from the east 20-25 mph today with seas 4-5 feet. This weekend they will be 15-20 mph with seas 3-4 feet and Monday and Tuesday 12-17 mph and seas 2-3 feet.
In the extended forecast, we are looking for a weak cold front to get close the middle of next week giving us 50/50 rain chances and a slight turn to northeast winds. Have a great Friday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our weather photo of the day was taken by Ms Marilyn Elwin from right here in Jonesville Point. It was taken from the outlet of Media Luna looking east. In the foreground you see Oakridge and Calabash leading to New Port Royal. From this area you can see Helene, and on a clear day you can see Guanaja.

Many of us got a shower around 5 a.m. today. Similar amounts from a tenth to a quarter of an inch were recorded for yesterday morning as well.

At 7 a.m. Utila has some high clouds and there are a few popcorn clouds north of Roatan and northeast of Utila. There will be a small chance of rain this morning, but we should mostly be dry. This will be the beginning of a dry period that will last through the weekend, with only the slightest chance of a small shower. This morning our waves are still from the north at 4 feet, but during the day they will switch to northeast then east at 3 feet. Tomorrow through Sunday our easterly trade winds will be 20-25 mph and seas 4-5 feet.

Lowest tide is tomorrow at 5:30 a.m.
Our extended forecast has a slightly higher chance of rain Monday, maybe 30 or 40 percent, and an increased chance of rain Wednesday through Friday next week, though the norther is looking weaker and weaker. Have a great Thursday.

Our photo of the day was taken this past Saturday by Burt Bright. He was flying over the cold front that was then in Georgia and is now pushing into the Gulf of Mexico. On Burt’s picture …

… and in the satellite you can see the cool, dry air pushing clouds in front of it. We have been on the warm side of those clouds, enjoying mostly dry weather.

We have a few showers around this morning and Utila picked up about a tenth of an inch in the 6 o’clock hour. We will continue to see a few showers through the morning and partly cloudy skies and possibly an isolated shower this afternoon. Rain chances go up tonight and early tomorrow morning, then starting tomorrow afternoon through the weekend we look dry and windy. As the cold front gets close today, we will have east/northeast winds 10-15, but seas swelling from the north to 4 feet (they are 3 feet this morning). Winds turn due east tomorrow and will be strong (22-27 mph) through the weekend, giving 5-foot seas, especially on the south side. We’re still watching the possibility of a norther on Thursday or Friday of next week. Have a great Wednesday!