We ended November with 18.46 inches of rain for November, which is only slightly above average for what is usually our rainiest month of the year. Unless we get 19 inches in December (which kind of seems unlikely given our forecast for the next week) we will end the year below normal for rain. Based on averages, we are past the peak for the rainy season. December and January are, on average, fairly rainy at 13 and 11 inches on average before we get back to drier weather in February.

December 1, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! A few locations got a little rain overnight. West Bay picked up .15 of an inch and Coral View got .06. Here on Lucy Point we got down to 70 degrees this morning along with a few other locations on the island. We’ve been having wonderfully cool nights, great sleeping weather.
Get ready for a beautiful day with calm winds and seas maybe getting up to 2 feet (.6 meters). Tomorrow will also be nice, but chances of rain will increase toward evening and we will have scattered showers Friday into the weekend. Right now those showers don’t look as numerous as we have had with previous systems and this isn’t a cold front, just a wave of moisture. We’re actually looking for a slow return to our dominant east winds starting next week for the first time in awhile. Have a great Wednesday!

Nov. 30, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! West Bay picked up quite a bit of rain (.65 of an inch) in evening squalls yesterday, while West End got .05 yesterday evening. Sandy Bay got some light showers in the early afternoon hours, but mid-island and east Roatan was dry after the morning hours.
Conditions look nice to end November and start December. We’ll have partly cloudy skies with only a slight chance of a pop up shower through Thursday. Winds will be mostly from the west at 3-7 mph and seas at 1 foot (.3 meter). Rain chances will go up Friday and Saturday. Have a great Tuesday!

Nov. 29, 2021: Everybody got wet overnight. Mid-island and Camp Bay got under half an inch, but we got .86 of an inch on Lucy Point and West Bay got 1.2 inches.
We’ll keep some scattered morning showers around, but things should clear out this afternoon. This afternoon through Thursday looks pretty nice, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, light winds and low seas mostly around 1 foot (.3 meters). Friday and Saturday a good chance of rain returns, but there are no cold fronts in the forecast for at least the next week and a half, so we should start warming up.

Nov. 28, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! We got down to 69 (20.5 C) degrees here on Lucy Point this morning. Brrr cold! With no cold fronts expected this week, I think we should get a little warming trend, with lows only getting into the mid 70s (24 C) by midweek and highs in the mid to upper 80s (around 30 C). Today will be mostly sunny with only a very minimal chance of a shower until tonight. Winds will be light and variable and seas around 1 foot (.3 meters). Overnight and tomorrow morning we have a 40 percent chance of showers with northwest winds 7-12 mph. Tuesday through Thursday look like nice days with fairly calm winds. There is some disagreement in the models about whether Friday and Saturday might have a higher chance of rain. We’ll have to wait and see. Have a great Sunday!

Nov. 27, 2021: The most remarkable thing about yesterday’s rain was how cold it was. During a downpour around noon, my temperature was 72 degrees (22 C) which I’m pretty sure is the lowest daytime temperature I’ve ever had.
From 7 a.m. to 7 a.m., the rainfall totals were 1.3 inches in West End, 2.15 in Sandy Bay SOL, 1.47 Sandy Bay, 1.35 Coral View, 1.16 in Politilly and here on Lucy Point .82.
There are definitely some showers around, especially to the west of the islands, and they are generally moving this way, so we’ll definitely keep a chance of rain around for this morning, but shies should clear in the afternoon. Northeast winds will be at 10 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters). Sunday will be a nice day for Honduras’ election (this is true for the island, but also nationwide.) with winds and seas quite calm. Monday a small chance of morning rain returns with north winds at 5-10 mph and seas 1 foot. Thursday through Saturday rain chances increase again. Have a great weekend!

Nov. 26, 2021: It’s been a rainy night. In the last 24 hours as of 7 a.m. West Bay had 2.2 inches, West End 1.7, Sandy Bay 1.41, Coral View .85, First Bight. 40, Politilly .63, and Lucy Point .43.
Winds will be out of the west today at 8-15 mph and seas on the northside will get up to 3 feet (1 meter). Rain will be possible throughout the day. Rain should end Saturday morning with northeast winds at 10 mph and seas falling to 2 feet (.6 meters) on the north side. Saturday afternoon through Sunday look quite nice, with calming winds and seas through the weekend. Monday we’ll have a chance of morning showers and Tuesday a smaller chance of morning showers, but mostly pretty nice conditions.

Nov. 25, 2021: We awoke to one of the coolest mornings of the year. West End and Sandy Bay reached 68 and we reached 69 on Lucy Point (both equal to 20 C). That isn’t far from our all-time low of 65 (18 C). Midday downpours yesterday gave most of us between a quarter and a half inch of rain, though West End got 1.3 inches.
This morning will be nice, with partly cloudy skies and light winds and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters) on the north side. This afternoon clouds will increase and so will the chance of rain. Heavy downpours are likely tonight and through the day tomorrow. Many models give us two inches tonight through tomorrow. Winds and seas will also increase tomorrow at 12-17 mph from the north and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). Rain chances linger into Saturday morning, but after those clear out, the weekend should be nice, with winds and seas getting calmer.

Nov. 24, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! That was definitely a big downpour for most of us yesterday morning, and a few of us got a shower this morning around 4 a.m. Rain totaled .80 in West Bay, .59 in West End, a little over an inch in Sandy Bay, .22 in Coral View, .92 in First Bight, .35 in Politilly, and .47 here in Lucy Point.
We are definitely on the other side of the front, with dewpoints this morning getting as low as 68 (20 C) and temperatures down around 71 (21.6 C) at their coolest. At 7 a.m., most of us are in the mid-70s (around 24 C).
We have a lot of low clouds around and there are some showers on radar to our north. We can’t rule out a passing shower today, but we should have clearer skies this afternoon and light north winds around 5-10 mph and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters) mostly on the north side. Tomorrow looks pretty nice as well, but tomorrow night through Friday and into Saturday morning looks pretty rainy. Sunday looks nice, with only a small chance of a shower on Honduras’ election day. Have a great day!

Nov. 23, 2021: Depending where you were yesterday you either got real wet or got nothing. In the last 24 hours ending 7 a.m. today West Bay got .42 of an inch, West End .65, Sandy Bay SOL 1.65 (though the other Sandy Bay station only got .19), Coral View .04, First Bight 1.6, Politilly .84, and here on Lucy Point .43. Most of ours came around midnight, but many locations got a good afternoon rain yesterday.

Our satellite image shows our end of the cold front is much weaker than we expected. That would lead me to believe that our rain threat is lower than the models indicate for today. They still say our north winds should get a little stronger this afternoon and they still want to give us a chance for an afternoon shower. I’d put it at about 40 percent. Rain chances go way down tonight and tomorrow.

Rain chances also look low for the U.S. holiday on Thursday. Winds will be out of the northeast at 10 mph with 2 foot (.6 meter) seas on Thursday. There are no major storms in our forecast through the end of the week, but we can’t rule out a passing shower, especially Friday and Saturday. Have a great Tuesday!