The National Hurricane Center has the storm that could become Bonnie up to an 80 percent chance of forming in five days and 60 percent in the next 48 hours.
The chart shown here demonstrates how unusual a June tropical system striking South America is. The two in June were one in 1933 and TS Bret in 2017 that caused the deaths of two people in Trinidad.
The only other thing I can say about the latest runs is that they are trending southward, so you will note the forecast track from NHC shows it possibly going as far south as northern Costa Rica.
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