June 14, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday brought a lot of clouds but not much rain after the early morning hours. It also got quite windy. I picked up 38 mph winds on Jonesville Point.
Today will continue windy and partly to mostly cloudy, with winds 25-30 mph from the east and 5 foot (1.6 meter) seas. Rain chances today are low, in the 20 percent range.
Tomorrow things should calm a little, to 17-22 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). Rain chances continue low.
The big story is the mass of showers between Colombia and Nicaragua. Over the next few days it is expected to move northwestward. Yesterday the U.S. GFS model was trying to turn this into a tropical storm. Today it looks much less organized and much more likely to just be a lot of scattered showers starting Thursday evening and running through Saturday. Several models move most of the moisture into the Pacific to our south. The National Weather Service gives it a 40 percent chance of tropical development over the next five days. We’ll keep an eye on it.
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