Good morning Bay Islands. I did a video to talk about a small storm the GFS model is predicting for Wednesday, mainly to our north. It isn’t a huge deal, but it would basically be a very small tropical depression that passes about 50 miles to our north.
Today and tomorrow we will continue to have partly cloudy skies and a 30 percent chance of a passing shower, but starting Tuesday night through Thursday morning we would have better chances of rain, with most models giving us an inch and a half over that time period. If the GFS is right, and it gets windier to our north, we could get 3-4 foot seas, especially on the north side during this period. Have a great week!

Sept. 24, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. We have some rain and clouds moving south from our north, much like we had yesterday. Yesterday those clouds made it here and gave some of us around an inch of rain mid morning. These clouds are a little further east than those were, but it is possible we could get a mid- or late-morning shower out of this.
Otherwise we will be partly cloudy with winds 5-10 mph and seas at 1 foot.
Tomorrow winds will be 10-15 mph and seas around 2 feet. Tomorrow evening through Thursday we will have scattered showers and about a 40 percent chance each day of seeing a shower or thunderstorm. Starting Wednesday, winds calm again to 5-10 mph and seas 1 foot. Have a great Sunday.

Good morning Bay Islands. We have a few showers in the western portion of the Caribbean at 7 a.m. moving south. These will probably fall apart as the morning goes on, but there is a chance that western Roatan or Utila gets a midmorning shower out of one of these.

We will have light winds, 1 foot seas and very little chance of rain today and tomorrow.
Our chances of rain go up Monday and especially Tuesday and Wednesday, mostly for overnight or early morning thundershowers, but a shower in the middle of the day Tuesday or Wednesday is also possible.
Winds will be 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet Monday and Tuesday before calming again Wednesday through the rest of the week. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. We had a little bit of rain early this morning in the madrugada (that’s definitely one of my favorite Spanish words, meaning the early morning hours before dawn. We have nothing like it in English.). The rain was mostly midisland to the east side.

This morning we’re mostly clear. There is a small area of showers east of Guanaja, but that is headed southwest, toward Colon on the coast.

Today we will have 10-15 mph winds and 2 foot seas, but this weekend things will get much calmer.
We will continue to have 30 percent rain chances, mostly overnight and in the early morning. Those rain chances go up Wednesday and Thursday of next week, when we could get some pretty good downpours if the computers are right.
Have a great Friday. Fall equinox is just after midnight tonight, meaning days and nights are equal and rainy season isn’t far away.

Tropical update for Sept. 21, 2023: Tropical weather has been pretty quiet here in the Caribbean. Fortunately we haven’t had any disturbances in awhile, which is good because the waters are quite hot. The red X shown in the central Atlantic Ocean is headed west toward the Lesser Antilles. Current computer models show this storm developing, likely into a hurricane, but turning north before getting into the Caribbean. So it is unlikely to affect us, but we’ll keep an eye on it.

Sept. 21, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands. Overnight we had quite a bit of storminess to our east, but it stayed to our east. We are getting a few clouds from it at 7 a.m. but it doesn’t look like there’s much rain. We’re windier than we’ve been in awhile with 15 mph winds and seas a little over 2 feet. Today and tomorrow we will continue to have winds around 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet. This weekend looks calmer.
The next two nights we will continue to have a 40 percent chance of an overnight shower. The rain chance goes down over the weekend. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands. At 7:30 a.m. we have a lot of rain off the Mosquito Coast but most of that is moving away from us. We have a few scattered showers northeast of Barbarat, so a stray shower is not out of the question for some of us this morning.

We will be partly cloudy today with east winds 10-17 mph and seas around 2 feet. There is a better chance of an evening shower today, around 40 percent.
Tomorrow we will continue to have east winds 10-17 mph and seas 2 feet.
Friday through the weekend looks calmer again, with winds 5-10 mph and seas mostly 1 foot. Rain chances will be around 30 percent. Have a great Wednesday.

Good morning Bay Islands. At 7:30 a.m., we have a few small showers, one that is bringing a third of an inch to Palmetto Bay and another bringing some rain to Guanaja.

These are very small showers that will pass quickly and decrease as the morning moves along. We will continue mostly calm with east winds 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. Rain chances will continue to be around 30 percent today and tomorrow, but go up tomorrow night into the rest of the week. Thursday will be a little windier at 12-17 mph but ther rest of the week looks pretty calm. Have a great Tuesday!

I went snorkeling off Oakridge for the first time in awhile and saw lots of coral turned light blue.

This picture isn’t mine, but it’s very similar to what I saw. I asked a dive instructor and he said that this is a defense mechanism when coral starts getting too hot. There is only one buoy that is sending live temperature readings.

It is at White Hole on the north side midisland. It says we’ve been at 30.4 C (almost 87F) for quite awhile now. This is a combination of hot weather and lack of wave action to churn the water. Bleaching is the result. Let’s hope rainy season and cooler waters get here soon.

Good morning Bay Islands. Last night just after midnight, we got a nice shower here on Jonesville Point giving us just over a tenth of an inch. You probably saw the light show last night from storms on the coast, but for most of us, they never made it to the islands, though Utila got a nice shower around 11 p.m. last night, good for .38 of an inch. Let us know if you got any rain in comments.

At 7:30 a.m. we have some clouds moving in from the southwest, but radar isn’t showing any rain in those clouds.

Our mild winds (5-10 mph) and seas (mostly 1 foot), will continue today and tomorrow. We will also have a very small chance of rain, mostly at night and in the early morning.

Wednesday seas should come up a bit to 2 feet.

Starting Wednesday night and Thursday morning, into the weekend, we will have a higher chance of scattered showers, about a 40 percent chance each day and night. Winds will be a little higher, at 12-17 mph and seas 2-3 feet Thursday and Friday. The weekend looks calmer, but with about a 40 percent chance of rain as well. Have a great week!