October 29, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Keri Weitz Meyer on Calabash Key. Just a reminder that on Friday our five most-liked photos will compete for $50 in free Café Rubio Roatan coffee.
We are hoping to have one dry day, and maybe night, and maybe even tomorrow morning.

There are quite a few storms to our north, but they should stay north of us and we should stay mostly sunny and dry. That should continue tonight and, perhaps, into tomorrow morning before scattered showers return tomorrow afternoon and for the rest of the week.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Our winds are very light and mostly from the southeast this morning, with 2 foot seas. Winds will remain quite calm through the week and seas will remain around 2 feet.

Our area of concern for this weekend stays mostly unchanged from the National Hurricane Center. Most models say this will become some sort of tropical cyclone. The GFS and German ICON say it will move north away from us. The Euro and the Canadian say it will move north then turn west, but still miss us to our north as it moves along the southern coast of Cuba.

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Low tides continue to be quite high. Have a great Tuesday!

October 28, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Nana Paluch and shows the view from West End above Sunset Villas.
Yesterday most of us picked up 1-2 inches of rain. Most of us this morning have already picked up a quarter to half an inch as of 7:40 a.m. but Guanaja already has 1.5 inches!

Here is our satellite at 7:45 a.m. and you can see the heavier storm near Guanaja. These are slowly moving from east to west. We will have a good chance of showers through the day with a few peaks of sunshine. Tonight we will also have a good chance of showers, but we should get a break tomorrow, perhaps into Wednesday morning. Wednesday midday and afternoon the showers pick back up, but perhaps not as much as we’ve had the past two days. Good chances of showers last through the weekend. There is still hope that next week might be drier, depending on what our tropical system does.

The National Hurricane Center has raised the chances of a tropical depression to 40 percent just north of Panama. If this develops, it would start this weekend. Most of the computer models have this storm moving north/northeast away from us but …

Here is the Canadian model, the one model that has the system rebounding closer to us. The end of this forecast is Nov. 6, so that is a long way away and I wouldn’t get too worried, but we will keep an eye on the possibility.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to north winds around 5 mph and seas around 3 feet. Winds will remain fairly calm and seas should calm to around 2 feet today and stay there for awhile.

Lowest tide is 12:30 a.m. Have a great week!

Oct. 26, 2024

Oct. 26, 2024: Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Heather MacNaughtan and was taken at Anthony’s Key. Remember, our top five most-liked photos compete Nov. 1 for $50 in Café Rubio coffee.

This morning we have showers and thundershowers. Those will continue off and on today, with even more rain and clouds in the forecast for Sunday and Monday. Tuesday is our best bet next week for some dry weather, but we will have scattered showers all next week. The extended forecast gives us hope for drier weather the week of Nov. 3.

Winds will be light and variable today with seas 2-3 feet, but tomorrow we will have northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas 4-5 feet. Starting Monday we get calmer, with light and variable winds and seas 2-3 feet most of the week. Have a great weekend!

October 25, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daniel Rice and if you want the pot of gold at the end of this rainbow between West Bay and West End you have put on your diving gear.
We’re looking at a pretty wet weekend ahead, but also fairly calm winds and seas with the exception of Sunday.

At 8 a.m. we have lots of cloudiness and rain likely, especially over Barbarat and Morat this morning. We will continue to deal with scattered showers, but also periods of sun today and tomorrow. Sunday is the day that we may see cloudy skies and extended downpours. Overall we’re looking for 2-3 inches today through the weekend.
Winds are light and variable, but we are still dealing with some swell, causing 2-3 foot seas, especially north side. Sunday evening and night we might get some brisker conditions, with northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas up to 5 feet northside.

I know if you’re in the States watching these forecasts it can seem like it is raining all the time, but most days showers pass by and the sun comes back out. If you want a tour that will help you dodge the rain and chase the sun, look up Jolly Roger Roatan. They will keep the good times rolling, even during our tropical showers.

High tide is 5 p.m. and 5 a.m. Have a great Friday!

October 24, 2024

ood morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Jonna Louise in Calabash Bight and shows some cumulonimbus clouds bringing rain, which we definitely had last night, with 1.5 to 2 inches recorded on the east side.

Today and tomorrow rainfall amounts should be moderate, and mostly at night, but good chances for long-lasting downpours return this weekend as a tropical wave passes by.

At 7:30 a.m. we have a few cumulus clouds over Utila which could be bringing some rain there. We will keep a chance of showers, especially for the morning and especially for Utila, but we should also see plenty of blue sky midday and afternoon. After a chance of evening showers, tomorrow morning we should see some blue sky, but clouds and rain chances will be increasing tomorrow evening and last through the weekend, with around 3 inches forecast for the islands.
Winds are light and variable but our seas are still around 3 feet due to swell, that is, winds that are outside of our area, well north of us, pushing waves toward us. Those 3 foot waves will last through the weekend.

Roatan Ferry Galaxy Wave is running a great promotion, with tickets to La Ceiba each way only $24, for a total of $48 to go back and forth to the mainland. Get your tickets now online, at the terminal or at the 13 ticket sales locations on the island.

Low tides continue on the high side. Have a great Thursday!

October 22, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Brittany Tynon in West End.
Many of us got a LOT of rain yesterday through last night, with totals midisland and east side 3-4 inches. We’ve really had a wet October. Clouds and showers may hang around today, but rain totals should be less.

On satellite at 8 a.m. we see blue skies sooo close to our northeast. We should see some of that today, but we will probably still have to deal with an occasional shower, especially through the morning. Tomorrow should be drier, with maybe a 30 percent chance of showers. Thursday and Friday rain chances will be around 40 percent before the next tropical wave comes in over the weekend. It still looks a little less strong than the one we had last weekend, but some models still show it getting a little stronger as we get into early next week, but a tropical storm seems unlikely.

Winds remain quite light, though seas remain 2-3 feet, especially on the north side.

I saw a post recently from a tourist who wanted to bring in US beef. Trust me. That is a dicey proposition through customs. I know in some places the steaks on the island are disappointing. But that is because you haven’t gone to Carniceria Rosita. James Thomas can set you up with a prime cut of beef that will leave your mouth watering.

Tides continue to be mild. Have a great Tuesday!

October 20, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Annette Huskin in Guanaja and shows a view looking toward Bonnacca Key from Dunbar Rock.
Tropical Storm Nadine is now out of the way, but we will have lots of scattered showers around this week and a tropical wave over the weekend and perhaps into next Monday.

Here is this morning’s satellite. We have skies that look a lot like Annette’s picture, partly cloudy with maybe a shower here or there. At 7:30 a.m. it looks like a shower is over Morat, moving to the west. There will be a chance of showers through the morning, but today should be mostly dry and we should get a good bit of sun, with temperatures getting back into the upper 80s.
We will have 50/50 rain chances most of this week, with rain chances a little higher Monday night.

Here a look at where Nadine is this morning. Nadine formed as a tropical storm at the last minute and continues a trend toward storms getting a little stronger than most forecasts, though this has been a really good year for the GFS, which in the past had overforecast tropical storms.
This is important because we should have another tropical wave late this weekend. This morning the models are not as strong on this wave and do not show it becoming a tropical storm, but it is too early to tell. I still expect next weekend to be rainy, though perhaps not so much as this past weekend.

This week we will have scattered showers, but it will not be a washout. In fact, winds and seas should get calmer with 4 foot seas today, 3 foot seas tomorrow and 1-2 foot seas Tuesday and Wednesday, with a light northerly breeze. Those calm water conditions are perfect for a ride on the catamaran at Jolly Roger Roatan. They will guarantee you a good time and get you back on ship on time.

Tides continue moderate as we move past the full moon. Have a great Sunday!

October 18, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Tracy Rubottom Kaltenbacher, taken Monday she called it “The Calm Before the Storm.”
The storm will indeed pass by, especially this evening into tomorrow morning.

At 8 a.m. we can see a decent core of storms to our east. If this gets tropical rotation, the worst winds will be to our north, so our winds will only be in the 20-30 mph range with seas perhaps up to 5-6 feet at times, especially late this evening (from the northwest) and tomorrow morning (from the southwest).

Here is the current forecast from the National Hurricane Center: “Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.” They give this a 50 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm.

Our big concern is still rainfall. This is the Euro rainfall forecast through noon tomorrow. It gives us anywhere between 4-8 inches of rain. If some of us get closer to 8 inches, than means there will be flooding concerns.
On the bright side, after noon tomorrow rainfall should decrease considerably and we should see some sun. Saturday afternoon through Monday we should only see widely scattered showers. Tuesday we will have a better chance of rain as a cold front stalls to our north.

We will finally have a decent low tide at 3:40 a.m. tonight. Have a safe Friday!

October 16, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Katy Pandy in Flowers Bay and show what I believe to be white herons taking refuge in a tree from the rain. Katy said islanders called these birds long-necked gollens.

The storm we are watching for Friday into Saturday is starting to look a little calmer, but we still anticipate a lot of rain.

On satellite we can see a few scattered showers around our islands at 7:20 a.m. We have only received a few hundredths of an inch at a few locations this morning after getting almost an inch in many locations yesterday. We will keep scattered showers but also periods of sun in the forecast for today. Winds will be light and variable and seas around 1 foot today and tomorrow.

We also see clouds building off the Mosquito Coast over the island of San Andres. That is the rain that will be increasing Friday into Saturday.

The National Hurricane Center only gives us a 20 percent chance of a rotating tropical storm and this is in line with the GFS giving in on its forecast. Yesterday the GFS was giving us 25-35 mph east winds Saturday and today the forecast is down to around 20 mph, mostly on Saturday afternoon. The GFS and Euro now agree on us getting right around 4 inches out of this system, while the ICON is still closer to 8 inches. In any case, we can expecting scattered showers tomorrow, but heavy, long-lasting downpours Friday afternoon and through the day on Saturday. Watch out in flood-prone areas.

Sunday and Monday we go back to scattered showers and we get another norther next Wednesday.

Nothing warms you up on a chilly day like a hot chorizo from Carniceria Rosita. They will custom cut your order to your liking.

15 inches above low tide is about as high a tide as I’ve seen for the islands. Have a great Wednesday.

October 15, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Regina Alpaugh and shows a full moon over Tita’s Pink Seahorse in West End. Don’t forget the most-liked photos will compete Nov. 1 for $50 in Café Rubio coffee. We are moving back into full moon phase, but we might not get to see much of it with all the clouds we will be having.

t’s start with our close up satellite. We have a few scattered showers at 7 a.m., especially between Sandy Bay and Pristine Bay. We will continue to see a few showers around, but also some blue sky today and tomorrow. Winds this morning are from the west at 5-10 mph and seas around 2 feet. Winds and seas should be fairly calm today and tomorrow.

Now let’s back up and look at our tropical wave, right now close to the west coast of South America. We should start seeing rain increase Thursday night and we will have LOTS of rain through Sunday morning. I think flooding is the main threat from this system. On the low end the Euro is forecasting 4-5 inches and on the high end the GFS and ICON are forecasting 8-10 inches. The GFS is also giving us winds from the east 20-30 mph, especially Saturday. The Euro says only 10-15 mph.

I hate to say it, but after this passes, next week will continue rainy, with more cold fronts pushing down from North America.

Explore Roatan real estate with the island’s top experts at Roatan Life Real Estate. Serving clients since 2001, we offer personalized guidance in buying and selling properties. Trust our dedicated team for unparalleled local knowledge. Start your journey at www.roatanlife.com.

Tides continue to be quite high. Have a great Tuesday!