December 5, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Bianca Isnardi McNab and shows a downpour in Sandy Bay from last weekend. We are going to be seeing plenty of this starting this afternoon and lasting through the weekend.

Here is this morning’s satellite. You can see storms to our east near Puerto Lempira. These will move west and bring us periods of heavy rain. The heaviest rain should be tonight into tomorrow morning, but we will have off and on rain through Sunday.

Here is the GFS rainfall foreccast through Sunday. You can see the heaviest amount, 14 inches, is forecast for La Ceiba on the mainland. But generally amounts should be higher the further south you go, so Utila should see more rain, perhaps 6-8 inches, and Guanaja, a little less.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Today we still have wavy seas around 5 feet with northeast winds 15-20 mph. We will have those winds all day, perhaps gusting in storms this evening. Tomorrow we will continue to have northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas 4 feet. Through the weekend winds at times will gust to 20-25 mph and seas will be 4-5 feet.

Things are looking a little better early next week, so if you are coming on a cruise next week, check out the excursions run by Jolly Roger Roatan for a guaranteed good time and on-time return to your ship.

High and low tides are continuing to be mild. Have a great Thursday!

December 4, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Colleen Hill looking south from Laguna Beach on Utila. Send your photos with name and location to bookmybio@gmail.com to compete for a $50 gift certificate from roatanoasis.com.

Utila and Roatan got around a tenth of an inch last night, while Guanaja picked up half an inch yesterday evening. We’re dealing with some wavy conditions today while waiting for rains Friday into the weekend.

We have quite a few clouds around and perhaps a shower here or there this morning. Today through tomorrow morning we will continue to have partly cloudy skies and a possible shower but nothing too bad. Tomorrow evening we will have increasing clouds and rain showers. The rain on Friday doesn’t look as bad as we had feared. Right now we’re thinking 2-3 inches, but it also looks like the rain will continue through Saturday and perhaps Sunday morning. Friday still should be the day of heaviest rain, though.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: This morning we wake up to 15 mph northeast winds and seas around 6 feet. Those conditions will continue through today. Tomorrow we will continue to have 15 mph northeast winds, but seas should calm to 4-5 feet. Friday through the weekend winds will be from the east/northeast 15-20 mph and seas 4 feet.
I’m curious about the temperatures tomorrow morning, because I think they will be quite cool, around 70 (21C).

Mitch Cummins tells me that the introduction of cat food at Roatan Pets is going well. That is a good thing because we all know cats are picky creatures. If you want fresh, locally sourced food for your cat or dog, give Mitch a call at 9801-7828.

Lowest tide is 5 a.m. Have a great Wednesday!

Congratulations to Kenneth Meissner, winner of the November’s Photo of the Month and a $50 gift certificate to Umbul Umbul.

December 3, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Jason Bauer (Island Jay) and was taking from Coxen Hole on Nov. 30 of the fireworks celebrating Bojangles 26th anniversary.

We can see partly cloudy skies at 8 a.m. on satellite. These clouds don’t have much rain in them, and we should stay dry most of today, but we will have an increased rain chance between 4 p.m. and midnight.

Tomorrow we will have a stiff north wind at 20 mph and seas around 6 feet. It will be mostly cloudy, and there will be a chance of rain, especially in the afternoon, but the amount shouldn’t be that great.
Thursday rain chances continue but winds decrease to 15 mph and seas to 4-5 feet. Thursday morning check the thermometer for perhaps the coolest temperatures of the season so far.
Friday into Saturday morning we will see another strong rain system. Right now totals look to be 3-6 inches across the islands. Winds will be from the east/northeast 15-20 mph and seas 4-5 feet.
After this storm passes, we should see normal rain chances for Sunday into next week, a nice break from the Noah’s Ark rain chances we’ve been having.

Cool, rainy weather is the perfect time to fire up the grill and have a sizzling steak or pork chop from Carniceria Rosita, the freshest, best meat on the island. Check them out in French Harbour or Coxen Hole.

Lowest tide is 4 a.m.
Have a great Tuesday!

December 2, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Guido Bertea and shows a forelorn dock in Sandy Bay during a downpour such as we saw yesterday. We had widespread 4-5 inch readings midisland and east side, 2-3 inches west side, and 7 big inches on Utila. Already this morning many locations midisland and east side have nearly 2 inches. Things should improve this afternoon, but we still have the wind and waves to deal with.

On satellite we see clouds around our islands, but some clearer air to our north. We’ll probably stay with mostly cloudy skies today, but we should get some drier air in here for the afternoon and rain should be ending.
Tuesday looks mostly dry with a chance of a morning shower.
Wednesday we get another shot of cool air from the north. This should be the one that brings the coolest air temperatures, around 70F (21C) for lows Thursday morning. Wednesday and Thursday we will have off and on showers. We have another round of heavy rain to deal with Friday into Saturday.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: This morning we have 20-25 northeast winds and seas around 6 feet according to the buoys around the island, but Miss Liz Riggs agrees with me that closer in to the island, right at the reef, seas don’t look as bad, maybe 4 feet. They will stay right around there today. Tonight and tomorrow winds should be north around 15 mph and seas around 4 feet. Wednesday we get another cold front and winds from the northeast 20 mph and seas at 6 feet. Winds Friday and Saturday will be affected by the next heavy storm system.

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If you are interested in buying a weather station, the folks over at Ambient Weather have their WS-2902 on sale for $152 for Cyber Monday. Check it out at ambientweather.com.

Lowest tide is 3 a.m. Have a great week!

Rainfall for Novemer 2024

We’re putting 22.62 inches of rain in the books for November 2024, and despite all the rains from Tropical Storm Sara, in the end we were only 5 inches above average. Utila, however was much above that with 34 inches. We only need 16 inches in December to get to average annual rainfall for the year after having a near record drought during dry season this year. And we are well on our way to 16 inches after 4-6 inches today.

November 30, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Aaron Hardee. Aaron tells me the guy in the kayak is Sammy, who sells coconuts and pineapples on West Bay. Aaron is the last contested for a $50 gift certificate to Umbul Umbul. I’m still looking for a December sponsor.
There is A LOT to talk about, including a stormy day tomorrow and windy, wavy days Monday-Thursday morning.

Let’s start with our satellite at 8:10 a.m. We can see some storms off the Mosquito Coast. These are forecast to become a pretty heavy storm that will pass over our islands tonight through tomorrow night.

Here is the Euro model showing the storm’s progress through Monday, when things should get a little better, at least when it comes to the rain. Models are showing quite heavy rain, 4-8 inches, mostly on Sunday.

Of course, nothing is certain. The Canadian model pushes the rain more to our south, giving us only 1-2 inches.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Today and tomorrow we will be dealing with moderate winds and seas from the 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Monday and Wednesday will be very bad sea days, with northeast winds 20-30 mph and seas 6-8 feet. Tuesday will be only moderately better with northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas around 5 feet. Thursday things start to calm a little and Friday through the weekend should be normal on the seas.

We will have very fresh temperatures Wednesday and Thursday. I’m looking for morning lows at 70, or perhaps a degree or two cooler. Remember our all-time record low is 66.
Lowest tide is 2 a.m. Have a great weekend!

November 29, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Sue Fall in Mahogany Hills looking toward French Harbour.
We’ve had a pretty quiet 24 hours, but things are going to get pretty rainy and windy, starting Sunday, which may be a day of heavy rains.

On satellite at 7:30 a.m. we see some popcorn clouds, especially over Utila. Utila has received about a tenth of an inch this morning and lesser amounts were received on Roatan. We will keep a chance of showers around this morning but we should be partly cloudy today and rain totals today will be low. Tomorrow we will have increasing clouds and a rain chances increase in the evening.

Let’s talk about Sunday. Both the Euro and the GFS are forecasting a significant amount of rain – 3-6 inches – just for Sunday. This will kick off a week with strong north winds and periods of heavy rain, but if the forecast comes true, Sunday may be the rainiest day of the week and the day we are most likely to hear thunder.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with north winds 10 mph and seas around 3 feet. Winds and seas should stay around that speed and strength today. Tomorrow winds will be north at 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet, Sunday 12-17 mph and seas 4 feet, Monday 17-23 mph and seas around 6 feet. We may get slightly calmer on Tuesday but Wednesday may be the windiest day of the week with north winds 20-25 mph and seas 6-7 feet.

We are looking for fresh weather with this norther, but especially so on Wednesday morning into Thursday morning. This map shows how much above or below average the temperature above our heads is (the temperature at surface is moderated by the sea). We will get our coldest air Wednesday, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see some 69 degree readings (20C) Thursday morning. 66F (18.9C) is the all-time record low on Roatan.

Galaxy Wave ferry is offering 30 percent off of tickets purchased online using promo code BNY

Lowest tide is 1:30 a.m. Have a great Friday!

November 28, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Sandy Soboy in Johnson Bight near Havana Beach and shows the sun brilliantly illuminating some cumulus clouds.
As I mentioned yesterday there is some uncertainty about our forecast next week, but let’s start with today and most of tomorrow, which should be quite nice. We will have partly cloudy skies with a small chance of a stray shower. Rain chances will increase a bit as we get into tomorrow night. Winds will be light and variable today with seas around 3 feet. Winds tomorrow will be from the north at 10 mph, increasing to 15 mph by evening and seas still around 3 feet.

Next week we will definitely have north winds and at times those winds will be gusty, 20-25 mph and seas will be at 6-7 feet especially Tuesday and Wednesday and probably Thursday.

The big question is how much rain we will get. There is no doubt that the Mosquito Coast will get a lot of rain, but there is some question as to how far west the rain gets. This is the Euro forecast of rain through Wednesday and shows us in the border between a lot of rain and not a lot of rain. The US GFS forecast says that the rain to our east will come our way Sunday into next week and give us a LOT of rain, around 10 inches. Most other forecasts say most of the rain will stay to our east. I tend to think we will get periods of heavy showers because it would be unusual for us to escape the rain with this strong of a norther, especially Tuesday through Thursday.

If you want to give your pet a gift you could do no better than a batch of locally sourced food designed just for your pooch. Also, ask Mitch Cummins at Roatan Pets about the possibility of making up a batch of cat food for your kitty.

Lowest tide is 1:04 a.m. Have a great Thursday!

November 27, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. It is unusual to get a really good rainy day photo. This morning’s photo comes from Guido Bertea and shows a nice downpour over Sandy Bay. Yesterday we got 4-5 inches in Utila, 2 inches in West Bay, but less the further east you went. This morning, however, we’ve gotten around a quarter of an inch in most locations midisland and east by 7:30 a.m. We will keep a few scattered showers but also some sun today and hopefully drier tomorrow and Friday.

On radar we see our morning showers that are drifting southwest at 7:30 a.m. We will keep partly to mostly cloudy skies today and scattered showers. Tomorrow and Friday we will have only a small chance of seeing a shower and hopefully most of us can dry out.

For the weekend and next week the forecast is going to be difficult because we are on the boundary of some drier air to the north and moist air to the south. Some days we will be on the moist side and get rain and some days we will be on the dry side, it is just going to be hard to tell when. Yesterday the models were giving us a tropical system next week, but today they have backed off on that prediction.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to north winds at 15 mph and seas at 4 feet. Those should calm during the day to 10 mph and 3 feet. Thursday looks like the calmest day with light and variable winds and 2 foot seas. Winds pick up Friday to 10 mph from the northwest and seas 2-3 feet and over the weekend we will have north winds 10-15 mph and seas around 3 feet.

If you are planning a trip or cruise to the island, don’t let rainy forecasts scare you off. Usually there are periods of dry weather and even sun and the rainy periods will be time to sit back and have a cool drink on the catamaran during your tour with Jolly Roger Roatan.

Lowest tide is just after midnight. Have a great Wednesday!

November 25, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Stacy Bye and shows sunset across from C Level Pizza in West End.
Many of us have been getting some morning showers. Those will stick around through the day and get heavier tomorrow. Rain will continue through Wednesday.
There is reason to believe that Thursday into the weekend will be a bit drier, good news for you folks from the US who will be giving thanks.
We also have a potential tropical system to our south early next week.

We have quite a bit of clouds around at 9:30 a.m. We will have occasional rain showers today, perhaps another inch or so. We will have periods of heavy storms tomorrow. Rain should be lighter again on Wednesday. Thursday looks like it should be nice. There are some differences in the forecast Friday into the weekend, with the Canadian model bringing rain back and the US and Euro models bringing in drier air from the north for the weekend.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Winds this morning are very light from the west. They will turn to the northwest at 5-10 mph later today with seas staying around 2 feet. Winds tomorrow will be from the north 10-15 mph and seas 3-4 feet north side. Winds Wednesday will start to turn back to the east and get lighter with seas still around 3 feet.

This is the US GFS forecast for the next two weeks. You will notice something spinning up off the coast of Nicaragua sometime Sunday or Monday. Cold fronts keep pushing it to our south. There is some agreement that some sort of tropical system will spin up around Dec. 1 and could increase our showers early next week, but some models keep this system to our south. We’ll keep an eye on it.

For those who will be making turkey for Thursday, you can order your turkey at Rosita’s and pick it up the same day!

Lowest tide is just before midnight. Have a great week!