
Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daniela Ciatto and shows a cruise ship heading back out to sea as the sun sets. Today is the first day of the November contest. The five most-liked photos compete for a $50 gift certificate at Umbul Umbul.*
As we start a new month, all eyes are on the area north of Panama to see what storm may stir there this weekend.
*No cash value. Certificate expires after six months.

Let’s start with the satellite at 8:30 a.m. Though most of the activity looks like it is to our west, Utila has picked up the most rain this morning, almost half an inch since midnight. Today and over the weekend we will still be dealing with scattered showers, but I think we will be seeing more midday sun and we will be more in the typical island cycle of rain coming overnight and in the early mornings.

Our weather early next week depends a lot on what happens with the storm system brewing north of Panama, which now has a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone according to the National Hurricane Center. One of the thing that you can imagine when looking at this map is a big High pressure system over the northeast US, which should steer the storm to the northwest.

Here is the Canadian model forecast. I picked it because it makes the storm bigger and closer to us than any other model. But EVEN if this happens, it isn’t too bad for us. The storm would pass to our north sometime Tuesday, and we might get some showers on the south side of the storm and some westerly winds, it is probably still less rain than we’ve gotten this past week. Most other models show it weaker or (GFS) going much further north, which gives us even drier conditions next week. All in all, I think the weather next week will be better than the weather has been this past week, regardless of what this storm does.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Our winds continue to be from the northeast at 5-10 mph and seas around 2 feet. Our waves are coming from the northeast, so they may be a little wavier, to 3 feet, on the northeast side toward Diamond Rock and Camp Bay.

I don’t think the potential storm will be much of a factor early next week, but after it passes, late next week looks almost dead calm. These will be perfect days to purchase your Roatan Ferry Galaxy Wave tickets for only 600 lempira each way.

We’re in new moon phase, a great time for stargazing if we can avoid the clouds. In early evening twilight on November 3, 4 and 5, people across the face of the Earth can see the brightest planet, Venus, near the waxing crescent moon. Also nearby is the elusive planet Mercury. The lit portion of the slender crescent moon points to Mercury on November 3. And then, the moon will float close to Venus on the evening of November 4. Have a great Friday!
































