December 2, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Guido Bertea and shows a forelorn dock in Sandy Bay during a downpour such as we saw yesterday. We had widespread 4-5 inch readings midisland and east side, 2-3 inches west side, and 7 big inches on Utila. Already this morning many locations midisland and east side have nearly 2 inches. Things should improve this afternoon, but we still have the wind and waves to deal with.

On satellite we see clouds around our islands, but some clearer air to our north. We’ll probably stay with mostly cloudy skies today, but we should get some drier air in here for the afternoon and rain should be ending.
Tuesday looks mostly dry with a chance of a morning shower.
Wednesday we get another shot of cool air from the north. This should be the one that brings the coolest air temperatures, around 70F (21C) for lows Thursday morning. Wednesday and Thursday we will have off and on showers. We have another round of heavy rain to deal with Friday into Saturday.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: This morning we have 20-25 northeast winds and seas around 6 feet according to the buoys around the island, but Miss Liz Riggs agrees with me that closer in to the island, right at the reef, seas don’t look as bad, maybe 4 feet. They will stay right around there today. Tonight and tomorrow winds should be north around 15 mph and seas around 4 feet. Wednesday we get another cold front and winds from the northeast 20 mph and seas at 6 feet. Winds Friday and Saturday will be affected by the next heavy storm system.

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Lowest tide is 3 a.m. Have a great week!

Rainfall for Novemer 2024

We’re putting 22.62 inches of rain in the books for November 2024, and despite all the rains from Tropical Storm Sara, in the end we were only 5 inches above average. Utila, however was much above that with 34 inches. We only need 16 inches in December to get to average annual rainfall for the year after having a near record drought during dry season this year. And we are well on our way to 16 inches after 4-6 inches today.

November 30, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Aaron Hardee. Aaron tells me the guy in the kayak is Sammy, who sells coconuts and pineapples on West Bay. Aaron is the last contested for a $50 gift certificate to Umbul Umbul. I’m still looking for a December sponsor.
There is A LOT to talk about, including a stormy day tomorrow and windy, wavy days Monday-Thursday morning.

Let’s start with our satellite at 8:10 a.m. We can see some storms off the Mosquito Coast. These are forecast to become a pretty heavy storm that will pass over our islands tonight through tomorrow night.

Here is the Euro model showing the storm’s progress through Monday, when things should get a little better, at least when it comes to the rain. Models are showing quite heavy rain, 4-8 inches, mostly on Sunday.

Of course, nothing is certain. The Canadian model pushes the rain more to our south, giving us only 1-2 inches.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Today and tomorrow we will be dealing with moderate winds and seas from the 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Monday and Wednesday will be very bad sea days, with northeast winds 20-30 mph and seas 6-8 feet. Tuesday will be only moderately better with northeast winds 15-20 mph and seas around 5 feet. Thursday things start to calm a little and Friday through the weekend should be normal on the seas.

We will have very fresh temperatures Wednesday and Thursday. I’m looking for morning lows at 70, or perhaps a degree or two cooler. Remember our all-time record low is 66.
Lowest tide is 2 a.m. Have a great weekend!

November 29, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Sue Fall in Mahogany Hills looking toward French Harbour.
We’ve had a pretty quiet 24 hours, but things are going to get pretty rainy and windy, starting Sunday, which may be a day of heavy rains.

On satellite at 7:30 a.m. we see some popcorn clouds, especially over Utila. Utila has received about a tenth of an inch this morning and lesser amounts were received on Roatan. We will keep a chance of showers around this morning but we should be partly cloudy today and rain totals today will be low. Tomorrow we will have increasing clouds and a rain chances increase in the evening.

Let’s talk about Sunday. Both the Euro and the GFS are forecasting a significant amount of rain – 3-6 inches – just for Sunday. This will kick off a week with strong north winds and periods of heavy rain, but if the forecast comes true, Sunday may be the rainiest day of the week and the day we are most likely to hear thunder.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with north winds 10 mph and seas around 3 feet. Winds and seas should stay around that speed and strength today. Tomorrow winds will be north at 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet, Sunday 12-17 mph and seas 4 feet, Monday 17-23 mph and seas around 6 feet. We may get slightly calmer on Tuesday but Wednesday may be the windiest day of the week with north winds 20-25 mph and seas 6-7 feet.

We are looking for fresh weather with this norther, but especially so on Wednesday morning into Thursday morning. This map shows how much above or below average the temperature above our heads is (the temperature at surface is moderated by the sea). We will get our coldest air Wednesday, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see some 69 degree readings (20C) Thursday morning. 66F (18.9C) is the all-time record low on Roatan.

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Lowest tide is 1:30 a.m. Have a great Friday!

November 28, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Sandy Soboy in Johnson Bight near Havana Beach and shows the sun brilliantly illuminating some cumulus clouds.
As I mentioned yesterday there is some uncertainty about our forecast next week, but let’s start with today and most of tomorrow, which should be quite nice. We will have partly cloudy skies with a small chance of a stray shower. Rain chances will increase a bit as we get into tomorrow night. Winds will be light and variable today with seas around 3 feet. Winds tomorrow will be from the north at 10 mph, increasing to 15 mph by evening and seas still around 3 feet.

Next week we will definitely have north winds and at times those winds will be gusty, 20-25 mph and seas will be at 6-7 feet especially Tuesday and Wednesday and probably Thursday.

The big question is how much rain we will get. There is no doubt that the Mosquito Coast will get a lot of rain, but there is some question as to how far west the rain gets. This is the Euro forecast of rain through Wednesday and shows us in the border between a lot of rain and not a lot of rain. The US GFS forecast says that the rain to our east will come our way Sunday into next week and give us a LOT of rain, around 10 inches. Most other forecasts say most of the rain will stay to our east. I tend to think we will get periods of heavy showers because it would be unusual for us to escape the rain with this strong of a norther, especially Tuesday through Thursday.

If you want to give your pet a gift you could do no better than a batch of locally sourced food designed just for your pooch. Also, ask Mitch Cummins at Roatan Pets about the possibility of making up a batch of cat food for your kitty.

Lowest tide is 1:04 a.m. Have a great Thursday!

November 27, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. It is unusual to get a really good rainy day photo. This morning’s photo comes from Guido Bertea and shows a nice downpour over Sandy Bay. Yesterday we got 4-5 inches in Utila, 2 inches in West Bay, but less the further east you went. This morning, however, we’ve gotten around a quarter of an inch in most locations midisland and east by 7:30 a.m. We will keep a few scattered showers but also some sun today and hopefully drier tomorrow and Friday.

On radar we see our morning showers that are drifting southwest at 7:30 a.m. We will keep partly to mostly cloudy skies today and scattered showers. Tomorrow and Friday we will have only a small chance of seeing a shower and hopefully most of us can dry out.

For the weekend and next week the forecast is going to be difficult because we are on the boundary of some drier air to the north and moist air to the south. Some days we will be on the moist side and get rain and some days we will be on the dry side, it is just going to be hard to tell when. Yesterday the models were giving us a tropical system next week, but today they have backed off on that prediction.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to north winds at 15 mph and seas at 4 feet. Those should calm during the day to 10 mph and 3 feet. Thursday looks like the calmest day with light and variable winds and 2 foot seas. Winds pick up Friday to 10 mph from the northwest and seas 2-3 feet and over the weekend we will have north winds 10-15 mph and seas around 3 feet.

If you are planning a trip or cruise to the island, don’t let rainy forecasts scare you off. Usually there are periods of dry weather and even sun and the rainy periods will be time to sit back and have a cool drink on the catamaran during your tour with Jolly Roger Roatan.

Lowest tide is just after midnight. Have a great Wednesday!

November 25, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Stacy Bye and shows sunset across from C Level Pizza in West End.
Many of us have been getting some morning showers. Those will stick around through the day and get heavier tomorrow. Rain will continue through Wednesday.
There is reason to believe that Thursday into the weekend will be a bit drier, good news for you folks from the US who will be giving thanks.
We also have a potential tropical system to our south early next week.

We have quite a bit of clouds around at 9:30 a.m. We will have occasional rain showers today, perhaps another inch or so. We will have periods of heavy storms tomorrow. Rain should be lighter again on Wednesday. Thursday looks like it should be nice. There are some differences in the forecast Friday into the weekend, with the Canadian model bringing rain back and the US and Euro models bringing in drier air from the north for the weekend.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Winds this morning are very light from the west. They will turn to the northwest at 5-10 mph later today with seas staying around 2 feet. Winds tomorrow will be from the north 10-15 mph and seas 3-4 feet north side. Winds Wednesday will start to turn back to the east and get lighter with seas still around 3 feet.

This is the US GFS forecast for the next two weeks. You will notice something spinning up off the coast of Nicaragua sometime Sunday or Monday. Cold fronts keep pushing it to our south. There is some agreement that some sort of tropical system will spin up around Dec. 1 and could increase our showers early next week, but some models keep this system to our south. We’ll keep an eye on it.

For those who will be making turkey for Thursday, you can order your turkey at Rosita’s and pick it up the same day!

Lowest tide is just before midnight. Have a great week!

November 24, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is from Edwin Domingo Mejia and is a reminder that shipping is an important employer on the islands.
The west side and Utila got about half an inch yesterday afternoon and all of us got between half an inch and an inch overnight and this morning. We are watching a norther for Tuesday and Wednesday and perhaps something tropical brewing to our south for the first of December.

We wake up to lots of clouds around and showers around. These are drifting to the southwest. We will keep scattered showers around this morning. We should have some breaks in the rain this afternoon and probably tonight. Tomorrow we will have a 40 percent chance of a shower and 100 percent chances of rain, sometimes heavy, for Tuesday and Wednesday. Most models give us 2-4 inches through Wednesday. After that we go to 40-50 percent chances each day through the weekend.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to north winds 10-15 mph and seas around 3 feet. Winds should calm to 5-10 mph and seas to 2 feet as the day goes along. Winds turn to the west tomorrow at 10-15 mph and seas 2 feet. Tuesday and Wednesday we will have north winds 10-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet.
BTW, how about those cool temperatures this morning? We got down to 71 degrees (22C) at the airport.

Lowest tide is just before midnight. Have a great Sunday!

November 23, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Alina Solorzano and shows a sunset near Diamond Rock. If you would like to submit a photo and compete at the end of the month for a $50 gift certificate to Umbul Umbul in West End, send your photo with name and location to Bookmybio@gmail.com.
We start the day with some clouds especially east side, but we are looking for another norther Tuesday into Wednesday.

Our satellite this morning shows some clouds coming down from the north. They have given Mike Strine in Camp Bay around .06 of an inch at 9 a.m. We will have a 30 percent chance of a rain shower throughout the day. That chance goes up to 60 percent overnight into tomorrow morning. It goes back down to 30 percent tomorrow midday and afternoon. Monday evening through Wednesday morning we will have occasional rain showers from another norther, that should be weaker than the one we just experienced.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Our seas have beens slow to calm after our last norther. This morning we are at 4 foot seas with 10 mph winds. Those should calm to 3 foot today, 2 foot tomorrow and 1-2 feet Monday, with mild north breezes. Tuesday seas will be 2-3 feet as winds pick up 10-15 mph from the north. This norther will not be as windy as the last one was and winds and seas will remain around 10-15 mph and 3 foot for Wednesday.

Lowest tide is 11 p.m. Have a great weekend!

November 22, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Joyann Villalta Sanders and shows blue skies over Calabash Bight. We are seeing blue skies this morning after a lot of rain yesterday, 3 inches in many places. Today should be nice, but windy. We start the day with north winds 20 mph and seas around 5 feet north side. Those winds will be around 20 mph all day, but by evening our seas should be down to 4-5 feet.

Saturday and Sunday we will have partly to mostly cloudy skies and occasional light rain showers, especially on Sunday. Winds Saturday will be from the north at 10 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Sunday we will have north winds at 5 mph and seas 2-3 feet.
Monday evening rain showers return with a norther that will not be as strong as this one. Winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph and seas 3-4 feet northside Tuesday and Wednesday with occasional rain showers.

The Galaxy Wave is now selling Bojangles chicken boxes at its Brick Bay terminal for lunch. Grab a box and enjoy while taking that weekend excursion to Guanaja.

Low tides are 9 a.m. and 10 p.m. Have a great day!