Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Juliet Cox and shows our recent full moon through a cloud. Speaking of clouds, we don’t have any and that makes it hot. We are getting to 89 or 90 (26C) each day at the airport for a high. This will continue through Wednesday. Starting about Thursday we will start to see some clouds come back into the picture. Chances of rain aren’t great even then, but we will be dry as a bone this weekend and early next week. Winds will continue to be 15-20 with 3 foot seas daytimes and 20-25 mph and 4 foot seas nighttimes. Trade winds will intensify a little as we get into next week. Have a great weekend!
Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Peggy Kern and shows a sand sculpture decorating a vow renewal on the beach in West Bay. I often tell potential brides that March through May is the best time to have a beach wedding as it is generally dry, though as our rain earlier this week proves, there are no guarantees. Our forecast is generally dry, but we will look to our south in comments for possible moisture as we get into late May.
On satellite things are clear over the islands this morning. There are a few scattered clouds bringing a shower or two around Belize City, but nothing in our neighborhood. We will continue to be dry through the weekend into next week.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We will continue to have typical trade winds from the east 20-25 mph nights and early mornings with 4 foot seas, 15-20 mph middays and afternoons with 3 foot seas.
This is the Canadian model for precipitation for the next 10 days. While we generally remain dry, you will note there is moisture to our south. Toward the end of the period, there is also a very weak cold front moving from the States. Toward the end of the month it looks like perhaps some of these showers move in and give us better rain chances.
Today through Sunday you can purchase round trip Roatan Ferry Galaxy Wave tickets at the Petrosuns in West End and Pensacola for 1000 lempiras.
Our tides are really flattening out, with not much difference high tide to low tide. Have a great Friday!
Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daun Weiss and shows a bank of clouds moving in over east Roatan and Diamond Rock yesterday morning. That brought us quite a bit of rain. Jeffrey Hill picked up over 5 inches in Terra Chula/Jonesville Point for the entire event. We have a rain shower at 7:30 a.m. over Guanaja and eastside, but it isn’t as strong as yesterday’s rain, and we will get into a drier trend going forward.
Here are yesterday’s rain totals.
Here is this morning’s satellite from 6:30 to 7:30 a.m. Guanaja picked up some lightning, but the storm looks to be weakening as the morning goes along. We will keep a chance of morning showers, but I’d be surprised if we see much rain this afternoon and should see some peeks of sunshine. Overnight tonight we have a small chance of rain, perhaps lingering into tomorrow morning, but most of tomorrow will be dry, followed by several dry days in a row.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Winds today are quite calm at 5 mph from the southeast and seas 1-2 feet. Tonight and tomorrow we will have east winds around 15 mph and 3 foot seas. Starting tomorrow night we will return to typical easterly trade winds, 15-20 mph and 3-4 foot seas during the day and 20-25 mph and 4-5 foot seas overnights and early mornings.
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Low tide is 2:45 p.m. and we should start getting a clearer view of our full moon tonight. Have a great Tuesday!
Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Dereck Bowen in West End. It was a familiar sight yesterday and many of us got around 2 inches of rain, really good for May. We have quite a storm off to our east at 7:30 a.m.
On satellite this morning we see a strong thunderstorm east of Guanaja at 7:30 a.m. It is stationary and trying to build a little bit back to the west. Generally speaking around this time of day, these type of storms start to weaken a bit, but it is possible we will get some weather this morning, especially for Guanaja and the east end. We will keep a chance of squalls around today, though the chances go down this afternoon. This evening we have a chance of storms and thunderstorms coming back. That chance goes into tomorrow morning, but midday and afternoon tomorrow should be fine. There is a small chance of a Tuesday night, Wednesday morning shower, but after that we should be dry.
It tells you how strong this storm off to our east is, that you can see it on radar, even though it is completely outside of the range of the Belize City and Cayman Islands radar. If only Honduras had weather radar
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We have 10 mph west winds and 2 foot seas, though the winds are gusting occasionally due to the influence of the storm to our west. That should calm as the day goes on. Winds will start out light from the west today, from the north this afternoon and turn to the east tomorrow. Wednesday we get back to normal easterly trade winds for the rest of the week into the weekend at 15-20 mph and 3 foot seas daytimes and 20-25 mph and 4 foot seas nighttimes.
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Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Jimmy Andrade who caught the rain coming in yesterday evening to La Sirena de Camp Bay, Restaurant & Bar. A few locations picked up a third of an inch yesterday evening, but the big story is the thunderstorm we are getting this morning, moving very slowly from west to east across our islands and giving up between an inch and 2 inches by 7 a.m. and more on the way.
This is the radar from 1 a.m. to 7 a.m. and show the approach of the thunderstorm. You can see numerous lightning strikes are recorded
Here is the infrared satellite from 1 a.m. to 7 a.m. You can see deep red, which indicated very high cloud tops supporting this storm. It is moving slowly and also rebuilding on its western side, so it is hard to say how long it will take to get out of here. This morning we will definitely have periods of heavy downpours with lightning. I think this afternoon we should see less rain, though I can’t rule it out. Rain gets heavier again this evening through tomorrow morning. There is a decent chance of rain throughout the day tomorrow. Tuesday morning we may again see showers, but Tuesday afternoon we begin to clear things up and Wednesday through the weekend looks dry.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: This morning most of us are seeing 15 mph west winds with seas around 3 feet. The wind direction forecast is a little tricky because we are close to the center of a low pressure system, so we will say winds will be light and variable, except in squalls where we may see gusty winds. Seas should calm to around 2 feet, except when they are stirred up by squalls. Tuesday we will see winds turn back to the east at a typical 15 mph and 3 foot seas, stronger in the evenings, into the weekend.
Lowest tide is 2:40 p.m. Be careful out there and have a great Sunday!
Sorry for being so late with April rainfall. We had a pretty good month. In what is normally the driest month of the year at around an inch and a half, we record almost three and a half inches, so three times normal rain. 3.43 inches was about average across the big island of Roatan and Guanaja. Utila got a couple of huge downpours earlier in April, so they got 10 inches. May is normally the second driest month at about 2 and a half inches. We have hopes for some rain Sunday through Tuesday morning. Even though I’m not buying the idea that we are in danger of a tropical storm later this month, it does look like there will be more moisture than normal, so I think we have a good shot at a wetter than normal May.
Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daniel Rice and show storm clouds gathering over Brady’s Cay in April. We will see storm clouds rolling in Sunday into Monday. Don’t forget you have a chance at an excursion valued at $100 complete with lunch and adult beverages (if you are an adult) from Jolly Roger Roatan. Send photos with location and photographer’s name to bookmybio@gmail.com.
Today and tomorrow we will have mostly sunny skies and dry conditions.
This is the GFS forecast for Sunday afternoon. You can see we have a very rare May weather front coming down from North America. We won’t get strong north winds like in a norther, but the wind directions will change, with Sunday evening into Monday winds coming from the northwest, though not very strong winds. This will bring clouds and rain Sunday through Tuesday morning. Chances of rain each day will be best overnights into the mornings, but we will also have scattered showers middays and afternoons.
Wednesday into next weekend looks dry.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We will have one more day with strong trade winds, 15 mph and 3 foot waves midday and tonight into tomorrow 20-25 mph and 4 foot waves. Tomorrow midday we start to see things calm to 10 mph and 2-3 foot waves. There is some disagreement in models about direction of winds, but it looks like Sunday we may see west/northwest winds 5-10 mph and seas 1-2 feet and Monday around 5 mph from the north and seas 1 foot. Winds turn back to the east Tuesday and the rest of the week looks like typical trade winds.
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Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Leo Weiss and shows resident pelicans near his Punta Blanca home. Remember the top five most-liked photos of May will compete for an excursion valued at $100 complete with lunch and drinks from Jolly Roger Roatan. Send your photo with name and location to bookmybio@gmail.com. We’ve been hot-hot-hot, with highs right around 90 (32C). Hot conditions will continue, but potentially we will get some relief Sunday and Monday.
Our satellite shows some high, thin clouds with no rain. This week will be dry, but we are still expecting scattered showers Sunday (especially in the morning) and perhaps through the day Monday into Tuesday morning.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: This morning we wake up to east winds 20 mph and seas 3 feet. This week we will see midday winds 15-20 mph and 3 foot seas and evening and overnight seas 20-25 mph and 4-5 foot seas. This weekend things look a bit calmer, with daytime winds 7-12 mph and 2 foot seas.
Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Jakob Barnard and shows his view of West Bay from aboard his flight from Miami. Jakob had clear skies and a few clouds on the horizon and we have the same today. We’re looking at a dry week this week, but wetter next week.
Our satellite shows only high, thin clouds overhead. We will be mostly sunny and dry today, partly cloudy and dry tomorrow and the rest of the week looks dry, until we get to Sunday morning, when we have scattered showers. The forecast for the following week had much better rain chances. It is still too early to tell how much rain we will get, but we will keep an eye on it.
We start the day with east winds 15 mph and 3 foot seas. We should calm a bit midday to 10 mph and 2-3 foot seas. Tonight winds will be 20-25 mph and seas 4 feet. Throughout this week we will see daytime winds around 15 mph and 3 foot seas and nighttime winds 20-25 mph and 4 feet. The weekend looks a bit calmer and next week looks much calmer.
This is the 2024 CANSips (Canadian seasonal model) The blue area is generally low pressure where storms can form. You also see the Bermuda High in the Atlantic pushing storms south and east into the Caribbean. We were hit by one tropical storm and had three other nearby storms last year, definitely above average.
This is the 2025 CANSips model. You see a lot more red (generally high pressure) so there is less area for tropical storms to grow up. Also, the Bermuda high is further east. This should generally push storm more toward the US Atlantic coast. This just general guidance. It doesn’t mean we won’t see storms this year. It simply means it is less likely and we should have fewer than last year.
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Low tides are 11 a.m. and 11:15 p.m. Have a great week!
Good morning Bay Islands! Our photo this morning is taken by Davinci McNab from Paya Bay Resort looking toward Barbareta with the hazy outline of Guanaja in the background.
We had hopes for some rains this week, but it is starting to look drier.
What clouds there are this morning are high, thin cirrus clouds without any rain in them. The clouds off to our east are not moving much. We look dry this week. We should have a few more clouds toward midweek and I wouldn’t completely rule out a morning shower, but we should be mostly dry. The long-range forecasts are trying to give us some rain the in the middle of May.
Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to winds a little gustier than we’ve had, getting up to 20 mph from the east with 3 foot seas. We will calm a bit to 10-15 mph midday before getting back up to 20 mph this evening. Tomorrow will be much like today, but Sunday and Monday midday winds should be calmer at 7-12 mph and seas 2 feet.
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