Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Jonna Louise and shows a recent double rainbow near Calabash Bight. We had overnight showers in West Bay good for .02 and in Diamond Rock and Camp Bay with around a tenth of an inch around 2-3 a.m. and Guanaja has received around a tenth of an inch since sunrise. Chances for a few rainbows are in the forecast, but all showers should be brief.

On satellite you can see those popcorn clouds moving in to Guanaja, bringing a couple of morning showers. These clouds are moving to the northwest and look like they should miss most of Roatan, but there will be a chance of a popup shower this morning. Otherwise we should be mostly sunny. Small chances of rain, mostly overnight and mornings, will continue through the weekend into the new week.

This is the National Hurricane Center forecast map for the eastern Pacific. You will notice that the area of potential storm development is further from Central America. This is an indication that the Central American Gyre, the low pressure system that has been bringing us rain showers, continues to weaken and shift away from us.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to east winds 15 mph and seas 2 feet. We will calm midday and early afternoon to 10 mph and 1-2 feet, making today one of the calmer days we’ve had recently. Tomorrow we should have 15 mph east winds and 2-3 foot seas, while Monday looks a bit windier, with 20 mph daytime winds and 25 mph winds Monday night.

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Low tide is 11:30 a.m. Have a great weekend!

We had a pretty average rainfall month. For the month we will enter the 2.4 inches received in Sandy Bay. June was a month where you got more rain the further east you went, over 3 inches for Guanaja, 3-5 inches east Roatan, but only 1.4 inches for West Bay and less than an inch for Utila.

July usually brings more squalls and an increase in rainfall to 5.46 inches, and right now the forecast looks pretty moderate, with no big systems on the horizon, but a consistent chance of popup showers.

Good morning Bay Islands. We have a storm system moving across the islands this morning. Some locations midisland as of 7 a.m. have picked up an inch. As of 7 a.m. West Bay and West End hadn’t gotten any rain, but they might catch some as this thing passes over.

Here is the radar from 6 a.m. to 7 a.m. Radar is pretty weak because it comes from Belize City, but you can see some intensification in the storm as it approaches the east side with several lightning strikes around 7 a.m. We should see this pass over the island in the next couple of hours. It is possible Utila and maybe even West Bay may miss most of the rain. From midday into the afternoon we will be back to our low chances of isolated showers with partly cloudy skies. As we go through the week, rain chances continue fairly low, but better chances overnights and mornings.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to east winds 20 mph and seas 3 feet. Today and tomorrow our daytime winds will be right around there, but nighttime winds will increase to 25 mph and seas 4 feet. Thursday and Friday winds will calm slightly to 15 mph and 2 feet daytime and 20 mph and 3 feet nights.

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Low tide is 8:30 a.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our satellite this morning shows mostly high clouds without rain, though Guanaja picked up a shower good for about .17 around 6:30 a.m. There will be very low chances of rain today and into the first part of next week under partly cloudy skies. We were quite windy last night, getting up to around 30 mph from the east. Winds will continue to be strong, 20 mph during the day with 3-4 foot seas and 25 mph at night with 4-5 foot seas, especially southside. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Patti Yelinek near Las Rocas north of West End.

The five most-liked photos of June get an excursion from Jolly Roger Roatan valued at $100 complete with meal and drinks. Message photos here or at bookmybio@gmail.com with name and location.

We have one day of mostly dry weather before lots of clouds and perhaps lots of rain tomorrow and Thursday.

At 7:30 a.m. we have some clouds and showers moving in to Guanaja, which has already picked up .05 of an inch this morning. We’ll keep a chance of rain through the morning as these clouds move through. Many locations on the big island also got around .05 of an inch in showers that passed through 1 or 2 a.m.

Once these clouds clear out we should be partly cloudy today. A tropical wave is coming tomorrow and Thursday with lots of clouds and periods of heavy rain. After that we should have lower rain chances until another, smaller tropical wave around July 2.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to east winds 10-15 mph and seas 2 feet. As we get into Wednesday and Thursday the winds will be harder to predict. Generally when a storm system passes over our winds get a bit calmer in the rain, but approaching squalls and bring stiff and unpredictable winds so watch out out there. As we get into Friday and the weekend, stronger trade winds will return with east winds 20 mph and 3-4 foot seas daytimes and 25 mph and 4-5 foot seas nighttime.

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Lowest tide is 2 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Thomas DeMille in West End.
We have some showers to our north at 7:15 a.m. and we will have a chance of showers today and tomorrow, but the there is a good chance of heavier rain Wednesday and especially Thursday.

On satellite at 7:40 a.m. we can see a line of thick clouds from Puerto Cortes stretching northeast. These clouds are to our north at the 7 o’clock hour and seem to be moving slowly to the southeast toward us. It is very possible that later this morning some of us will get some showers from these clouds. If you needed to find a day this week to do something outside and wanted to stay dry, tomorrow will be your best chance, as it should have the lowest chance of rain this week.

This is the GFS forecast through Monday. You can see a wave of tropical moisture moving in Wednesday afternoon and increasing through the day on Thursday before crossing over the mainland and possibly emerging in the Pacific as a tropical storm. Right now most models are giving us 2-4 inches from Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning.

On the bright side our winds are not as strong as they have been. We wake up to east winds 15 mph and seas 2 feet. Those winds and seas will be much the same today and tomorrow. Thursday, as often happens when a storm passes, looks a bit calmer at 7-12 mph and seas 1-2 feet, except if you get a squall you can get some locally heavy winds and seas. Trade winds look stronger this weekend again.

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Lowest tide is 1 p.m. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Brent Brewer in West End.
We are all starting to dry out after two days of good rains, especially on the east end.

We’ll start with our rainfall totals for Friday and Saturday. Rainfall was heavier on the east side, with Politilly the big winner at 4.33 inches. Amounts on the west side were generally around an inch.

Our satellite shows only high clouds over us with any rain well to our north. This time of year is a bit tougher to forecast because unlike winter when we’re watching for northers or the autumn when we’re watching for tropical waves, rain this time of year is squalls that build up over us. That being said our rain chances today through Tuesday look a bit lower, maybe 30 percent each day, and higher Wednesday through Friday.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Our winds this morning are somewhat calmer than they’ve been recently, from the east 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet. The forecast is for winds to stay right around there today and the first part of this week which is a relief after the strong trade winds of last week.

With waves a little calmer, it is a perfect time to hop over to the mainland for doctor’s visits and shopping on Roatan Ferry Galaxy Wave.

The tide will be quite low at 12:20 p.m. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Anja Weyers in east Sandy Bay.
We continue to have a lot of clouds and not a lot of rain while Hurricane Erick bears down on Acapulco.

On satellite we can see a wave a thicker clouds moving in to Guanaja from the east at 7:15 a.m. Most of the rain seems to be to the north of Guanaja and our one weather station on the island only picked up .01 of an inch in the 6 o’clock hour. This wave should move across the islands this morning, perhaps bringing a shower here or there. There are also a lot of break in the clouds, so I expect so sunshine today. We will continue to have small chances of showers each day along with strong trade winds.

This image shows the winds about a mile above our heads. You can see the tight spiral of Hurricane Erick, which is making landfall to the east of Acapulco as a borderline Category 3-4 hurricane at 125 mph winds. Fortunately for Acapulco, which is still recovering from Hurricane Otis two years ago, it is on the weaker, west side of the storm. As for us, you can see the path of our strong trade winds, which persist at 20 mph during the day and as much as 30 mph at night, bringing strong seas to the south side 4-6 feet at times. These conditions will continue through the weekend into next week.

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Low tide is 9:45 a.m. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daniel Rice and shows clouds over French Cay. The five most-liked photos of June get an excursion from Jolly Roger Roatan valued at $100 complete with meal and drinks. Message photos at bookmybio@gmail.com with name and location.

We’ll start with yesterday’s rainfall. Most of us got some rain, but Utila missed out.

You will notice this morning’s clouds, but they are moving from west to east, indicating the clouds are higher up in the atmosphere, which may be why they aren’t giving us any rain. We will keep a chance of scattered showers in the forecast. This is actually a very difficult period to forecast, with low pressure in the area, pretty much any time we may get a shower, but showers will be of short duration and occasionally have some thunder with them.

Wind and Galaxy wave forecast: We wake up to winds from the east 23 mph and seas 4-5 feet. They should calm a bit midday to 20 mph and 3-4 feet but tonight they will strengthen again to 25-30 mph and 5 feet. We are in a cycle of fairly strong trade winds right now. That should last through this week, with maybe some weakening by weekend.

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Tides continue to be quite mild. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Paula Szafranski, who caught this little guy looking for food at sunset.

I like to call the area near Puerto Lempira on the Mosquito Coast the storm factory, because it is the source of a lot of our midmorning showers, especially this time of year, but as they move west, they tend to weaken. We should see increasing clouds through the morning and possibly a shower, especially further east. Midday to afternoon should be drier. Tomorrow should be dry most of the day, but especially as we get toward evening the chance of rain increases and that increased chance goes through the day Monday into Tuesday morning. The rest of next week should have lower chances of rain.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with 20 mph east winds and seas 4 feet. Our easterly trade winds will continue strong through the weekend into next week, 15-20 mph and 3 feet daytime and 20-25 mph and 4 feet nighttimes.

High and low tides look pretty mild. Have a great weekend!