Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Brad Ryon in Utila and shows what a lot of us have been experiencing, seeing rain fall in the distance but not falling on your patio or in your cistern. A little rain (under a tenth of an inch) fell in Sandy Bay this morning around 5.

The Rainstorm That’s Missing Us Today is just to the north of Utila. There’s another one over near the Mosquito Coast. But there isn’t a whole lot of movement with these storms and they look like they will miss us once again. If we don’t get rain today, the trend will be towards lower chances of rain starting tomorrow. I would give us a 40 percent chance today into this evening, but we recently have been losing the rain lottery, so we’ll see.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with east winds at 12 mph and seas 2-3 feet. We should get quite calm midday and afternoon to 5-10 mph and 1-2 feet. We should get quite calm the rest of the week into the weekend and I expect some periods of dead calm, so head out on the waters!

American football season is in full swing and that means cookouts, and that means premium meats from Carniceria Rosita in Coxen Hole and French Harbour!

Low tide is around noon. Have a great Wednesday!

Our photo of the day comes from Brad Ryon at Chepes Beach, Utila, with some dark clouds in the background. Most of us have gotten rain over the last 24 hour (ending 7:30 a.m.) EXCEPT West Bay and West End. We will definitely all get some rain this week.

Here is the satellite from 6:30 to 7:30 am. We can see clouds and rain moving eastward from Belize, but the worst of it is still far to the west of Utila. This particular storm should die out in the coming hours. Most days I would tell you that most of the rain will be in the mornings, but this weekend, and the week ahead, we will have scattered showers through the middays and afternoons as well. It won’t be a total rainout, but we will have periods of heavy rain this weekend into next week. Heaviest rain will probably be Tuesday into Wednesday.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: If you like calm waters, you’re going to like this weekend. If you don’t mind getting wet occasionally (ha, ha) head out and do your fishing, snorkeling and diving without worrying about waves, with east winds 3-7 mph and seas 0-1 foot.

Folks in Santos Guardiola can get a great deal on a smooth ferry ride this weekend with Roatan Ferry Galaxy Wave.

Lowest tide is 8:05 a.m. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. Larry Cox captured this Garifuna performance on West Bay beach. Most of us have continued dry, though .02 of an inch was recorded at 4:30 a.m. at Pumpkin Hill, Utila. We will see an increase in rain chances going forward and something very interesting is forecast Monday and Tuesday on one of the models.

On satellite at 7:30 a.m. we see some rain over Belize that is headed south and won’t affect us. We are mostly clear with a few popcorn clouds to our east. Today should be mostly sunny.

This is the US GFS forecast showing a tropical spinup right over our heads Monday into Tuesday before lifting north as a tropical storm/hurricane headed to the US Gulf Coast. Keep in mind this is just one model, with a reputation for seeing tropical storms where none happen.

The Euro model sees the same possibility but only gives it a 5 percent chance of happening here. In any case, rain chances, especially overnight and in the early mornings, should increase as we get into the weekend.

Our friend Mitch Cummins is still in the US and is soon to return to the island, but he has left his nutritious pet food operation in good hands. Check out Roatan Pets for foods that are locally sourced and designed for your furry friends.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Today will be our windiest day in awhile. We start the day with 20 mph east winds and seas 3-4 feet. We should calm midday to 15 mph and 3 feet before getting windy again this evening. Starting tomorrow we will see a calming trend and possibly dead calm by weekend.

Tides remain on the high side. Have a great Wednesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day records last night’s full moon over Oakridge from Brooke Pizatti. Last night was the 100 percent full moon and it starts to decrease (wane) from here. These few clouds make for a hazy moon. We will see a few more of those clouds and some rain chances in our forecast.

Even if it isn’t raining on us (as of 7:30 a.m. none of our stations have received rain this morning) we can still tell it is raining nearby. Notice how the west side of the island is in the upper 80s and the east side is in the lower 80s? That indicates rain nearby and radar shows there is some passing to our north. It may miss us completely but will still cool us off momentarily.

I suspect some locations on Guanaja got some rain this morning, even though our reporting station didn’t pick up any. They are all the way down to 79 degrees. Quite fresh.

On the 6:30 to 7:30 a.m. satellite loop we can see rain and clouds near Guanaja moving to the west/southwest. I suspect we will at least see increasing clouds this morning if not a shower here or there, especially for east Roatan. We will probably mostly clear out midday and afternoon before the cycle of overnight and early morning scattered showers begins again. We will continue to have chances at scattered showers, mostly overnights and early mornings, through the week.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start out the day with east winds 10 mph and seas 1-2 feet. We will see a calming trend in winds and seas and by the end of the week I expect to see some dead calm conditions, perfect for getting out on the sea. September in the islands is great if you want calm waters.

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Tides continue on the high side under a waning full moon. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Wayne Soboy at Havana Beach near Milton Bight. The weather continues to be almost perfect, except for the fact it is pretty hot. This time of year, with few clouds and fairly calm winds, yesterday’s high of 93 (34C) along with a dew point of 78 (26C) made for a heat index of 109 (43C). A great time to jump in the water.

Our satellite this morning shows almost no clouds. No clouds means no rain. For the rest of this week into the weekend our rain chances are pretty close to zero. As we get to the beginning of next week our chances of isolated showers go up, but only to around 30 percent for an overnight or early morning shower.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day fairly calm with 7 mph east winds and seas around 2 feet. We will have fairly calm daytime winds and seas and only slightly windier, 10-15 mph and 2-3 foot seas, overnights.

Low tide is around noon. Have a great Wednesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our late entries competing for a free excursion with Jolly Roger Roatan are strong! This morning’s photo of the day comes from Brad Ryon who took this photo at Little Bight in Utila. This morning we still have fairly light winds and lots of rain to our west. More in comments.

On satellite this morning we see a lot of high clouds that are moving to the south and a few popcorn clouds out there. There are storms on the coast of Belize, but those should stay away from us. We will continue mostly sunny today with a 30 percent chance of a shower towards evening. Our forecast is looking drier for the end of the weekend and the early part of the week, maybe 20 percent chances of an isolated shower overnights and early mornings.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to fairly mild winds 5-10 mph from the east and seas 1-2 feet. This morning and tomorrow morning we will stay right around there, but in the evenings we should get a little windier, 12-17 mph and seas around 3 feet. Overall, our winds for the week ahead look pretty mild, though not dead calm.

The tropics look amazingly calm for late August-early September with nothing in the forecast causing any concern for us.

Tides continue to run on the high side. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. At 9 a.m. we are dealing with some rain showers on Roatan, but even more intense rain for Utila, which has gotten almost an inch in about the last hour. As you can see there is more rain off to the east as we are dealing with the remnants of a tropical disturbance that will bring us off-and-on rain, sometimes heavy, today tonight and tomorrow. Friday, after a few morning showers, should be drier and the weekend should be drier, with about a 30 percent chance of overnight and morning showers. Winds today and tomorrow will be from the east 5-10 mph with 1-2 foot seas, except in squalls when we could get some gusts. Winds get back to 10-15 mph and 3 foot seas Friday into the weekend. Have a great Wednesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our satellite shows mostly clear skies overhead and we should stay mostly dry, with 30 percent chances of rain overnights and mornings through the weekend. Starting Monday, that chance increases to 40 percent and includes possible scattered showers during the day on Monday. The main story is we are losing our calm winds. This morning we are 5-10 mph from the east with 1 foot seas, but we should see that slowly increase to 15 mph daytimes winds and 2-3 foot seas and 15-20 mph nighttime winds and 3 foot seas.

As you plan your menu for the weekend, don’t forget to head over to Carniceria Rosita for the best meats on the island!

Low tide is 1:30 p.m. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Monica Pleitez and shows the dead calm sea’s effect on a palapa at Las Palmas near the airport. We will continue to have dead calm today and tomorrow, but starting tomorrow night we will notice a slight increase in nighttime winds and by the weekend we will be back to daytime winds 10-15 mph and nighttime 15-20 mph with 2-3 foot seas. We will continue mostly dry, with only small chances of showers overnights and early mornings.

The latest NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center map shows a series of potential storms behind Category 3 Hurricane Erin. The one coming off the coast of Africa is forecast to go a little further south than the others, but right not it isn’t forecast to do much. One thing I will say is that a surge of cooler air at the end of August over the eastern US could have the effect of forcing systems more into the Caribbean, so keep your eyes open. We will too.

Low tide is 12:30 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Nancy Sikora sends us our photo of the day of sunrise at Caribe Bight. Send your photos with name and location to bookmybio@gmail.com for a chance at photo of the month and an excursion worth $100 with Jolly Roger Roatan on a cruise day.

Perfect weather continues.

On satellite at 7:20 a.m. we hardly have any popcorn clouds around. Around midnight, there was a small shower near Jonesville and Politilly that brought about a tenth of an inch, but other than that, we’ve been dry. We will continue to be dry and the Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast is for continued dead calm conditions, so enjoy life on the water! But without wind and clouds, it will be plenty hot!

Hurricane Erin continues to bring winds (close to 50 mph) and waves to the Turks and Caicos and will bring some wind and rain to the Bahamas in the next few days, but it is expected to weaken from its current Category 4 and turn out to sea. Behind it is another storm, taking roughly the same path that will probably become Fernand. But as for us, no tropical storm possibilities in the extended forecast.

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Lowest tide is 11:30 a.m. Have a great week!