Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Anja Weyers in east Sandy Bay.
We continue to have a lot of clouds and not a lot of rain while Hurricane Erick bears down on Acapulco.

On satellite we can see a wave a thicker clouds moving in to Guanaja from the east at 7:15 a.m. Most of the rain seems to be to the north of Guanaja and our one weather station on the island only picked up .01 of an inch in the 6 o’clock hour. This wave should move across the islands this morning, perhaps bringing a shower here or there. There are also a lot of break in the clouds, so I expect so sunshine today. We will continue to have small chances of showers each day along with strong trade winds.

This image shows the winds about a mile above our heads. You can see the tight spiral of Hurricane Erick, which is making landfall to the east of Acapulco as a borderline Category 3-4 hurricane at 125 mph winds. Fortunately for Acapulco, which is still recovering from Hurricane Otis two years ago, it is on the weaker, west side of the storm. As for us, you can see the path of our strong trade winds, which persist at 20 mph during the day and as much as 30 mph at night, bringing strong seas to the south side 4-6 feet at times. These conditions will continue through the weekend into next week.

Well, tonight my beloved Oklahoma City Thunder MIGHT finally win an NBA championship. There will be no better way to celebrate than with a prime cut steak from Carniceria Rosita.

Low tide is 9:45 a.m. Have a great Thursday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Daniel Rice and shows clouds over French Cay. The five most-liked photos of June get an excursion from Jolly Roger Roatan valued at $100 complete with meal and drinks. Message photos at bookmybio@gmail.com with name and location.

We’ll start with yesterday’s rainfall. Most of us got some rain, but Utila missed out.

You will notice this morning’s clouds, but they are moving from west to east, indicating the clouds are higher up in the atmosphere, which may be why they aren’t giving us any rain. We will keep a chance of scattered showers in the forecast. This is actually a very difficult period to forecast, with low pressure in the area, pretty much any time we may get a shower, but showers will be of short duration and occasionally have some thunder with them.

Wind and Galaxy wave forecast: We wake up to winds from the east 23 mph and seas 4-5 feet. They should calm a bit midday to 20 mph and 3-4 feet but tonight they will strengthen again to 25-30 mph and 5 feet. We are in a cycle of fairly strong trade winds right now. That should last through this week, with maybe some weakening by weekend.

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Tides continue to be quite mild. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Paula Szafranski, who caught this little guy looking for food at sunset.

I like to call the area near Puerto Lempira on the Mosquito Coast the storm factory, because it is the source of a lot of our midmorning showers, especially this time of year, but as they move west, they tend to weaken. We should see increasing clouds through the morning and possibly a shower, especially further east. Midday to afternoon should be drier. Tomorrow should be dry most of the day, but especially as we get toward evening the chance of rain increases and that increased chance goes through the day Monday into Tuesday morning. The rest of next week should have lower chances of rain.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with 20 mph east winds and seas 4 feet. Our easterly trade winds will continue strong through the weekend into next week, 15-20 mph and 3 feet daytime and 20-25 mph and 4 feet nighttimes.

High and low tides look pretty mild. Have a great weekend!

Good Friday morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day is a view of our current full moon over Jonesville Point from Andy Searcey.
We have a nice area of rain to our east. We’ll see if it can make it all the way to our islands.

At 8 a.m. we have a large area of rain and a few thunder bolts to the east of Guanaja. There are also a few stray showers to the north of Guanaja. All of this is slowly building to the west. I suspect Guanaja may get some mid-morning showers and some of these may also make it to Roatan. Rain chances go down this afternoon but we will have another chance of rain tomorrow. Rain chances go up Sunday evening through the day on Monday, when we have quite a good chance at rain. Rain chances continue into Tuesday, but then go down for mid- to late-week.

Most of the tropical weather action continues to be on the Pacific side of Central America, which is becoming a tropical storm factory. Of course these storms wander off to sea and die, so they are fairly harmless.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Our winds this morning are a tad calmer than we’ve been, at 15 mph from the east and seas 2-3 feet. We should stay right around there today, with winds increasing to 20 mph and 3 feet overnight. Tomorrow we should be back to 20 mph easterly winds, with 25 mph overnights.

It’s Friday which means it’s the day you can make a quick two-day getaway to Guanaja. Or, make a week of it and explore the Bay Islands’ hidden gem. Check them out at roatanferry.com.

Low tide is 4 p.m. Have a great Friday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Rich Rosario of sunset looking toward Barbaretta, also known as Kelcy Warren-land.
The five most-liked photos of June get an excursion from Jolly Roger Roatan valued at $100 complete with meal and drinks. Send photos to bookmybio@gmail.com with name and location.
We have less of a chance of rain today than yesterday and the longterm forecast is looking less rainy, too.

On satellite at 8 a.m. we see some rain over in our rain factory off the coast of Puerto Lempira, but the storm isn’t as big as the one yesterday that threw about a tenth of an inch over eastern Roatan yesterday morning. I would say we have a smaller chance of a shower today than yesterday, maybe 10-20 percent.
We still have the low pressure system known as the Central American gyre in operation, but we are on the driest side of the low pressure system so we will continue to have daily small rain chances, mostly in the mornings and late evenings, but mostly just hot and windy.

Wind and Galaxy wave forecast: We start the day with 20 mph east winds and 3 foot seas. We will continue the cycle of trade winds at 15 mph and 3 foot seas middays and 20-25 mph east winds and 4 foot seas overnights.

Explore Roatan real estate with the island’s top experts at Roatan Life Real Estate. Serving clients since 2001, we offer personalized guidance in buying and selling properties. Trust our dedicated team for unparalleled local knowledge. Start your journey at http://www.roatanlife.com.

Lowest tide is 1:30 p.m. Have a great week!

For the month of May we put in the 2.81 inches that Sandy Bay received, though areas on the east end got 4-5 inches. Around 2-3 inches was common on the west side and Utila and is right around the average for May. June’s average is also close to 3 inches and this is the month our rainfall starts going back up as the squally weather returns. If our forecast is any indication, we should be above average this June.

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Teka Martin at Turtle Beach in West Bay.
Storms formed last night, but they are more toward the Caymans and the northern Caribbean, leaving us dry today. We still look for some increased activity due to the Central American gyre.

On satellite this morning, we see three large storms: one near the Caymans, one east of Yucatan and another in the Pacific. None of these are moving toward us and we are pretty clear in the middle. Today looks dry, though some showers may form this evening. We are still looking for activity to increase as the Central American gyre, an area of low pressure that occasionally sets up over Honduras and Nicaragua, to increase as we get toward the middle of the month. For the rest of this week, it means that there will be a 20-30 percent chance of a squall each day.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: Today looks like a calmer day as winds midday will be from the east 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet. This evening they will pick up to 15-20 mph and seas 3 feet. Tomorrow winds should be 15 mph and seas 3 feet. Toward the end of the week they will pick up a bit more to 20 mph and 3-4 foot seas middays and 25 mph and 4-5 foot seas overnights.

Congratulations to Luis de la Rosa, winner of the May photo contest and an excursion valued at $100 from Jolly Roger Roatan. Jolly Roger has graciously agreed to sponsor the June contest with the same wonderful prize. Please submit photos to bookmybio@gmail.com with name and location.

Explore Roatan real estate with the island’s top experts at Roatan Life Real Estate. Serving clients since 2001, we offer personalized guidance in buying and selling properties. Trust our dedicated team for unparalleled local knowledge. Start your journey at www.roatanlife.com

Lowest tide is 10:30 a.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Crystal O’Dell-Morrison and shows sundown at Sundowners in West End.

On satellite at 7:30 a.m. we see some clouds and probably some rain to the east of Guanaja. It is slowly moving west, so it is possible that Guanaja and maybe even east Roatan could pick up some rain later this morning, but these things tend to weaken as the morning goes along. The afternoon should be partly cloudy and warm and breezy.
Into the weekend we will have a small chance of a morning shower but mostly sunny the rest of the time. Sunday through Tuesday the chance of a morning shower increases, perhaps 30 to 40 percent chances each morning.

Here is the current location of the Saharan dust in the central and eastern Caribbean. It should pass over us tomorrow and Friday. Due to the strong winds aloft, it should completely pass us by weekend.

Here is the Euro model for moisture in the air. Yellows and greens are drier and reds and purples are wet to very wet. Starting June 3 and increasing until around June 8, we are looking for a lot of moisture in the atmosphere. This means squalls for us. There is still some modeling that is giving us a chance for some sort of tropical depression, especially toward June 8. I’m skeptical, but we’ll keep an eye on it.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We wake up to brisk 22 mph east winds and seas 4-5 feet. They should calm slightly midday before getting really breezy again this evening to 25 mph and seas 4-5 feet. Tomorrow will be similar to today. This weekend we get a little relief, with daytime winds around 15 mph and seas 2-3 feet and nighttime winds 20 mph and seas 4 feet.

Don’t forget the photo contest for May is sponsored by Jolly Roger Roatan. The winner gets a free excursion valued at $100 on a typical cruise day, including food and drink.
If you are interested in sponsoring the June contest, please contact me here.

Lowest tide is 4 p.m. Have a great Wednesday!