Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day showing the canal between Oakridge and Oakridge Key from Jackie Taylor is quite appropriate because, ladies and gentlemen, we have a new all-time record low for Roatan. Just a few bays over in Carib Bight near Juticalpa we had an all-time record low of 62.2 (16.8C). I almost wouldn’t believe it, but the Jonesville station recorded a low of 62.6 which would have tied our previous all-time record on Feb. 22, 2024. And it wasn’t just a low in a momentary downpour. Our low humidity meant that our cool temperatures lasted all the way from nearly midnight until right around sunrise. Our temperature has shot up into the upper 70s, but it is quite comfortable out there and a beautiful day.

On satellite at 8:30 a.m. we see mostly clear skies out there and we will have a mostly sunny day with very little chance of a shower. Tomorrow looks much like today. Thursday we have a wave of moisture moving over our islands and we will have scattered showers that day. After perhaps a morning shower Friday, we look mostly sunny through the weekend.

This map shows the air mass above our heads, about a mile up. Blues and cooler than normal and reds are warmer than normal. This is the most persistent I’ve ever seen cooler weather sit on top of us. We should be quite comfortable with cool night (not records like this morning, but 69 or 70) and pleasant days in the upper 70s to around 80. Warmer and more humid conditions (normal for the islands) return on Sunday. We no longer have buoys that do live readings of sea temperatures, but satellite observation puts sea surface temperatures around 79 degrees. By contrast, in the heat of summer we’ve been hitting around 86 degree sea temps. Those of you who have been in the water, please give me your observations in a comment.

Wind and wave forecast: Winds this morning are light and variable and seas are 2 feet. Winds will remain light through Thursday and seas around 2 feet. Friday we start seeing the easterly trades get a little stronger, but only 10-15 mph.

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Lowest tide is around 11:30 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Brian Gabrysh in West End.

Many of us woke up to a cool shower around 5:30 a.m. that brought about a tenth of an inch of rain and lowered our temperatures to around 67 degrees (19C). We will have a partly cloudy day, but any remaining rain showers should decrease through the morning. We still have a very nice forecast, with a better chance of showers on Thursday this week.

We are dealing with some persistent clouds at 8:30 a.m. Those clouds will hang around throughout the day, but the afternoon should be dry for most of us. Tomorrow and Wednesday also look dry, with only a small chance of a morning shower. Thursday a wave of moisture passes through that makes showers more likely, even perhaps one or two in the afternoon. As for temperatures, tomorrow will be fresh in the morning, right around 70 and maybe a bit less if we get a shower, but after that I expect our temperatures to get back to normal, with lows in the lower 70s and highs around 80, getting into the low to mid 80s as the week goes along.

Wind and wave forecast: This morning we have light and variable winds that should turn more easterly as the day goes on, but only 5-10 mph. Seas are at 2 feet and have started to turn from the north to the northeast. Those seas will remain northeasterly most of this week, mostly around 2 feet, with Wednesday being the waviest day, around 3-4 feet.

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Lowest tide is 11 p.m. Have a great week!

Good morning Bay Islands. The photo of the day comes from Phil Sikora visiting the mainland, and probably this photo comes form Pico Bonito. A quick Google image search identifies it as a male white-necked Jacobin hummingbird.
This hummingbird and all of us are going to enjoy some pretty nice weather in the week ahead.

On satellite at 8:40 we can see a few clouds to our northeast and some popcorn clouds around Utila, but most of us are in the clear. There is a small chance of a shower this evening through the overnight into tomorrow morning, but any rain should be quick. We will be mostly dry until Thursday when a small wave of moisture washes over the island, giving us an increased chance of rain, especially that morning.

Wind and wave forecast: You know it must be frustrating to the folks on West Bay Beach that they get up most of the sargassum on the beach, but they look out to sea and see another load coming in. Days and days of northwest winds have given West Bay a taste of what usually is experienced by us southsiders. For once the Southside is the place to be, free of sargassum. We will have light winds today 5 mph but still from the north and seas around 2 feet. Tomorrow winds turn to the northeast around 10 mph and seas 2 feet. Starting Tuesday winds turn to the east around 10 mph and slowly but surely the seas will start to turn more to the northeast, giving the folks on West Bay a chance to get ahead of the sargassum.

Tides continue to be quite mild. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Paul Szafranski in Diamond Rock. She said the warm colors were a bit warmer than the temperatures that day but it was definitely warmer than her old home in Queens, NY.

This morning we didn’t quite make it back into the 60s for lows, but we are enjoying low humidity, something very rare for our islands and something that makes the 70s feel very nice. More good weather is on the way.

On satellite at 8:30 a.m. we see mostly sunny skies over the islands with a few clouds to our north. We should be mostly sunny today, but we will leave a chance of rain in the forecast for the afternoon, but any showers should be short-lived. Today winds will be from the north 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet Northside. Tomorrow will be partly cloudy with north winds 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Monday we will have morning shower chances and winds start to turn to the east, but fairly light Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday into the end of the week east winds will be around 15 mph and seas 3-4 feet Southside. All in all we’re in for a good week if they can get all that sargassum that was blown in off West Bay Beach. 

Tomorrow is the big game. If you are having a Super Bowl Party, make sure you get down to Carniceria Rosita in French Harbour or Coxen Hole for the best grilling meats on the big island.

Tides are looking pretty mild. Have a great weekend!

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Tammy Wilson in West End.
We are dealing with a few scattered showers around the island in advance of our next cold front, the worst of which will come tomorrow, with a burst of northerly winds, wavy seas and probably a chilly rain, but the good news is this is the last one for awhile, perhaps the last one of the season.

We can see the wind field for the next norther right now reaching Yucatan. Today we will have a shower here or there, mostly cloudy skies and north winds 15-20 mph and seas 4-5 feet north side. Tomorrow we will have north winds 20-25 mph, seas around 6 feet north side and persistent rain. We will be cool Friday and Saturday with some 60s, though I don’t know we will have enough rain to keep us in the 60s all day like we were on Monday.
After that we will start seeing the winds turn back to the east on Monday and the north and west sides of the island will calm while the east and south gets the waves, more normal for Roatan.

This past month will be memorable for what happened on the 18th, when 6-8 inches fell across the island causing widespread flooding. For consistency sake we are sticking with Sandy Bay’s 15.25 inches, though Utila and the east side got around 20 inches. It was a very wet month and February is starting out the same, though the forecast for next week looks drier. February is usually our first month outside of wet season, moving into dry season with an average of 5.13 inches. After three days, most of us have 1-2 inches already.

Good morning chilly Bay Islands. Our cold full moon last night is our photo of the day from Ken Meissner in Gibson Bight.
We are challenging our all-time record low on Roatan of 63.6 degrees and Utila has broken it with a recording of 63.5. If you have a weather station on the big island that is 63.6 or lower, please let me know. We also have some cold showers around the island this morning.

Here are the 8:15 a.m. temperatures on the east side, that was cooling off a couple of degrees due to a rain shower.

You can see the air mass over the Caribbean is large and cold. Even with their elevation, 50 degrees is pretty cold for Tegucigalpa and one weather station in the mountains outside of Tegus got down to 44. We will be cool today with continuing chances of showers and a north wind and seas staying right around 6 feet. This may be the coldest midday since I’ve come to the islands in 2019, with temperatures struggling to stay around 70.

Tomorrow and Wednesday morning we will see winds turn to the northeast at 10-15 mph and seas 4 feet. Wednesday evening into Thursday a weaker norther will come in with north winds 20 mph and seas 4-5 feet and more cool rain showers. North winds should turn to the east Sunday and next week looks like a more typical weather week for the islands.

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Lowest tide is 3:30 p.m. Have a great Groundhog Day and a great week!

Well, it’s official. The whole island is in the 60s, many of us under a cool, steady rain. Buoys show that winds are out of the north around 30 mph and seas are 8 feet, especially north side. The good news is that it gets better from here. Rain will slacken, the wind will calm a bit. Tomorrow should be our coldest morning and I’ll be interested to see if we challenge the all-time record low of 63.6 degrees.

Tomorrow and Tuesday we will have north winds around 15 mph and seas 4-5 feet Northside with continued light scattered, cool showers. Thursday we get a weaker norther with 20 mph winds and more rain showers. The good news is I think that will be the last one for awhile and we will return to more normal weather. Have a great Sunday!

Good morning Bay Islands. I’m posting the wave forecast for overnight tonight as the photo of the day because it is the most important part of the forecast.

Today will be partly cloudy with periods of sun and moderate north winds, increasing as the day goes along. We start the day with 15 mph winds and seas around 3-4 feet, but those will increase as the day goes along and tomorrow will be quite nasty, with seas on the north side up to 9 feet. Winds will be start off around 30 mph from the north and drop a bit as the day goes along. Rainfall will be occasional, but mostly just a chilly light rain when it falls. Things will slowly improve Tuesday into next week, but seas will still be around 4-5 feet Northside and we will be quite fresh in the mornings, with lows in the 60s (around 19C). Have a great and safe weekend.

Good morning Bay Islands. Our photo of the day comes from Michelle Peedee in West Bay.
This morning we have dealt with some morning showers. Showers should decrease as the morning goes on, but we will remain partly cloudy today. Tomorrow looks drier and we are waiting for some pretty strong north winds Saturday night into Sunday morning.

On satellite we can see our clouds at 8:30 a.m. We will have a shower here or there today and partly cloudy skies. We should be mostly sunny tomorrow. Chances of rain will increase tomorrow evening as the cold front approaches and through the day on Sunday we will have a chance of light, steady, cool rain at time, but our rain totals shouldn’t be too bad and I’m not concerned with flooding in this norther.

Wind and wave forecast: Today and tomorrow morning winds will be moderate, mostly from the north around 10 mph and seas around 3 feet. Starting tomorrow evening we will see the winds pick up to 12-17 mph out of the north and seas to 4, maybe 5 feet, but the real bad seas are overnight tomorrow into Sunday morning, with north winds 20, gusting to 30 mph and seas 7-8 feet. Winds will calm on Monday, but seas will still be wavy around 5 feet into early next week.

On this forecast map, the blues are temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Our normal low this time of year is around 72 (22C) and normal high around 80 (27C). This is the longest period of below normal temperatures I’ve seen on the island since coming here in 2019. We will consistently have lows in the upper 60s (20C) and I expect to get close to our all-time low of 64 (17.8C) Monday or Tuesday morning. The cool temperatures last all the way to Feb. 10 in this forecast.

Tides continue to run quite low, especially around noon and 1 a.m. Have a great Friday!