Nov. 21, 2021: The models definitely missed the clouds and rain we got yesterday. That’s the thing about the forecasting biz, sometimes you get a big miss and that’s what we had yesterday. Rain totals were around an inch islandwide, though less in Sandy Bay (around a quarter inch) and more in First Bight (1.61) and West Bay (1.35)
We have clouds and rain between Utila and Belize this morning, but fairly calm winds and seas.
The chance of rain will be fairly low today and morning clouds should give way to afternoon sun. The chance of rain increases through the day tomorrow. Tuesday looks like the highest rain chance of the week.
Winds today will be fairly calm, but what winds we have will generally come from the west at 3-7 mph. Tomorrow winds will start out from the west and turn to the northwest with the approach of our cold front. Tuesday winds will be from the north/northwest at 10-15 mph. Rain chances come down slightly on Wednesday and but go up again on Thursday. I know a lot of people want to know what the weather will be like Thursday, but this week’s forecast is pretty difficult since a cold front is stalling just to our north and models disagree as to exactly where it will park. We definitely should get some cool air this week.