Sept. 21, 2021

I don’t know about where you’re at, but at Lucy Point the sea looks like a sheet of glass. Pretty calm. Both West Bay and Utila reported sprinkles but no measurable rain this morning. Those calm conditions should last for awhile.

We’ll have east-northeast winds 5-10 mph and seas at 1 foot (.2 or .3 meters) and a chance of a popup shower, especially toward nightfall.

Tomorrow looks like it could be EVEN CALMER than today, with winds light and variable and seas probably less than 1 foot. There will be a chance of a popup shower, even during the day. Right now the forecast calls for the return of trade winds on Sunday.

This morning we have a tropical disturbance near Africa that has the potential of becoming the next named storm, which would be Sam. The video here is the Euro’s prediction for it from Sept. 25 to Oct. 1. As you can see, it has the storm skirting the northern Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico.

This is the GFS model for the same time period, during which it predicts it stays out in the Atlantic.

Only if the storm stays near the southern edge of its predicted path do we have to be concerned. We’ll keep an eye on it.

Published by Roatan Weather Guy

I'm a native of Columbus, Ga., but lived from 2003-2019 in Lawton, Oklahoma. I've always been a weather geek and now I get to live the dream on an island that doesn't have a good weather forecast system.

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