June 25, 2024

Good morning Bay Islands. our photo of the day is a very red sunset from West Bay by Milena Štefaniková. We have a bit of Saharan dust overhead so we may see some more brilliant sunrises and sunsets the next day or two, but the big news is that we have a potential tropical storm aimed at us, and that might be a good thing.

Here is the area of concern north of Venezuela over the ABC islands. It is forecast to move to the northwest quite quickly because of upper level winds pushing it toward us. It has a 20 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next several days. That’s actually pretty low, and the computer models are not really trying to blow this thing up into anything dangerous.

On the satellite view, you can clearly see the area of concern off the coast of South America.

Here is the GFS forecast through Sunday. You can see the storm move from near Venezuela toward us, bringing us a better chance of rain, especially Friday and maybe Saturday morning. When it comes to tropical systems, the GFS usually exaggerates them, forecasting a stronger storm than actually occurs. That is not happening in this forecast. I think it is possible that due to warm sea temperatures around 85 degrees (29C) that there is some concern that the computers may be underestimating the strength of the storm. As it stand, this is the best possible scenario for us, not a strong tropical storm but the potential for good rains Thursday night through Saturday morning.

Wind and Galaxy Wave forecast: We start the day with 20 mph southeast winds east end and 10 mph southeast winds west end. Seas southside are 3 feet and that should continue today and tomorrow. We’ll have to wait and see what the storm does to say much about Thursday night and Friday.

I went to Carniceria Rosita yesterday and I’m always amazed at the amount of meat I can carry home for $20-$30. We all know about that other place we are kind of forced to shop at, but doesn’t exactly give you a bang for your buck. I do shop at “that other place” but I now absolutely never buy any meat there. I get better meat for a better price at Carniceria Rosita

Low tide is 5:30 p.m. Have a great Tuesday.


Published by Roatan Weather Guy

I'm a native of Columbus, Ga., but lived from 2003-2019 in Lawton, Oklahoma. I've always been a weather geek and now I get to live the dream on an island that doesn't have a good weather forecast system.

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