Good morning Bay Islands. Michelle Widd had a great idea. Let’s put together flora, fauna and a beautiful sunset. Here’s her shot from Palmetto Bay with Man o War Cay in the background. Like her photo for a chance at $50 in Roatan Pets food in the contest on Pascua Sunday. Winds will continue to be confusing this week, and rain is moving more toward Thursday and less toward Friday in the forecast. Just a heads up that I will be posting a video later today about our incoming cold front.
Let’s start with today and tomorrow: As you can see in the 7 a.m. wind map, we start the day with calmer winds west Roatan and Utila, but with 10-15 mph east winds east Roatan and Guanaja. This should more or less continue through the morning, At midday our winds turn to the northeast at 15 mph. Overnight into tomorrow morning our winds turn to the west at 15 mph, so there will be 3 foot waves, even for normally calm West Bay. Winds get calmer tomorrow afternoon with no rain either day.
We will have a cloudy day on Thursday and most of the models say rain chances will increase through the day with scattered showers, with the best chance of heavy rain Thursday night. Friday morning there will be some lingering showers but things should clear up a bit. It should be pretty wavy for the folks with a day off to go to Camp Bay beach on the northside, with 20 mph north winds that day. Saturday looks pretty dry but Pascua Sunday morning will have a small chance of a morning shower.
Regardless of the rain amounts, we should get a cooldown. We’ve been very hot as you can see in this temperature anomaly map, which shows how much above or below normal the heat over our heads is. Yesterday the airport got to 88 degrees (31C) and many of us got to 90 (32C). I don’t have to tell you that with a dewpoint at 80 (27C) that made it pretty hot. Thursday will be cooler because we will have a cloudy day, but Friday and Saturday will be quite comfortable even in the sun, with highs probably around 82 (28C) and lows perhaps around 72 (22C). Even after we get back to warmer weather on Pascua Sunday, it will be more normal for this time of year, 84-85 (29C).
The ICON is the most optimistic, giving us 2 inches of rain through Good Friday morning.
Here is the GFS which puts us right around an inch.
Here is the Euro model for rainfall through Good Friday morning, which gives us less rain, probably half an inch, with Puerto Cortes having all the fun.
A big shoutout to Roatan Pets for sponsoring this month’s contest. Please remember that 10 percent of proceeds goes to the needy pets supported by Roatan Operation Animal Rescue, a worthy cause if ever there was one.
Low tide is 3 p.m. Have a great Tuesday!
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