Good morning Bay Islands. Seas are down to around 5 feet this morning on the south side and winds are 25-30 mph this morning from the southeast. We had a peak gust of 39 mph last night and seas got up around 7.5 feet (2.2 meters). Get ready for more of the same, gusty winds, especially after sundown, and extremely choppy seas in the evening, a little better in the morning.
This is the wind and wave forecast from windguru.cz. As you can see our weather will be about the same until midweek. Wednesday through Friday with winds 15-25 mph and seas 2-4 feet. Unfortunately after that the wind goes up again. No rain and very few clouds in the forecast.
March 25, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! Welcome to our new windy reality. Seas on the south side are 4-5 feet after getting close to 7 feet overnight. Seas near the reef on the north side are more moderate at 2-3 feet. We will have clear skies and no rain today tomorrow and the following week. Winds will be their strongest tonight after sunset at 30-35 mph from the east.
Here’s the wave map for 7 p.m. tonight. Dark blue indicates 6-8 foot seas. This evening’s ferry ride will be rough all the way from Ceiba.
Here’s the wave map for 7 a.m. tomorrow. You will notice tomorrow morning things are a little better toward Ceiba. Winds will get A LITTLE better starting Wednesday.
As you can see on the tide chart, tides have moderated from what they were a few days ago as we enter crescent moon phase. Low tide is 6:17 p.m. Have a great weekend!
March 23, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! Early this morning West Bay and West End got a couple of rounds of rain, good for a quarter of an inch. The rest of the island stayed mostly dry.
There are clouds around this morning, so we will keep a chance of a morning shower. I’ve circled in yellow an area of clouds well to our east. Most of the time these disappear in late morning, but if they hold together and don’t move to our south, it may give us a small chance of rain late in the morning.
This morning seas are 3 feet on the southside and 2 feet on the northside. Winds are still fairly calm, but we definitely expect them to start blowing harder from the east, giving us 4-5 foot waves tonight, 5-6 foot waves tomorrow night and 6-8 foot waves Saturday night. Daytime wave will generally be about 2 feet less than the nighttime waves. In other words be careful out on the sea. We are entering a period of extremely dry air overhead, so we will see fewer and fewer clouds in the days ahead.
March 22, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! Most of us got a little rain early this morning.
There are a few clouds around the island so we will keep a small chance of a passing shower through the morning hours, but we should soon clear out.
Tonight and tomorrow morning there is maybe a 10 percent chance of rain and after that there is basically no chance of rain for probably a couple of weeks. Winds are from the east at 15 mph and seas 4 feet. We are going back into a windy cycle with daytime winds 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet and nighttime winds 20-25 mph and seas 4-5 feet. This weekend nighttime winds will be even stronger, around 30 mph.
We are still in the new moon period of strong tides, so low tide at 3:28 p.m. will be about 3 inches below a normal low tide. Have a great Wednesday!
Good morning Bay Islands. About 1 a.m. the west side got a heavy downpour of an inch and a half. Most of the rest of the island and Utila have stayed dry as of 6:45 a.m.
There’s lots of rain around, mostly to our west. These showers are moving to the south. There’s a good chance we get some rain in the next couple of hours, especially Utila and the west side.
Throughout the day, seas will get higher on the north side. Our north winds are not very strong, but they are stronger out to sea and will kick up the surf. Seas are expected to get up to 5 feet on the north side. As you can see on this map for the seas at 7 a.m. tomorrow, seas will be calmer on the south side and heading toward Ceiba, perhaps 2-3 feet.
Our best chance of rain will be this morning. This afternoon we’ll have a mix of sun and clouds and scattered showers. Another good chance of rain tonight and early tomorrow morning. After that our chance of rain is lower for tomorrow, tomorrow night and Wednesday, maybe a 30 percent chance. After that the chances of rain pretty much go away. Starting Wednesday we have dry conditions and strong east winds kicking up our seas. Have a great Monday!
March 19, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! This morning we awake to cloudy skies, a moderate west wind and seas at 3 feet. Because our winds are generally from the west, West Bay Beach is a little wavier than usual.
We had clouds with some thunder move down from the Yucatan last night, but there wasn’t a whole lot of rain. Utila got .06 and Sandy Bay got .01. If you got anything let me know in comments.
The cold front is in the northern part of the Yucatan and will get closer as we go through today.
Today we should have some sun and some clouds and a small chance of rain. Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet, especially on the north and west sides. Tonight, through the day tomorrow and tomorrow night we have a lot of clouds and a very good chance of rain. Most models are giving us between 1-2 inches of rain. Let’s hope we get it, because after that the forecast is very dry. Tomorrow we will have north winds at 10 mph and we should be cool, in the upper 70s to around 80. Tuesday winds will turn to the east at 12-17 but because the winds north of us will be stronger, our seas will be up to around 4 feet. Rain should be less on Tuesday, but there will be scattered showers around through Tuesday night. Wednesday morning and Thursday morning there are small chances of showers, but after that we turn dry and windy, especially for the following weekend. Have a great Sunday!
March 18, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands. We awake to light winds and 3 foot seas. Winds will remain light today and seas will be 2-3 feet. We will be dry, but there is an approaching cold front in the Gulf of Mexico that will weaken as it gets close to us. It will bring us a very small chance of rain on Sunday, but better chances Monday and Tuesday. It may hang around to give us small chances of morning showers Wednesday and Thursday. Winds tomorrow will be from the west 10-15 mph and seas at 3 feet. Winds and seas Monday will be very calm. Tuesday into Wednesday we start getting the east wind back and by the end of the week it will be drier and windier. Have a great weekend!
March 17, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands. Yesterday was pretty strange. A cloud sat over the area from Jonesville Point to Oakridge for about an hour around noon and rained on us, and almost no one else got any. Coral View got .15 and that was it. Meanwhile we got nearly half an inch. Hope you’re not jealous 😜 This morning we have winds around 10 mph and seas around 2 feet. Those should pick up to around 15 mph and seas to 3 feet this afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Tomorrow winds and seas will get quite calm again as a cold front approaches from the north. Tomorrow will be dry, but Sunday we will have a small chance of a shower as this cold front again dies out just before it gets here. Our best chance of rain will be Monday, when we will have about a 40 percent chance of rain, but again we will have plenty of sun and any shower we get should be short-lived. Small rain chances stick around through Wednesday and the end of the week into next weekend will be dry and windy. Have a great Friday!
March 16, 2023: Good morning, Bay Islands! The rain this morning has been to the west of the big island of Roatan, as shown by the fact that Utila has picked up a third of an inch this morning. These showers are drifting toward the southwest, so the chance of Roatan or Guanaja getting wet is pretty small. We start the day with the sea as flat calm as I’ve seen it in months. Winds and seas will remain calm today. Winds will pick up to 10 mph from the east and seas to 2-3 feet tonight. Tomorrow will be sunny with winds 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet during the day and 3-4 feet overnight. Saturday winds will be 5-10 mph and seas 2-3 feet. Sunday there will be a small chance of a shower in the morning, but the best chance of rain should be Sunday night into Monday morning. Winds will stay fairly calm in the first part of the week and the last part of next week looks windier. Have a great Thursday!
March 15, 2023: Good morning Bay Islands! After our morning thundershower, the satellite shows clearing skies moving in from our west. There are also a few clouds coming off the coast near Tela, so we will have partly cloudy skies today and a chance of a scattered shower throughout the day. Winds will be around 10 mph from the west/northwest and will turn to the north overnight around 15 mph. We won’t have the kind of cool air we get in the winter pushing us toward 70, but staying in the low 80s will feel good after a couple of days near 90. Tonight we have another 50/50 chance at rain. Seas will be around 2 feet.
After a cool morning tomorrow and perhaps a shower, skies will clear. Winds tomorrow will be fairly calm, but winds will pick up from the east tomorrow night 15-20 mph and seas to 3 feet. Those conditions last through Friday.
Saturday should be a little calmer and Sunday morning we have another chance of rain. Have a great Thursday!