Sept. 13, 2021: Good morning Roatan! Our skies have been clear with virtually not a cloud in the sky the last 24 hours. We’ll continue mostly sunny today with east winds 15-20 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter).
Tomorrow winds will be a little calmer at 12-17 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters). We’ll also put in a very small chance of an evening shower tomorrow.
Wednesday will be the calmest day of the week with daytime winds in the 10 mph range and seas 1-2 feet (.3-.6 meters) and maybe a 25 percent chance of an evening shower.
Friday and Saturday look pretty windy and dry. Have a great day!
Sept. 12, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! Quite a windy day yesterday with winds reaching 30 mph at sea and those windy conditions will continue today, with winds reaching 25-30 mph again and seas at 5 feet (1.6 meters). Continue to be careful at sea. The winds and seas shouldn’t be quite as bad tomorrow, with east winds 17-22 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter). Tuesday winds will be 12-20 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meter). Tuesday evening we’ll put a small chance of a shower back in the forecast. Wednesday looks like the calmest day of the week, with winds 7-12 mph and seas at 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters).
We continue to keep our eyes on the Atlantic, especially that orange X coming off Africa in the next day or so. It is likely to develop and right now the models keep it out to sea, but that can change very quickly. Have a great Sunday!
Sept. 11, 2021: Good morning Roatan! We wake up with some clouds and a lot of wind. Today will be a pretty windy day, with winds in unprotected areas getting up toward 30 mph this afternoon and evening and seas getting up to 6 feet. Be careful out on the waters.
Tomorrow will be similarly windy. Winds will come back to normal levels on Tuesday when there will be a very slight chance of an evening shower.
This is the time of year when we start watching the West African coast for storms that can eventually become hurricanes that could stay to the south and affect us. Right now there are two good candidates coming off the coast of Africa. The current models keep whatever storms these two areas produce in the Atlantic, but we’ll keep an eye on them.
You will also notice that the disturbance that passed over us and gave us hardly any rain is likely to bring flooding to the Texas coast.
Sept. 10, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! This morning we find ourselves in a familiar spot — in a dry slot between areas of rain. Yesterday a little rain fell in some spots — .02 of an inch in Sandy Bay, .01 in Coral View, Larry Rapp reported about 5 minutes of rain in West Bay — but nothing to get excited over. I fear the same will be true today. We’ll keep a small chance of rain in the forecast today, which is more than I can say for the weekend or next week, which look pretty dry. Winds are fairly calm this morning, but winds and seas should pick up as the day goes along.
This weekend looks pretty windy, at 17-22 mph during the day and 22-27 mph in the evening. Seas this weekend, especially tomorrow, may get up to 5 feet (1.6 meters). Winds and seas should get calmer by midweek. Have a great Friday!
Sept. 9, 2021: Good morning Roatan: As you can see in the map, the tropical wave we’ve been talking about all week is closing in, but the weather models still don’t want to give us much rain. Let’s hope they’re wrong.
Today we’ll have increasing clouds and a chance of rain, especially in the evening and overnight. Winds will be from the east at 12-17 mph and seas at 3 feet (1 meter).
Tomorrow the chance of rain continues, with calmer winds and seas. Our best chance of rain ends Saturday morning, and that’s when the winds pick up again. Have a great Thursday!
Sept. 8, 2021: For the second time in two weeks, we may have a tropical wave pass over our heads and not give us much rain. At least that is what the models are predicting. This video is the European model of total rainfall into Saturday night, and you can see that it barely gives us half an inch and leaves a rain hole over Guanaja. These things aren’t exact, so we’ll have a shot at some rain, but I wouldn’t hold my breath. And, sadly, the forecast is even drier after this weekend.
Today we’ll have TRW (Typical Roatan Weather) with east winds 15-20 mph and 3-foot (1 meter) seas during the day, 20-25 mph and 4-foot seas (1.3 meters) at night.
Tomorrow, the best chance of rain is in the evening with typical winds and seas.
The rain chance continues overnight Thursday into Friday. On Friday the winds should be a bit calmer at 10-15 mph, though the winds return Friday evening. The weekend looks a bit windier than normal with only a small chance of an evening shower. Have a great Wednesday!
This morning a pretty big storm is set up on the southern coast of Belize. In this satellite run from around 7 a.m. today, you can see the lightening strikes at the center. That storm is throwing some high clouds this way, but it’s not going to come over us, unfortunately.
Today we’ll have TRW (Typical Roatan Weather) with east winds 15-20 mph during the day and 20-25 mph as evening falls. Daytime seas are at 2 feet (.6 meter) and evening seas at 3-4 feet (1 to 1.3 meters). Only a very slight chance of an isolated shower around the island. That will continue tomorrow. Thursday is the day we might see an increase in rain chances and that will continue into Friday. Have a great Tuesday!
Sept. 6, 2021: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up in a familiar position — with clouds to the east and clouds to the west but not very many over our heads.
We continue with mostly sunny skies and winds a little lower than normal at 7-12 mph during the day, getting up to 15-20 mph this evening. Seas will be at 2 feet (.6 meters) during the day and 3 feet (1 meter) as we get to evening. There will be a chance of an evening shower.
Tuesday winds should pick up a little to 15-20 mph during the day and 20-25 in the evening, and seas at 3 feet (1 meter) during the day and 4 feet (1.3 meters) at night. Rain is very unlikely. Those conditions will continue Wednesday.
Thursday and especially Friday we have hope that our tropical wave will increase our chances of rain. Have a great Monday!
Good morning Roatan. Larry Rapp reported .2 of an inch of rain this morning at West Bay. The only other rain we’ve recorded in the last 24 hours was .01 of an inch just before noon yesterday in Sandy Bay.
There are a few clouds around as you can see in the satellite, so we will keep a chance of an isolated shower around for the morning. Otherwise we will have partly cloudy skies and winds from the east at 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6 to 1 meter). Most of this week we will have TRW (Typical Roatan Weather).
This weekend, starting Friday, we might have a better chance of a shower due to another tropical wave forming off the north coast of Panama and South America, though some models want to move this more into the Pacific. Have a great Sunday!
Sept. 4, 2021: Somehow we managed to have a tropical disturbance pass right over us with no rain. As the system passed into Belize it actually got a little better organized and for a time you could see some circulation. As it turns out, we’re simply the losers of the rain lottery. There was certainly rain, as the rain gauges in Belize attest, but we missed out on the fun.
Today we return to TRW (Typical Roatan Weather), though our winds may be a little lower during the day today and tomorrow. We’ll be looking at east winds 10-15 mph during the day and 15-20 mph at night with 2-3 foot (.6 to 1 meter) waves today and tomorrow.
Monday we should be back to 15-20 mph during the day and 20-25 in the evening. During this period there will only be a slight chance of a stray shower. Have a great weekend! North American college football kicks off. Go Dawgs!