Sept. 19, 2022

Sept. 19, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We finally got one of those nighttime showers to give us a little rain, with the emphasis on “a little.” It seems that everyone got wet, but no one got much more than a tenth of an inch of rain, enough to keep the dust down for one morning, perhaps, but not enough to fill our cisterns.

Today we will have east winds 7-12 mph and 2 foot (.6 meter) seas under mostly sunny skies. Tonight we will have another chance of a passing shower. After tonight, things get flat calm and pretty dry for the rest of the week. You can never rule out a popup shower, but it looks unlikely.

I do want to make mention of a system we are seeing on the satellite. You will notice that Hurricane Fiona is ravaging Puerto Rico and the DR this morning, but behind it, northeast of the South American coast is a cluster of showers and storm. Many of the computer models are making this into something that might move our way in about 10 days or so. Of course, computer models this far out are highly unreliable, but we will keep an eye on it. Have a great week!

Sept. 18, 2022

Satellite image from 6 p.m. Saturday to 6 a.m. Sunday

Sept. 18, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday I said we have a stop sign over Roatan when it comes to rain and last night was another example. On the satellite you can see a storm pop up just to our east and just as it looks like it’s going to pass over the island it disappears.

Today is the beginning of our transition to calmer winds. East winds will be 7-12 mph today and 12-17 mph tonight with 2 foot (.6 meter) seas. Skies will be mostly sunny with only a small chance of a popup shower. Tonight there is another chance a storm pops up and runs the stop sign and gives us a much needed shower.

Tomorrow winds will be 7-12 mph but the nighttime winds will be even calmer, a calm that lasts until at least Thursday night. When it comes to rain, there are no major changes in the forecast, just a small chance of washing the dust off your car each day. Have a great Sunday!

Sept. 17, 2022

Sept. 17, 2022, Good morning, Roatan! We still have clouds to our east, but there seems to be a stop sign keeping the rain from spreading over our island. I’d be willing to bet Guanaja got some this morning. We’ll keep it partly cloudy through the morning with a small chance of a shower. Winds will be 15-20 mph from the east today and seas will be 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Overnight tonight and tomorrow morning and overnight Sunday into Monday morning will be our best chances for rain. After that, next week looks pretty dry. Winds will start to calm tomorrow and will be quite calm Sunday into next week. Have a great weekend!

Sept. 16, 2022

Sept. 16, 2022: Good morning, Roatan. Around 6 p.m. yesterday, those of you on the west side of the island were fortunate to get an evening shower. Those of us midisland and east side were left high and dry. Mud Hole was the big winner with half an inch. Sandy Bay got a little over a quarter of an inch. West Bay only got .17 and West End .08.

Despite the fact that there are clouds and rain to our east this morning, those rains should diminish as the day goes on and we will stay sunny. Winds will stay brisk at 17-22 mph during the day and 20-25 mph at night with seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters).

Saturday winds will calm a bit to 15 mph during the day and 20 mph at night with seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). Saturday night is when our higher chance of rain starts and we will have a 50-60 percent chance of catching a shower through Monday night.

Starting Monday we will have a very calm week and starting Tuesday we will return to dry weather, with very small chances of rain each day. Next week looks hot, with lots of sun, few clouds and little wind. Have a great Friday!

Sept. 15, 2022

Sept. 15, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! This morning we have an official Tropical Storm Fiona in the Atlantic, but we also have good agreement that she is going to turn north and away from us.

As for our weather. The next couple of day will be a bit windier than we have been experiencing, with daytime winds 15-20 mph and nighttime winds 20-25 mph and seas at 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters). Those winds and seas calm a little on Saturday and even more on Sunday into next week, which looks quite calm.

As for rain chances, we continue with low rain chances until Saturday night/Sunday morning and Sunday night/Monday morning when rain chances will increase and maybe we’ll get some water to wash all these dusty roads. Have a great Thursday!

Tropical update for Sept. 14, 2022

Tropical update for Sept. 14, 2022: The National Hurricane Center has designated a disturbance in the central Atlantic as Tropical Depression #7. You will notice the forecast cone (called the “cone of uncertainty) goes pretty far south on its southern end and if it followed that path it would give us something to watch out for. But none of the computer models I’ve seen brings it this far south. But we’ll keep an eye on it.

Sept. 14, 2022

Sept. 14, 2022: Good morning, Roatan! We have some clouds to our east that might bring someone a pop-up shower, but is more likely just to give us a partly cloudy morning. We also have a bit windier morning that we had yesterday, but those winds should calm a bit toward midday to 5-10 mph and 1-2 foot seas, then pick up in the evening to 17-22 mph and 3-4 foot seas.

Tomorrow winds will be 15 mph during the day with 2-3 foot seas and 20-25 mph at night.

Friday should be breezy as well. Winds are moderate this weekend and next week looks flat calm. Rain chances continue at 30 percent each day, but may pick up this weekend to about 50 percent. Let’s hope so, my cistern needs a refill.

Tropical update for Sept. 13, 2022

Tropical update for Sept. 13, 2022: This morning we have two disturbances in the eastern Atlantic that have chances to develop as tropical storms. The one marked with the orange X has a 40 percent chance of development over three days. The models show this heading toward Puerto Rico and eventually perhaps the Gulf of Mexico or turning back toward the Atlantic, but in any case, these storms aren’t a threat to us.