Jan. 16, 2023

Jan. 16, 2023: Good morning Roatan! Several of us got into the upper 60s this morning, with Sandy Bay recording a low of 66.7 degrees (19.3C), just .7 of a degree from our all-time low on the island. Yesterday was the kind of cloudy, wet day we usually associate with northers. No more of that this week.

Satellite image at 7 a.m.

We have some low clouds to our east, but they shouldn’t be anything to worry about. We will have partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies today with winds turning to the east at 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet (.6-1 meter). This will be the first day of a very dry week.

Tonight winds will pick up to 18-23 mph and seas to 4 feet (1.3 meters).

Tomorrow winds will be 10-15 mph and seas to 3 feet (1 meter).

Look for some gusty nighttime winds, perhaps gusting to 30 mph, especially Wednesday night and Thursday night. Daytime winds should calm to 10-15 mph. Have a great week!

Jan. 15, 2023

Jan. 15, 2023: Good chilly morning, Roatan! We got down to 69 degrees (20C) here on Jonesville Point, as did Politilly. Here on the east side we’ve picked up some light rain this morning as well. On the satellite there are clouds and a few showers to our north. Today we should see mostly cloudy skies with peeks of sunshine, but we will also have a chance of light rain at times. Winds will be light and seas on the north side should be 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters).

Tonight skies will clear and winds will turn to the east, rising to 15-20 mph by tomorrow morning, seas will be around 3 feet. Tomorrow morning will start off cool, but will warm quickly with mostly sunny skies. We should have mostly clear skies all week and virtually no chance of rain. Winds will be moderate on Tuesday around 10-15 mph and seas 2-3 feet, but starting Wednesday through next weekend, winds especially at night will be gusty to 25 mph and seas will be around 5 feet at night and early morning and 3-4 feet during the day. Have a great Sunday and enjoy our last full day of cool weather.

Jan. 14, 2023

Jan. 14, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Our cold front has passed and most of us only got a little rain, though Punta Blanca on the east end got .6 of an inch. Winds this morning are from the north gusting to around 20-25 mph, not bad as northers go, and seas on the north side are 4-5 feet (1.3-1.6 meters), not quite as bad as we were worried about.

You will notice the West Bay live cam from Bananarama shows West Bay Beach much wavier than normal at 7 a.m. Seas should stay around 4-5 feet this morning and calm a bit this afternoon to 3-4 feet as winds calm to around 15 mph. As those north winds hit the mountains of the mainland, it should create some low clouds that will keep up mostly cloudy through today and give us an occasional sprinkle, but we shouldn’t get a lot of rain today. The main impact of this norther will be the fresh temperatures. This morning the Belize coast is around 67 degrees (19C) and the air is quite dry for around here. The air will move over us and give us a fresh day today and a cool morning tomorrow.

Tomorrow will start out with some of the coolest temperatures we’ve felt. I’ll be looking for some upper 60s (around 20C). Winds will be light and seas around 2 feet (.6 meters). Morning clouds will give way to afternoon sun and it should be a beautiful day.

Monday we will see the easterly winds come back around 20 mph and seas 3-4 feet. Next week will be dry and sunny.

Tuesday should be the best day on the sea next week with daytime winds around 10 mph and seas around 2 feet here and 1 foot at Ceiba, but the rest of the week looks gusty, especially at night and in the early morning. Have a great, fresh weekend!

Jan. 13. 2023

6:30 a.m. satellite image.

Jan. 13, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! We wake up with some rain on the west side and near Utila at 6 a.m. Our winds are fairly calm and seas 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Today we will have partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, especially in the early morning and late evening. Winds will slowly increase from the north to around 10-15 mph.

Our cold front will pass through early tomorrow, probably around 7 or 8 a.m. and as it nears our seas will get choppier, around 6 feet by 9 a.m. Winds will be gusting 20-30 mph out of the north in the morning. They will get calmer as the day goes along, to around 10-20 mph by tomorrow evening. We should have a line of showers pass through along the cold front, after that we will have clouds and light rain off and on along with the north wind which will make it a fresh day. Take your jacket to stay dry and warm. The rain totals probably won’t be very high, but when we get these northers, we often get light, blowing rain along with clouds. That’s the kind of day tomorrow will be.

Tomorrow night and Sunday morning winds will calm to 10-15 mph and seas to 3 feet (1 meter), 2 feet toward La Ceiba. We may see some sprinkles Sunday morning, but it will be mostly dry and partly cloudy. Sunday night into Monday we will have dry conditions and winds turning to the east 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet.

Sunday morning and Monday morning I will be watching for some low temperatures 68-69 degrees (20 Celsius). Highs Sunday should be around 77 (25C).

Next week looks dry and windy, especially at night and in the early morning hours. Have a great Friday and take a jacket tomorrow!

Jan. 12, 2023

7:30 a.m. satellite image.

Jan. 12, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Rain totals were pretty low yesterday on the west side and in Utila, with only about a quarter of an inch, but the total got higher the further east you went, with Punta Blanca picking up 1.19 inches. Overnight most of us were dry, though Sandy Bay got about a quarter of an inch around 4:30 a.m.
This morning we are mostly clear, though there are some clouds to our east as of 7 a.m. so a morning shower is possible, but otherwise we will be partly cloudy with an east wind 10-15 mph and seas at 2 feet (.6 meters).

After midnight and through the day tomorrow we will have scattered showers as our front approaches. Winds will turn to the north around 10 mph. Seas will be fairly calm at 1-2 feet (.3 to .6 meters). Rain continues through Friday night and there is a good chance of heavy rain Saturday morning. Winds will be gusting to 30 mph from the north, giving us seas around 6 feet (2 meters), especially on the north side and 4 feet at Ceiba. By Saturday evening winds and rain should be less. Sunday might be one of the nicest days we’ve had in a couple of years, if you like cool weather.

The map above shows dry air in blue and brown washing over the island. Saturday, not only will it feel cool, the air will feel dry, with dewpoints around 60 degrees (15 celsius). We are so used to humid air here, we almost forget what dry air feels like, but we will feel it Sunday, and perhaps into Monday morning.

Starting Sunday we will start a week with dry conditions. Our easterly trade winds will return starting Monday, 15-20 mph and seas 3-4 feet (1-1.3 meters) for the first half of the week and perhaps even gustier winds for the latter half of the week. Have a great Thursday!

Jan. 11, 2023

Jan. 11, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Yesterday around 5:30 the island got a heavy rain that gave many of us an inch of rain while Utila stayed dry. This morning we have rain around the island on radar. We will have a chance of scattered showers throughout today with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will rise to around 10 mph from the east this afternoon and seas, which this morning are around 1 foot, will rise to 2 feet.

Overnight winds will pick up to around 15 mph and seas to 2-3 feet.

Tomorrow should be mostly dry, with only a small chance of seeing a shower. Winds will be from the east around 10 mph and seas at 2 feet.

Thursday night through the day on Friday there will be a good chance of rain and winds, while only 5-10 mph, will start to turn from the north. Saturday there should be periods of heavy rain as the cold front passes and winds will be up to around 25 mph and it could be a bad day on the seas, with waves at least 5 feet, perhaps 6-7 feet.

Sunday should be a beautiful day if you like cool weather. Sunday and Monday morning we might see some 69 degree temperatures. Monday winds will turn back to the east and we should have a dry week next week. Have a great Wednesday!

Jan. 10, 2023

Jan. 10, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Last night most of us stayed dry, though Punta Blanca picked up a quarter of an inch just after midnight. Yesterday the whole island got some rain at midday, ranging from .15 on the west side to half an inch at Politilly. This morning skies are mostly clear, winds calm, and seas are 1-2 feet.
Today we will be mostly sunny with only a very slight chance of a scattered shower.
Tonight into tomorrow morning we will have a chance of seeing a shower and winds and seas will remain fairly calm in the morning. Tomorrow evening winds will pick up from the east to around 10 mph and to 15 mph tomorrow night. Tomorrow night we will again have a small chance of a shower, but Thursday should be nice with east winds around 10 mph and seas around 2 feet.
Friday we will start to see our winds turn to the north as a cold front nears. Winds will be from the north around 10 mph and there is only a small chance of rain.

The windy rainy day should be Saturday, with north winds to 20 mph and seas perhaps 4-5 feet, with scattered heavy rain. Previous northers have stalled over us, giving us a lot of rain, but this one should move through, bringing clearer skies and cooler temperatures Sunday and Monday.

Here is the Euro model predicting cooler weather this weekend. The blue represents 2 to 4 degrees cooler than normal, which could mean lows of 69 or 70 Sunday and Monday morning and highs around 79. Have a great Tuesday!

Jan. 9, 2023

Jan. 9, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! Not many of us got rain last night, but there is quite a bit of clouds, especially to our east this morning, so we will have a chance of a scattered shower through the morning, and even a small chance this afternoon. Winds are calm, though seas are still around 2 feet.

We will have a decent chance of a shower overnight into tomorrow morning, and tomorrow looks like the calmest day of the week, with calm winds and 1 foot seas.

Another good chance of rain comes Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Wednesday we will have east winds 5-10 mph and seas at 2 feet.

Thursday the east winds picks up to around 15 mph and seas to 3 feet.

Friday and Saturday a norther is still forecast to come through. Right now the rain isn’t forecast to be that heavy, but we should get some winds from the north and seas to around 4-5 feet.

Have a great Monday!

Jan. 8, 2023

Jan. 8, 2023: Good morning, Roatan! After a rainy morning yesterday that gave most of us between 1.5 and 2 inches of rain, last night was pretty quiet, except for a shower that hit the island around 8:30 p.m.

As you can see in the satellite this morning, we have a lot of clouds to our east at 8 a.m., so I think that through about 10 a.m. we will have some rain around the island. That should clear out by noon and we will have a nice afternoon. Winds are calm, but winds to our northeast are pushing seas 2-3 feet. They should calm to around 2 feet this afternoon.
Tonight the chance of rain will be around 30 percent. Tomorrow, after a scattered morning shower, we will again have a nice day with calm winds and seas around 1-2 feet. That pattern will continue through the week, with overnight and early morning showers possible and afternoon sun. Winds and seas will remain pretty calm until Thursday, when the east wind will return. This weekend we are still watching a norther that will bring good rain chances starting Friday. Have a good Sunday!

Jan. 7, 2023

Good morning, Roatan! We definitely got good rain last night. Most locations got an inch or a little over around Roatan, though the far west end got more: 2.25 inches for West End, 1.7 for West Bay and 1.73 for Utila. Our winds are fairly calm this morning, but northeast winds to our north are pushing seas to around 3 feet on the north side.

As you can see on the 7:30 a.m. radar, there are scattered showers still around the island.

We will have a chance of seeing one of those showers through the morning. This afternoon we will be partly sunny and still may see an isolated shower, but rain is more likely in late evening and overnight, much like last night. Tomorrow afternoon rain will be unlikely. Sunday night into Monday morning we will have about a 40 percent chance of a shower. This is a pattern we will be in this week, with rain chances overnight into the morning and staying mostly dry midday into the afternoon. Winds will be quite calm and seas will be 2 feet at most, even less than that as we get into midweek. Have a great weekend!